
Bundesliga · Matchday
2026-09-19 13:30:00 · 21:30 · Wohninvest Weserstadion

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 3-2
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Match Report
Werder Bremen 3–2 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga | 19 September 2026
Result Summary
In a dramatic Saturday afternoon fixture at the Weserstadion, Werder Bremen produced a stunning second-half comeback to defeat FC Augsburg 3–2. Trailing by two goals heading into the final quarter of the match, Daniel Thioune's side found the resilience to overturn the deficit through Marco Grüll, Niclas Füllkrug, and a stoppage-time winner from Mitchell Weiser — completing one of the more memorable turnarounds of the Bundesliga season so far.
Match Analysis
FC Augsburg arrived in Bremen with a clear gameplan: be compact, stay disciplined, and hit on the counter. Manuel Baum's side executed it brilliantly in the opening phase. Robin Fellhauer broke the deadlock in the 18th minute, capitalising on a sharp assist from Fabian Rieder to give the visitors an early foothold. For the better part of the first half, Augsburg managed the game effectively despite Werder enjoying heavy possession — 66% of the ball to Augsburg's 34% — and firing a high volume of attempts.
The second half began with Augsburg making a decisive tactical adjustment, introducing Alexis Claude-Maurice and Rodrigo Duarte Ribeiro before the hour mark. The impact was immediate. Calvin Marc Brackelmann doubled the lead in the 58th minute, heading home from a Claude-Maurice assist to make it 2–0. With Werder needing to throw caution to the wind, the match felt firmly in Augsburg's hands.
However, the statistics always suggested a different story was possible. Werder registered 20 total shots to Augsburg's 7, and 11 shots on target compared to just 4 for the visitors. With 36 dangerous attacks generated against only 15 from Augsburg, the hosts were knocking relentlessly on the door. Marco Grüll pulled one back in the 66th minute via an assist from Chuki, and suddenly the Weserstadion was alive again — though Grüll had also collected a yellow card just moments earlier.
Thioune's substitutions proved pivotal. Mitchell Weiser came on in the 68th minute and would later prove decisive. With the clock ticking down, Niclas Füllkrug levelled the contest in the 86th minute, converting a Marco Grüll assist to send the crowd into frenzy. Then, deep into stoppage time at 90+3', Weiser completed the remarkable turnaround — again assisted by the influential Grüll — to secure all three points for Bremen.
Grüll's contribution across the final half-hour was exceptional: one goal, two assists, and the driving force behind an improbable comeback.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast gave a slight edge to FC Augsburg at 37% probability of victory, compared to 38% for a home win, with a 51/100 confidence rating reflecting the genuine uncertainty in this fixture. The predicted scoreline of 1–2 in Augsburg's favour appeared to be heading toward vindication right up until the final stages — but the sheer weight of Werder's attacking statistics, particularly their 16 key passes and 88% successful pass rate, suggested the hosts had the capacity to turn the tide. Our prediction was incorrect, and the low confidence rating fairly reflected how open this contest was.
Key Takeaways
- Marco Grüll was the standout performer, directly contributing to all three of Werder's goals in the comeback
- Augsburg's early two-goal cushion was ultimately insufficient against a Bremen side that dominated possession and shot volume throughout
- The substitutions from both benches shaped the match, with Weiser's introduction ultimately proving the difference
- Werder Bremen move up to sixth place, while Augsburg remain in fourth despite the defeat
- Both sides face significant tests after the international break — Augsburg host FC Bayern München on 10 October, while Werder travel to Borussia Dortmund on 9 October
Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
PredictNext's AI model favours Werder Bremen with a 38% win probability — Werder Bremen 38%, draw 25%, FC Augsburg 37%.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg, generated with 51% model confidence.
Will Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg.
How accurate was the Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was correct.