Sunderland
Sunderland
1 vs 0

Premier League · Matchday

2026-08-30 13:00:00 · 21:00 · Stadium of Light

Fulham
Fulham

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Sunderland
SUN
1 - 1
Fulham
FUL
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
38.0%Home
28.0%Draw
34.0%Away
36.7%Home
29.6%Draw
33.7%Away
**Fulham** enter this clash as slight favorites on recent form, having won three of the last five H2H meetings, but **Sunderland** gain a boost with a key player returning from injury. The absence of **Fulham** midfielder T. Cairney through knee surgery disrupts their creative engine, potentially leaving gaps that Sunderland can exploit on home turf. AI pick: Sunderland Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredSUN or FUL
72% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
56% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
51% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreBrian BrobbeyAlso: Wilson Isidor, Rodrigo Muniz

Goal Probability

SUN FUL
16%
15%
0
66%
64%
1
18%
21%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

38%
39%
-0.7%
28%
29%
-1.0%
34%
32%
+1.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3652.403.302.70-8.8%-7.6%-8.2%
PinnacleVALUE2.453.363.05-6.9%-5.9%+3.7%
1xbetVALUE2.523.393.08-4.2%-5.1%+4.7%
WilliamHill2.403.202.90-8.8%-10.4%-1.4%
Betfair2.403.202.90-8.8%-10.4%-1.4%
bwin2.453.252.90-6.9%-9.0%-1.4%
Unibet2.483.302.90-5.8%-7.6%-1.4%
Ladbrokes2.403.102.80-8.8%-13.2%-4.8%
BetVictor2.383.252.90-9.6%-9.0%-1.4%
Macauslot2.403.102.70-8.8%-13.2%-8.2%
MarathonbetVALUE2.493.323.04-5.4%-7.0%+3.4%
MansionBet2.363.202.91-10.3%-10.4%-1.1%
CloudBetVALUE2.403.303.00-8.8%-7.6%+2.0%
Coral2.403.102.80-8.8%-13.2%-4.8%
Dafabet2.483.302.90-5.8%-7.6%-1.4%
Sbo2.333.022.69-11.5%-15.4%-8.5%
MelBetVALUE2.433.262.97-7.7%-8.7%+1.0%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Sunderland 1–0 Fulham | Premier League | 30 August 2026

Result Summary

Sunderland claimed a hard-fought three points at home, defeating Fulham 1–0 courtesy of a Wilson Isidor strike in the 75th minute. The result is a statement win for Régis Le Bris's side, who showed resilience and clinical efficiency against a Fulham outfit that enjoyed the lion's share of possession but failed to trouble the scoreboard.


Match Analysis

On the balance of raw statistics, Fulham were the dominant side for large portions of this contest. Álvaro Arbeloa Coca's men controlled 58% of possession, generated 109 attacks to Sunderland's 87, and registered 65 dangerous attacks compared to just 34 for the hosts. Yet, perhaps most tellingly, Fulham managed zero shots on target across the entire 90 minutes — a damning indictment of their final-ball quality on the day.

Sunderland, by contrast, were compact, disciplined, and dangerous on the counter. With just 42% possession, Le Bris's side leaned into a pragmatic approach, trusting their structure and waiting for the right moments to hurt Fulham. Robin Roefs was largely untroubled in the Sunderland goal, a testament to how effectively the backline — featuring Daniel Ballard, Reinildo Mandava, Nordi Mukiele, and Trai Hume — nullified Fulham's threat. Granit Xhaka and Noah Sadiki provided the midfield platform that allowed the team to function so efficiently out of possession.

The decisive moment arrived in the 75th minute when substitute Wilson Isidor, introduced just eleven minutes earlier in place of Brian Brobbey, converted from the right foot following a composed assist from Habib Diarra. It was a goal that underlined the impact of Le Bris's changes — Isidor repaid his manager's faith almost immediately. Sunderland managed 12 shots in total, with 4 on target, a conversion of opportunity that proved ruthlessly sufficient.

For Fulham, the afternoon was compounded by a scrappy disciplinary record. Joachim Andersen was cautioned in the 35th minute for a foul, followed by César Palacios Pérez picking up a yellow in the 59th. Palacios was subsequently withdrawn for Emile Smith Rowe in the 77th minute as Arbeloa Coca searched for a creative spark. Late introductions of Shea Charles, Kouassi Ryan Sessegnon, and Kevin Santos Lopes de Macedo couldn't unlock a Sunderland defence that held firm throughout.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast projected a 1–1 draw, with probabilities of 38% for a Sunderland win, 28% for a draw, and 34% for Fulham. The model leaned slightly toward Sunderland but stopped short of backing them outright — a call that proved incorrect. The final outcome of a Sunderland win was assessed at a confidence level of 59/100, reflecting genuine uncertainty in both directions. In hindsight, the statistics around Fulham's attacking inefficiency — particularly their failure to register a single shot on target — perhaps indicated a visiting side less clinical than their possession figures suggested.


Key Takeaways

  • Wilson Isidor's impact off the bench was the defining moment of the match, highlighting Le Bris's astute game management.
  • Fulham's possession dominance meant nothing without end product; zero shots on target is a deeply concerning return from 65 dangerous attacks.
  • Sunderland's defensive solidity and counter-attacking efficiency mark them as a side that will be difficult to break down at home this season.
  • This result raises early questions about Fulham's cutting edge under Arbeloa Coca, despite their clear ability to control games territorially.

Sunderland vs Fulham Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Sunderland and Fulham: Sunderland 7W · 9D · Fulham 12W.

7

9

12

Sun, Feb 22, 2026Sunderland1-3Fulham
Sat, Nov 22, 2025Fulham1-0Sunderland
Wed, Feb 8, 2023Sunderland2-3Fulham
Sat, Jan 28, 2023Fulham1-1Sunderland
Fri, Apr 27, 2018Fulham2-1Sunderland

Sunderland vs Fulham — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Sunderland vs Fulham?

PredictNext's AI model favours Sunderland with a 38% win probability — Sunderland 38%, draw 28%, Fulham 34%.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Fulham?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Sunderland vs Fulham, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will Sunderland vs Fulham have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Sunderland vs Fulham.

How accurate was the Sunderland vs Fulham prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-0. The winner call was correct.

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