Celje
Celje
2 vs 2

Europa League · Matchday

2026-10-22 19:00:00 · 03:00 · Stadion Z'dežele

Salzburg
Salzburg

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 2-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Celje
CEL
0 - 2
Salzburg
RBS
55%
Confidence
Low Confidence
21.0%Home
24.0%Draw
55.0%Away
22.6%Home
24.1%Draw
53.3%Away
**Salzburg** enter as clear favorites against **Celje**, backed by superior European pedigree and a 55% win probability. **Celje** face a further blow with N. Veratschnig, E. Aguilar, and J. Omoregie all ruled out through injury, significantly weakening their attacking options. **Salzburg's** pressing intensity should expose a depleted home side struggling for creativity. AI pick: Salzburg Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or RBS
79% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
58% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
52% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreHaris TabakovicAlso: Karim Konate, Gaoussou Diakite

Goal Probability

CEL RBS
66%
0%
0
34%
24%
1
0%
48%
2
0%
27%
3+

Odds Comparison

21%
23%
-2.3%
24%
25%
-0.7%
55%
52%
+3.0%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3653.903.701.75-18.1%-11.2%-3.7%
Pinnacle4.193.941.78-12.0%-5.4%-2.1%
1xbetVALUE4.263.991.83-10.5%-4.2%+0.7%
WilliamHill4.003.701.80-16.0%-11.2%-1.0%
Betfair4.003.801.80-16.0%-8.8%-1.0%
bwin4.103.801.80-13.9%-8.8%-1.0%
Ladbrokes4.003.801.80-16.0%-8.8%-1.0%
DafabetVALUE4.103.851.86-13.9%-7.6%+2.3%
MelBet4.163.901.79-12.6%-6.4%-1.5%
Macauslot3.553.651.76-25.5%-12.4%-3.2%
MansionBet3.953.751.78-17.0%-10.0%-2.1%
Coral4.203.801.80-11.8%-8.8%-1.0%
Sbo3.593.451.81-24.6%-17.2%-0.4%
BetVictor4.003.701.75-16.0%-11.2%-3.7%
Marathonbet4.203.941.81-11.8%-5.4%-0.4%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Celje Hold Salzburg to Dramatic Europa League Draw

A stunning 90th-minute equaliser from Armandas Kučys rescued a 2-2 draw for NK Celje against Red Bull Salzburg in Thursday's Europa League clash at home, denying Danny Röhl's side what had looked like a comfortable away victory. The result was a testament to Celje's resilience under coach Zoran Željkovič, who refused to allow his side to capitulate despite being outplayed for significant stretches of the contest.

Match Analysis

Salzburg took control early when Sota Kitano opened the scoring in the 9th minute, converting with his right foot from an assist by the influential Damir Redzic. The Austrian side looked the more threatening throughout the first half, finishing with 15 total shots to Celje's 9, though the possession stats told a remarkably level story — exactly 50% each — suggesting Celje were far from passive.

A frantic spell of bookings disrupted the rhythm of the first half, with Artemijus Tutyškinas (32') and Pijus Sirvys (43') picking up yellows for Celje, while Redzic was also cautioned in the 35th minute for Salzburg. The discipline issues gave both sides moments of frustration heading into the break.

The game appeared to be decided within minutes of the restart. Jesper Lindstrøm, introduced as a half-time substitute, made an immediate impact, scoring from a right-foot effort just 46 seconds into the second half — again assisted by Redzic, who was proving to be Salzburg's creative engine. With a two-goal cushion, Salzburg seemed to be cruising toward three valuable Europa League points.

Celje refused to fold. Blaž Kramer pulled one back in the 50th minute, finishing with his left foot from a Svit Sešlar assist, and suddenly the atmosphere shifted entirely. Zoran Željkovič made attacking changes as the match progressed, introducing Yaya Dukuly in the 60th minute and Armandas Kučys in the 81st — both decisions that would prove pivotal.

With the clock winding down, Kučys delivered in the most dramatic fashion possible, heading — or rather finishing with his right foot — in the 90th minute from a Dukuly assist to level at 2-2. Salzburg's Bartosz Mazurek was booked in stoppage time for time-wasting, underlining the tension that gripped the closing stages.

Salzburg's statistics painted the picture of the dominant side: 15 total shots, 8 off target, 12 key passes, and a slightly higher dangerous attack count of 46 to Celje's 46 — equal on that measure, in fact — yet the Austrian side could not hold on when it mattered most.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast pointed toward a Salzburg win at 55% confidence, projecting a 0-2 scoreline. The prediction correctly identified Salzburg's superiority in attacking threat and overall quality, and for much of the match that logic held firm. However, the forecast underestimated Celje's character and their capacity to capitalise on late-game fatigue, particularly through substitutes. A draw was assigned just a 24% probability, and on this occasion, that outcome materialised in the most theatrical of circumstances. The result serves as a reminder that probability does not guarantee outcome — late goals can reshape an entire narrative.

Key Takeaways

  • Damir Redzic was the standout creator for Salzburg, registering assists for both goals before being withdrawn in the 83rd minute.
  • Substitute impact decided the result — Lindstrøm scored within moments of coming on, while Kučys equalised nine minutes after his introduction.
  • Celje's 85% passing accuracy and perfectly split possession figure show they were far more competitive than their underdog status suggested.
  • Both sides take a point from an entertaining, evenly-matched Europa League encounter.

Celje vs Salzburg — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Celje vs Salzburg?

PredictNext's AI model favours Salzburg with a 55% win probability — Celje 21%, draw 24%, Salzburg 55%.

What is the predicted score for Celje vs Salzburg?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Celje vs Salzburg, generated with 55% model confidence.

Will Celje vs Salzburg have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for under 2.5 goals in Celje vs Salzburg.

How accurate was the Celje vs Salzburg prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 2-2. The winner call was incorrect.

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