Benevento
Benevento
5 vs 3

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-08-09 19:00:00 · 03:00

Ravenna
Ravenna

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 5-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Benevento
BEN
1 - 0
Ravenna
RAV
53%
Confidence
Low Confidence
55.0%Home
27.0%Draw
18.0%Away
56.4%Home
25.2%Draw
18.4%Away
**Benevento** hold a slight edge over **Ravenna** as the home side, though lineups are still pending which adds some uncertainty to the outlook. Expect **Benevento** to leverage home advantage and defensive solidity — a tight, disciplined backline could prove the decisive tactical factor in what projects as a low-scoring affair. AI pick: Benevento Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
82% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
68% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Benevento Ravenna
12%
64%
0
47%
36%
1
41%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

55%
55%
-0.2%
27%
26%
+0.9%
18%
19%
-0.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Benevento 5–3 Ravenna | Coppa Italia | 9 August 2026

Result Summary

An eight-goal thriller at the Stadio Ciro Vigorito saw Benevento overcome a determined Ravenna side to advance in the Coppa Italia. Despite falling behind twice in the opening quarter of an hour, Antonio Floro Flores' side produced a composed and ultimately commanding second-half display, running out 5–3 winners in a match that delivered far more drama than the pre-match forecast suggested.

Match Analysis

The game began disastrously for the hosts. Vinicius Negro Di Stefano capitalised inside three minutes to give Ravenna an immediate foothold, and Matteo Maggio doubled the visitors' advantage just after the quarter-hour mark. Benevento were rocked but responded almost instantly — Antonio Prisco pulled one back in the 15th minute, trimming the deficit to 2–1 and steadying the home side before the first significant disciplinary moment arrived with a yellow card for a Benevento player at the ten-minute mark.

The first half continued to swing in Ravenna's favour on the attack — they registered 78 attacks to Benevento's 68 across the full match — yet it was Benevento who converted more meaningfully. Francesco Paolo Salvemini levelled proceedings at 2–2 in the 39th minute, sending the sides into the break on level terms after a frantic opening 45 minutes. Vinicius also collected a yellow card in the 43rd minute, a booking that would carry consequences as the game progressed.

Ravenna re-emerged with purpose and Vinicius Negro Di Stefano struck again in the 53rd minute to restore the visitors' lead at 3–2. However, Floro Flores responded decisively with a triple substitution at the 55th minute, introducing Raffaele Romano, Simone Verdi, and a third unnamed player. The impact was immediate and decisive. Romano himself found the net in the 61st minute to level at 3–3, and Stefano Scognamillo then gave Benevento the lead for the first time in the match in the 72nd minute, with Simone Verdi providing the assist — his influence visible almost immediately after coming on.

Ravenna made four changes of their own — replacing Maggio, Lonardi, Vinicius, and Tenkorang — but could not claw their way back into the contest. Scognamillo's booking at 66 minutes (alongside Ravenna's Giulio Donati) added needle to proceedings, but Benevento held firm. Salvemini wrapped up the scoring with his second goal in stoppage time to seal a convincing 5–3 final scoreline. Benevento's superiority in shots on target (9 vs 7), dangerous attacks (56 vs 45), and total shots (18 vs 11) ultimately reflected where the match was decided — in clinical execution.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 Benevento victory, giving the home side a 55% probability of winning. While the scoreline was far more open than anticipated — and the match briefly looked like slipping away from Benevento — the prediction of a home win proved correct. The low confidence rating of 53/100 acknowledged the inherent uncertainty in this fixture, and that caution was entirely warranted given how freely both teams found the net. The directional call, however, holds up well.

Key Takeaways

  • Vinicius Negro Di Stefano was Ravenna's standout performer with a brace, though his yellow card and eventual substitution at 78' reflected the toll of the match.
  • Salvemini's double and the half-time triple substitution were the pivotal moments in Benevento's comeback.
  • Simone Verdi's assist for Scognamillo's decisive goal underlines the quality Benevento can introduce from the bench.
  • Despite the victory, conceding three goals will be a concern for Floro Flores ahead of further competition.

Benevento vs Ravenna — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Benevento vs Ravenna?

PredictNext's AI model favours Benevento with a 55% win probability — Benevento 55%, draw 27%, Ravenna 18%.

What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Ravenna?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Benevento vs Ravenna, generated with 53% model confidence.

Will Benevento vs Ravenna have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Benevento vs Ravenna.

How accurate was the Benevento vs Ravenna prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 5-3. The winner call was correct.

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