Bologna
Bologna
2 vs 2

Serie A · Matchday

2026-09-06 16:00:00 · 00:00

Sassuolo
Sassuolo

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 2-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Bologna
BOL
1 - 1
Sassuolo
SAS
52%
Confidence
Low Confidence
47.0%Home
27.0%Draw
26.0%Away
49.0%Home
27.2%Draw
23.8%Away
**Bologna** enter this Serie A clash as narrow favorites, though the absence of **R. Orsolini** through a hamstring injury is a notable blow to their attacking threat. The H2H record leans in Bologna's favor, with three wins from the last five meetings, and **Sassuolo** will look to exploit the depleted right flank. AI pick: Bologna Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
74% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
56% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
54% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Bologna Sassuolo
12%
36%
0
47%
64%
1
41%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

47%
49%
-1.5%
27%
27%
-0.5%
26%
24%
+2.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Bologna 2–2 Sassuolo | Serie A | 6 September 2026

A dramatic late equaliser rescued a point for Bologna, as Artem Dovbyk's 90+1' strike cancelled out Sassuolo's second-half lead in a pulsating Serie A encounter at the Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. The draw was hard-fought, contentious, and ultimately a fair reflection of a match that swung in momentum several times throughout.


Match Analysis

Sassuolo made the brighter start despite Bologna's clear statistical dominance across the match. Josh Doig opened the scoring in the 19th minute, converting from a Simone Cinquegrano assist with a left-foot finish to give Alberto Aquilani's side a deserved early lead. It was a disciplined, well-structured Sassuolo performance in the opening period, with the visitors containing Bologna's pressure despite conceding 61% possession and 114 attacks across the 90 minutes.

The half-time interval proved pivotal for Domenico Tedesco. Three simultaneous substitutions at the break — Marco Libra Alvarado, Juan Miranda González, and Nikola Moro all introduced — visibly altered Bologna's approach. The equaliser arrived quickly: Roberto Piccoli headed home in the 50th minute, with Juan Miranda providing the assist in what was almost an immediate impact for the new arrival.

The match then erupted into a feisty spell. Three bookings in the space of three minutes — Emil Holm (51'), Piccoli himself (53'), and Jay Idzes for Sassuolo (54') — reflected the tension that had built. Yet Sassuolo responded clinically. Vasilije Adžić restored the visitors' lead in the 56th minute with a composed right-foot finish, and the Montenegro midfielder was rightly withdrawn shortly after to protect him from the physical contest.

Bologna pushed relentlessly. Their shot count reached 21 total efforts compared to Sassuolo's 15, though notably Sassuolo edged shots on target 6–5, underlining their clinical efficiency on the counter. With the match seemingly heading toward a Sassuolo victory, Dovbyk arrived off the bench to rescue a point in stoppage time, his left-foot strike in the 90+1' moment of the match — though his celebration was swiftly tempered by a yellow card. The drama continued into added time, with a Bologna player dismissed via red card in the 90+4', adding a sour note to the home side's comeback.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, with a 27% probability assigned to the draw outcome. While the scoreline exceeded our anticipated goal tally — finishing 2–2 rather than 1–1 — the prediction of a shared spoils result proved correct, and the underlying confidence rating of 52/100 appropriately reflected the competitive balance between these two sides. The draw outcome was vindicated.


Key Takeaways

  • Dovbyk's late intervention was the defining moment, transforming what would have been a damaging defeat into a salvaged point for Bologna.
  • Sassuolo's clinical edge — six shots on target from only 39% possession — demonstrates Aquilani's side can hurt teams even without the ball.
  • The flurry of cards in the 51'–54' window and the late red card suggest discipline will be a focal point for Tedesco ahead of future fixtures.
  • Bologna's dominant territorial and passing metrics (94% pass accuracy, 68 dangerous attacks) were not fully converted — an area requiring attention.
  • Both managers used their substitution bench actively and effectively, with Doig, Adžić, and Piccoli all central to the goalscoring narrative.

Bologna vs Sassuolo — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Bologna vs Sassuolo?

PredictNext's AI model favours Bologna with a 47% win probability — Bologna 47%, draw 27%, Sassuolo 26%.

What is the predicted score for Bologna vs Sassuolo?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Bologna vs Sassuolo, generated with 52% model confidence.

Will Bologna vs Sassuolo have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Bologna vs Sassuolo.

How accurate was the Bologna vs Sassuolo prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 2-2. The winner call was incorrect.

More Serie A AI Predictions