Cremonese
Cremonese
2 vs 0

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-08-17 18:45:00 · 02:45

Sampdoria
Sampdoria

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 2-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Cremonese
CRE
1 - 0
Sampdoria
SAM
56%
Confidence
Low Confidence
44.0%Home
29.0%Draw
27.0%Away
50.0%Home
27.4%Draw
22.6%Away
**Cremonese** hold a slight home advantage over **Sampdoria** in this Coppa Italia clash, with the narrowest of edges in win probability. The decisive factor may come down to Cremonese's compact defensive shape, where a disciplined backline could neutralize Sampdoria's attacking threat and protect a slender lead. AI pick: Cremonese Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
68% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
63% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Cremonese Sampdoria
17%
58%
0
49%
42%
1
34%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

44%
45%
-1.2%
29%
30%
-0.4%
27%
25%
+1.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Cremonese 2–0 Sampdoria | Coppa Italia | 17 August 2026

Result Summary

Cremonese opened their Coppa Italia campaign with a commanding 2–0 victory over Sampdoria at home, with goals from David Gharabaghi Stückler in the 23rd minute and a late clincher from substitute Tommaso Berti deep into stoppage time. Marco Giampaolo's side were clinical when it mattered most, converting three shots on target into two goals while keeping Bernardo Corradi's Sampdoria firmly at bay throughout.

Match Analysis

Cremonese set the tone early, and the deadlock was broken midway through the first half when David Gharabaghi Stückler converted with a left-foot shot, assisted by Michele Collocolo — a well-worked move that rewarded the home side's organised approach. The goal gave Cremonese the platform to manage the game on their own terms.

The statistics paint an interesting picture of the second half's ebb and flow. Sampdoria held marginally more of the attacking initiative — recording 91 attacks to Cremonese's 76 — but were consistently undone by their own lack of precision. Five offsides disrupted their forward momentum, and they managed just one key pass across the entire match compared to Cremonese's five, a telling indicator of how ineffective their final ball proved to be. Despite generating four corners to Cremonese's two, Sampdoria could not convert their territorial moments into genuine danger.

A fractious spell mid-match added some heat to proceedings. Jari Vandeputte was booked in the 52nd minute for an argument, followed by a cluster of yellow cards around the 69th and 71st minutes involving Fabio Gerli and Giuseppe Pezzella for Cremonese, and Liam Henderson for Sampdoria — reflecting a tense but ultimately controlled phase of play.

Cremonese's substitutions proved astute. Tommaso Berti, introduced in the 62nd minute, sealed the tie in the 90th minute, finishing with a composed left-foot shot to make it 2–0 and put the result beyond any doubt. Manuel De Luca, Francesco Folino, Dachi Lordkipanidze, and Marco Nasti also came off the bench as Giampaolo rotated his options efficiently. Sampdoria's own late changes — bringing on Alex Ferrari, Lorenzo Paratici, Bjorn Meijer, and Gennaro Tutino — failed to alter the outcome, arriving too late to shift the momentum.

Possession was evenly split — 51% Cremonese vs 49% Sampdoria — and both sides completed passes at a high rate (91% and 90% respectively), suggesting the difference lay not in control, but in decision-making in the final third. Cremonese's seven total shots yielded three on target and two goals; Sampdoria's six shots produced three on target but no reward.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called a 1–0 Cremonese win, with a 44% probability assigned to a home victory and a confidence rating of 56/100. The directional call proved correct — Cremonese did win, and the clean sheet was anticipated — though the margin of 2–0 slightly exceeded our predicted scoreline. The low-confidence rating reflected genuine uncertainty, and Sampdoria's slightly higher attack volume during the match justified that caution.

Key Takeaways

  • Cremonese were ruthlessly efficient, converting their limited but high-quality chances while denying Sampdoria any cutting edge.
  • Collocolo's assist and Berti's late finish highlighted the squad depth Giampaolo can call upon from the bench.
  • Sampdoria's five offsides and just one key pass underline the need for sharper attacking cohesion under Corradi.
  • A disciplined home performance gives Cremonese strong momentum heading into the next round of the Coppa Italia.

Cremonese vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Cremonese and Sampdoria: Cremonese 2W · 3D · Sampdoria 1W.

2

3

1

Thu, May 1, 2025Sampdoria0-0Cremonese
Sun, Dec 22, 2024Cremonese1-1Sampdoria
Tue, Feb 27, 2024Sampdoria1-2Cremonese
Sun, Sep 3, 2023Cremonese1-1Sampdoria
Sat, Apr 8, 2023Sampdoria2-3Cremonese

Cremonese vs Sampdoria — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Cremonese vs Sampdoria?

PredictNext's AI model favours Cremonese with a 44% win probability — Cremonese 44%, draw 29%, Sampdoria 27%.

What is the predicted score for Cremonese vs Sampdoria?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Cremonese vs Sampdoria, generated with 56% model confidence.

Will Cremonese vs Sampdoria have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for under 2.5 goals in Cremonese vs Sampdoria.

How accurate was the Cremonese vs Sampdoria prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was correct.

More Coppa Italia AI Predictions