Swansea City 3–1 Burnley | Championship | 12 September 2026

Result Summary

Swansea City delivered a commanding home performance at the Swansea.com Stadium, defeating Burnley 3–1 in what proved to be a thoroughly deserved Championship victory. Adam Idah, Moussa Kounfolo Yeo, and Žan Vipotnik were the men on the scoresheet for Vítor Matos' side, with Largie Ramazani's second-half strike offering only brief hope for Nicky Hayen's Burnley.

Match Analysis

Swansea set the tone early. Adam Idah opened the scoring in the 13th minute with a composed left-foot finish, rewarding the home side's bright start and putting Burnley on the back foot almost immediately. The visitors struggled to find their footing, and Swansea pressed home their advantage when Moussa Kounfolo Yeo doubled the lead in the 33rd minute, converting a right-foot shot from an assist by Elijah Just. Heading into half-time two goals to the good, Swansea's composure in possession — they would finish with 54% of the ball and an 85% successful pass rate — was already evident.

Burnley emerged with greater intent after the break, and the introduction of Lucas Pires Silva at the start of the second half injected some energy into their midfield. That momentum briefly paid off when Largie Ramazani pulled one back in the 58th minute, finishing left-footed from an Igor Julio assist to make it 2–1. The goal sparked immediate tension on the touchline — both Lucas Pires Silva and Moussa Kounfolo Yeo were booked in the 59th minute following an argument — and suddenly the game had a very different feel.

However, Swansea's response was emphatic. Fresh legs made the difference: substitute Žan Vipotnik, introduced in the 64th minute alongside Ronald Pereira Martins, restored the two-goal cushion just four minutes later. His right-foot finish, assisted by Ronald, effectively killed the contest at 3–1. Despite Burnley's attempts to force a way back through late introductions including Jamie Vardy, Armando Broja, and Reo Hatate, the Swans held firm without serious alarm. Filip Lissah picked up a yellow card in the 72nd minute for a foul, but the home defence managed the closing stages with relative comfort.

The statistics underline a nuanced picture: Burnley actually registered more shots (18 vs 14) and more corners (6 vs 3), suggesting they posed a consistent threat in terms of volume. However, Swansea's 7 shots on target to Burnley's 6, combined with their sharper attacking efficiency — generating 82 attacks to Burnley's 69 — illustrates why the hosts were more clinical when it mattered.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Swansea City win with a confidence rating of 60/100 and a 48% probability assigned to the home victory. While the scoreline exceeded our modest forecast, the correct outcome was identified — Swansea as winners on home soil. The two-goal margin at half-time and the manner of the victory suggest Vítor Matos' side are in solid form, though we marginally underestimated their attacking potency on the day.

Key Takeaways

• Swansea's clinical edge in the final third was the decisive factor — converting 7 of 14 shots on target into three goals.
• Burnley's volume of possession and chances didn't translate into results; Ramazani's strike aside, their attack was ultimately wasteful.
• Vipotnik's impact from the bench — scoring within four minutes of coming on — highlights the quality Swansea carry in reserve.
• Burnley will need to address their defensive vulnerabilities ahead of upcoming fixtures, having conceded from the opening quarter-hour once again.