Cambodia
Cambodia
3 vs 0

ASEAN Championship · Matchday

2026-08-03 10:30:00 · 18:30

East Timor
East Timor

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 3-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Cambodia
KHM
1 - 2
East Timor
TLS
49%
Confidence
Low Confidence
26.0%Home
24.0%Draw
50.0%Away
East Timor enter as clear favorites against Cambodia, holding a strong away win probability backed by superior recent form in ASEAN competition. The key tactical factor will be East Timor's counter-attacking threat on the break, which could expose Cambodia's defensive line in transition. AI pick: East Timor Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredKHM or TLS
76% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
62% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
55% both teams score
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

KHM TLS
41%
0%
0
45%
38%
1
14%
63%
2
0%
0%
3+

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Match Report

Cambodia Stun East Timor with Commanding 3-0 Victory

Cambodia produced a dominant display in their ASEAN Championship clash on August 3, 2026, defeating East Timor 3-0 in a result that defied most pre-match expectations. Under the guidance of coach Koji Gyotoku, the Cambodian side were clinical in front of goal, converting their opportunities with impressive efficiency to claim a comprehensive three-goal victory.

Match Analysis

Despite the scoreline suggesting a one-sided contest, the underlying statistics tell a more nuanced story. East Timor actually held the majority of possession at 56% to Cambodia's 44%, generated more attacks (65 vs 53), more dangerous attacks (45 vs 33), and earned more corners (9 vs 5). On paper, Jose Pedro Alves Salazar's East Timor side were the more active team in terms of territorial dominance — yet it was Cambodia who were ruthlessly effective when it mattered.

The key difference proved to be shots on target: Cambodia registered 7 to East Timor's 4, from an equal total of 10 shots apiece. Cambodia's conversion rate was simply outstanding. Hav Soknet was the undeniable star of the match, scoring twice to put the game beyond East Timor's reach.

His first came in the 16th minute, a well-taken header assisted by Phat Sokha, giving Cambodia an early advantage that set the tone. East Timor struggled to translate their possession into meaningful threats, and Cambodia held firm through the first half despite Vakhim Im picking up a yellow card for a foul in the 38th minute.

The second half brought more of the same. Hav Soknet completed his brace in the 63rd minute with a composed left-foot finish, assisted by Mon Vanda, effectively ending East Timor's hopes of a comeback. East Timor made a change shortly before, introducing Vabio Canavaro Araujo Santos Pires in place of Olagar Malik in the 59th minute, but the substitution failed to shift momentum. A yellow card was also shown to an East Timor player in the 82nd minute for a foul, reflecting their growing frustration.

Cambodia wrapped up the scoring in the 90th minute with a third goal via a field effort, sealing a clean sheet and a statement victory. The introduction of Dimong Sophal in the closing stages, replacing the outstanding Soknet, allowed the match-winner a well-earned ovation from the crowd.

Cambodia's disciplined defensive structure — limiting East Timor to just 4 fouls committed compared to their own 12 — suggests they at times invited pressure, yet remained organized and dangerous on the counter. Their pass success rate of 86% was solid, though East Timor's 90% passing accuracy underlines how much the visitors dominated the ball without reward.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast had pointed toward an East Timor win (50% probability), with Cambodia given just a 26% chance of victory. That prediction proved incorrect, and the margin of error was significant — not just in calling the wrong winner, but underestimating Cambodia's clinical edge in front of goal. With a confidence score of only 49/100, the uncertainty was acknowledged, but the statistical dominance East Timor showed in several categories made the away prediction understandable, if ultimately misplaced.

Key Takeaways

  • Hav Soknet was the match's defining figure with a brace and strong aerial presence
  • Cambodia proved that efficiency, not possession, wins matches
  • East Timor's inability to convert territorial advantage into goals was their undoing
  • Coach Koji Gyotoku has his side performing with real competitive edge in this ASEAN Championship campaign

Cambodia vs East Timor — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Cambodia vs East Timor?

PredictNext's AI model favours East Timor with a 50% win probability — Cambodia 26%, draw 24%, East Timor 50%.

What is the predicted score for Cambodia vs East Timor?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Cambodia vs East Timor, generated with 49% model confidence.

Will Cambodia vs East Timor have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in Cambodia vs East Timor.

How accurate was the Cambodia vs East Timor prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 3-0. The winner call was incorrect.

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