AC Milan 1–2 Cagliari | Serie A | 24 May 2026

Result Summary

In a result that will have serious implications at both ends of the Serie A table, Cagliari produced a stunning away victory at San Siro, defeating AC Milan 1–2. Despite falling behind inside two minutes, Fabio Pisacane's side showed tremendous resilience and quality to overturn the deficit, with goals from Gennaro Borrelli and Juan Martín Rodríguez Camejo sealing a deserved three points for the visitors.

Match Analysis

Milan made the perfect start when Alexis Saelemaekers fired home in the 2nd minute, finishing via a right-foot shot from an Santiago Gimenez assist. The early goal appeared to set the tone for a comfortable home afternoon — but that narrative would be swiftly dismantled.

Cagliari responded with conviction. Gennaro Borrelli levelled in the 20th minute, converting from a Yerry Mina assist with a composed left-foot finish. Despite the setback, the visitors continued to press, and the statistics tell a remarkable story of their dominance. Cagliari registered 25 total shots and 10 on target, compared to Milan's 16 shots and just 3 on target — a startling disparity that exposes just how poorly the Rossoneri converted their attacking momentum.

That said, Milan were not toothless in possession — 133 attacks versus Cagliari's 86 suggests Allegri's side created pressure in volume, but struggled critically with execution. With 13 shots off target, wastefulness proved fatal.

The decisive moment arrived in the 57th minute, when Juan Martín Rodríguez Camejo headed home to put Cagliari ahead. The goal came just a minute after Strahinja Pavlović had been booked for a foul, and was immediately followed by a yellow card for goalkeeper Mike Maignan for an argument — underlining the tension that had gripped Milan's dressing room.

Massimiliano Allegri responded with a flurry of substitutions, introducing Christian Pulisic, Niclas Füllkrug, Luka Modrić, and Rafael Leão in the second half, but none could unlock a Cagliari defence that held firm and managed the game intelligently. Cagliari's ball possession of 52% — supplemented by an 88% successful pass rate — reflects a side that controlled the match's tempo once they took the lead.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Cagliari away win at 58% probability, with overall confidence rated at 44/100. Despite the low confidence level, the prediction proved correct, with the actual result aligning precisely with the forecast. The underlying data — favouring Cagliari's resilience and Milan's inconsistency — was well-reflected in the final scoreline, even if the margin of one goal kept things closer than the shot count suggested.

Key Takeaways

• Cagliari's goalkeeping and shot efficiency were decisive: 10 shots on target compared to Milan's 3 is a damning reflection of the home side's finishing.
• Milan's early goal flattered to deceive — a fast start masked fundamental issues in converting possession into clean chances.
• Borrelli and Rodríguez Camejo were Cagliari's heroes, both scoring in a disciplined and well-organised away performance under Fabio Pisacane.
• Allegri's heavy second-half changes failed to shift the outcome, raising questions about Milan's squad depth and tactical flexibility late in the season.
• For Cagliari, this result could prove vital in their Serie A survival or positioning battle, marking one of their standout performances of the campaign.