Bahamas
Bahamas
0 vs 8

CONCACAF Nations League · Matchday

2026-09-23 20:00:00 · 04:00

Saint Martin
Saint Martin

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 0-8

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Bahamas
BHS
1 - 0
Saint Martin
SAI
34%
Confidence
Unpredictable
40.0%Home
27.0%Draw
33.0%Away
*Note: A predicted score of 1-1 conflicts with a "Bahamas Win" prediction — our model flags a narrow home edge overall.* --- **Bahamas** hold a slim home advantage over **Saint Martin** in this CONCACAF Nations League clash, with territorial familiarity potentially proving crucial at this level. Watch for **Bahamas'** ability to control the midfield and limit **Saint Martin's** counter-attacking transitions, which could be the decisive tactical factor in a tightly contested affair. AI pick: Bahamas Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredBHS or Away
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

BHS Saint Martin
37%
41%
0
46%
59%
1
17%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

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Match Report

Bahamas 0–8 Saint Martin | CONCACAF Nations League | September 23, 2026

Result Summary

Saint Martin delivered a ruthless and commanding performance in Nassau, dismantling the Bahamas by an emphatic 0–8 scoreline in what stands as one of the most one-sided results in recent CONCACAF Nations League history. Under coach Jean-Claude Ducan-Darcheville, Saint Martin were relentless from the opening whistle, while Kevin Davies' Bahamas side had no answers to offer across 90 minutes.

Match Analysis

The tone was set early and unambiguously. Axel Raga Rigobert opened the scoring in the 15th minute, finishing from an Rahim Denis assist, and the floodgates opened almost immediately. Jordan Alexandre doubled the lead in the 20th minute, again assisted by the impressive Denis, before Yanis Montantin added a third in the 23rd minute courtesy of a Stephan Varsovie delivery. By the 32nd minute, Alexandre had his second of the evening — Denis registering his third assist of the match — to put Saint Martin 4–0 ahead before the half-hour mark was even a distant memory.

The statistics tell the full story of Saint Martin's dominance. They held 63% possession, registered 29 total shots to Bahamas' 2, and put 14 shots on target compared to the hosts' zero. Their 99 dangerous attacks versus Bahamas' 25 underlines just how thoroughly they controlled the contest. With 18 key passes to Bahamas' 1, and a passing accuracy of 88% against 70%, Saint Martin were operating at a completely different level.

The misery was compounded for the Bahamas in the 41st minute when Michael Butler turned the ball into his own net, making it 5–0 at the break. Both Butler and Jonathan Miller were replaced at half-time, reflecting the scale of the damage done in the first half.

The second half offered no respite. Raga Rigobert — now operating in a provider role — set up substitute Pierre-Bertrand Arné for the 80th-minute goal, while the forward himself had added a header in the 52nd minute, assisted by Jordan Alexandre, to claim a brace on the night. Alexandre, who also ended the evening with two goals and an assist, was withdrawn in the 61st minute having already made his mark decisively.

The solitary corner registered by the Bahamas against 12 for Saint Martin speaks volumes about how lopsided this contest was from first whistle to last.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast favoured a Bahamas home win at 40%, with confidence rated at just 34/100 — one of our lowest confidence outputs, reflecting genuine uncertainty about this fixture. Saint Martin were assigned a 33% probability of victory. The prediction proved incorrect, and significantly so. While the low confidence rating acknowledged unpredictability, a scoreline of 0–8 was far beyond the range of any reasonable pre-match modelling. Saint Martin were clearly superior in every measurable category, and the result reflects a stark gap in quality between these two sides on the night.

Key Takeaways

  • Rahim Denis was the creative engine in the first half, registering three assists before being substituted in the 60th minute.
  • Axel Raga Rigobert finished as the standout individual with two goals and a late assist.
  • Jordan Alexandre contributed two goals and one assist before his 61st-minute withdrawal, showcasing Saint Martin's depth of attacking threat.
  • The 0–8 result is a significant statement from Saint Martin in the CONCACAF Nations League group stage.
  • For Bahamas, the defensive display — 0 shots on target, five first-half goals conceded — demands serious reflection ahead of upcoming fixtures.

Bahamas vs Saint Martin — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Bahamas vs Saint Martin?

PredictNext's AI model favours Bahamas with a 40% win probability — Bahamas 40%, draw 27%, Saint Martin 33%.

What is the predicted score for Bahamas vs Saint Martin?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Bahamas vs Saint Martin, generated with 34% model confidence.

Will Bahamas vs Saint Martin have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Bahamas vs Saint Martin.

How accurate was the Bahamas vs Saint Martin prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 0-8. The winner call was incorrect.

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