Antigua and Barbuda 5–0 Anguilla | CONCACAF Nations League | September 26, 2026

Result Summary

Antigua and Barbuda delivered a commanding and emphatic performance at home, dismantling Anguilla 5–0 in what proved to be a thoroughly one-sided CONCACAF Nations League encounter. All five goals were scored before half-time, as coach Jacques Antonio Passy Kahn's side demonstrated overwhelming dominance from the opening whistle, though the second half brought its own share of drama in the form of red cards and disciplinary incidents.

Match Analysis

Antigua and Barbuda wasted no time asserting control. Within the very first minute, an early headed goal — assisted by Dion Pereira — set the tone immediately. The home side continued to press their advantage, with Dion Pereira turning provider into scorer himself in the 16th minute, finishing with his left foot after being set up by TJ Bramble. A third goal followed swiftly in the 21st minute, another header, this time assisted by Quinton Griffith, making it 3–0 before the half-hour mark.

The rout continued as D'Andre Bishop added a fourth in the 35th minute via a composed left-foot finish, with Christopher Douglas claiming the assist. A fifth goal arrived just before the break in the 43rd minute — again a left-foot shot — completing a devastating first-half display and effectively ending the contest as a competitive fixture.

The statistics paint an equally stark picture. Antigua and Barbuda dominated possession at 74%, registered 24 total shots compared to Anguilla's 7, and produced 93 dangerous attacks against their opponents' 44. Their 89% successful pass rate versus Anguilla's 62% underscored a clear technical superiority throughout.

The second half, while goalless, was far from uneventful. Disciplinary issues emerged for the home side, with substitute Keon Kevin Greene — introduced in the 71st minute — receiving a red card for violent conduct just one minute later. Further controversy arrived in stoppage time when Shalon Knight, another second-half substitute, was also dismissed, alongside an additional Antiguan player, leaving the hosts significantly reduced in numbers by the final whistle. Anguilla had also received a yellow card in the 29th minute and Antigua picked up a booking in the 44th.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–0 home win, with a 62% probability assigned to an Antigua and Barbuda victory. The prediction of the correct winner proved accurate, validating the directional analysis. However, the 5–0 scoreline far exceeded the predicted margin, reflecting the extent to which Anguilla struggled to cope with the hosts' quality and intensity. With a confidence rating of just 43/100, caution had been exercised — and understandably so — though the gulf in class ultimately proved far greater than anticipated.

Key Takeaways

• Antigua and Barbuda's first-half performance was exceptional, scoring five goals in 43 minutes through a combination of headers and left-foot finishes, with contributions across the squad.
• Dion Pereira was a standout figure — directly involved in two early goals as both assister and scorer before being substituted off in the 71st minute.
• Anguilla offered little resistance, managing only 7 shots in total and creating minimal danger, with their 26% possession share telling its own story.
• Late red cards for Keon Kevin Greene and Shalon Knight will be a concern for coach Kahn heading into upcoming fixtures, with suspensions likely to follow.
• Our forecast correctly identified the winner but underestimated the scale of Antigua's dominance — a result that may elevate their Nations League standing significantly.