St. Mirren
St. Mirren
0 vs 3

Premiership · Matchday

2026-09-19 14:00:00 · 22:00

Dundee United
Dundee United

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 0-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

St. Mirren
ST.
1 - 1
Dundee United
DUN
57%
Confidence
Low Confidence
41.0%Home
27.0%Draw
32.0%Away
40.5%Home
25.8%Draw
33.7%Away
**St. Mirren** hold a narrow edge on home soil, where their defensive structure has consistently made them difficult to break down. The key battleground will be controlling the midfield tempo to limit **Dundee United's** attacking transitions, making St. Mirren's compactness the decisive tactical factor. AI pick: St. Mirren Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
59% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

St. Mirren Dundee United
0%
33%
0
63%
53%
1
38%
14%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

41%
40%
+1.0%
27%
26%
+0.8%
32%
34%
-1.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

St. Mirren 0–3 Dundee United | Scottish Premiership | 19 September 2026

Result Summary

Jim Goodwin's Dundee United produced a ruthless and clinical away performance at St Mirren Park, dismantling Craig McLeish's side with a commanding 3–0 victory. Two goals inside the opening twelve minutes set the tone for a dominant afternoon, with a third added right on the stroke of half-time to leave the hosts with an insurmountable deficit heading into the break.

Match Analysis

Dundee United wasted no time establishing control. Jesse Randall opened the scoring in just the sixth minute, finishing with his left foot from a Daniel Bennie assist, and the visitors doubled their lead only six minutes later when Lyall Cameron converted with a right foot shot, set up by Idjessi Metsoko. St Mirren, stung by the rapid double blow, struggled to find any meaningful response in the opening exchanges.

The statistics tell a story of stark contrasts in efficiency. While St Mirren enjoyed the lion's share of possession — 59% compared to Dundee United's 41% — they were utterly unable to translate that ball retention into genuine threat. Remarkably, St Mirren registered zero shots on target across the entire ninety minutes despite managing ten shots in total, whereas Dundee United's nine shots on target from thirteen attempts underlined their devastating precision.

A VAR review at the 20-minute mark involving St Mirren's Killian Phillips provided a brief pause in proceedings, but United's grip on the match was never seriously loosened. Just before the interval, another VAR decision was flagged for Daniel Bennie — the same player who had picked up a yellow card at the 43rd minute for a foul — but United responded emphatically. Kevin Ciubotaru added a third in first-half stoppage time, finishing with his left foot from Randall's assist, to make it 3–0 at the break.

St Mirren made an immediate change at half-time, bringing on Jake Young in place of Fraser Taylor, and Killian Phillips was later withdrawn for Christopher Robert Mochrie at the 66th minute. None of the alterations, however, could unlock a United defence that had little need to be tested. Dundee United rotated freely across the final twenty minutes — Will Ferry, Lachlam Rose, Neil Farrugia, Abdoulaye Serge Marc Dylan Yoro, and Panutche Amadu Pereira Camará all introduced — managing the game comfortably. Young collected a yellow card for the hosts at 70', and Carr followed suit deep into added time, both for fouls, as frustration crept in.

United's seven corners to St Mirren's four, combined with their eleven key passes to the home side's nine, reinforces how consistently threatening Goodwin's side were throughout.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast of a 1–1 draw proved well wide of the mark. With a confidence rating of just 57/100, there was always uncertainty built into this prediction, and the 32% away win probability we had assigned to Dundee United ultimately reflected what transpired — though the margin of victory was far beyond what any model had reasonably projected. A 0–3 scoreline, sealed before the second half began, was an emphatic outcome that underlined United's quality on the day.

Key Takeaways

  • Clinical finishing wins games: Dundee United's nine shots on target versus St Mirren's zero encapsulates the match in a single statistic.
  • Possession without purpose: St Mirren's 59% possession was rendered worthless by a complete inability to trouble Jack James Walton's goal.
  • Ruthless early start: Two goals in the opening twelve minutes gave Dundee United a platform they were never going to surrender.
  • Jim Goodwin's side will take significant confidence into their next fixtures following a near-perfect away display.

St. Mirren vs Dundee United — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

PredictNext's AI model favours St. Mirren with a 41% win probability — St. Mirren 41%, draw 27%, Dundee United 32%.

What is the predicted score for St. Mirren vs Dundee United?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for St. Mirren vs Dundee United, generated with 57% model confidence.

Will St. Mirren vs Dundee United have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in St. Mirren vs Dundee United.

How accurate was the St. Mirren vs Dundee United prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was incorrect.

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