Dominica
Dominica
0 vs 2

CONCACAF Nations League · Matchday

2026-09-28 00:00:00 · 08:00

Puerto Rico
Puerto Rico

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 0-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Dominica
DOM
1 - 0
Puerto Rico
PUE
36%
Confidence
Unpredictable
36.0%Home
31.0%Draw
33.0%Away
Puerto Rico hold a narrow edge over Dominica in this CONCACAF Nations League clash, carrying the stronger regional pedigree into the contest. The key tactical factor will be Puerto Rico's ability to stay compact defensively and exploit transitions, limiting Dominica's home advantage. AI pick: Puerto Rico Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
69% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
68% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Dominica Puerto Rico
42%
45%
0
43%
55%
1
15%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Puerto Rico Cruise to Comfortable Victory Over Dominica

Puerto Rico delivered a disciplined and commanding performance in Roseau, securing a 2-0 victory over Dominica in the CONCACAF Nations League on September 28, 2026. Goals from Rodolfo Sulia and Wilfredo Rivera ensured Jason Mims' side left with all three points, while the statistics tell a story of near-total Puerto Rican dominance throughout the ninety minutes.

Match Analysis

Puerto Rico wasted little time imposing themselves on the contest. Just four minutes in, Rodolfo Sulia rose to direct a header past Dominica goalkeeper Donte Newton, setting an early tone that Dominica would struggle to recover from throughout the match. The early strike effectively forced the hosts into a reactive shape, and the statistics reflect how thoroughly Puerto Rico controlled proceedings — finishing the match with 69% ball possession, a 90% successful pass percentage, and generating 95 attacks compared to Dominica's 73.

Dominica did show some resilience and managed to create moments of their own — recording 10 total shots and earning 6 corner kicks — but the gulf in quality and control was evident. Puerto Rico's 19 total shots, 6 on target, and 13 key passes underline just how relentlessly they pressed for further goals.

The second goal arrived in the 37th minute, when Wilfredo Rivera converted with a right-foot shot, assisted by André Cutler, to double the lead before the break. With a two-goal cushion at half-time, Puerto Rico had effectively put the tie to bed.

The second half was punctuated by a flurry of bookings in quick succession. Nicolás Cardona of Puerto Rico was cautioned in the 60th minute, followed swiftly by Dominica's Lyan Edwards and Eustace Marshall in the 61st and 62nd minutes respectively — a tense spell that reflected growing frustration from the hosts. Dominica also collected a first-half yellow card for Briel Thomas in the 23rd minute for a foul, meaning they ended the game with three yellow cards to Puerto Rico's one.

Puerto Rico managed the closing stages efficiently through a series of substitutions, bringing on Juan O'Neill, Ricardo Rivera, Callum Stretch, and Dante Williams to see out the result. Dominica introduced Reon Cuffy late on but were unable to threaten meaningfully, finishing the game with only 2 shots on target despite Dominica's 16 fouls highlighting their physical approach in attempting to disrupt Puerto Rico's rhythm.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast leaned narrowly toward a Dominica home win at 36% probability, with the prediction ultimately proving incorrect. It must be acknowledged that confidence in this forecast was low — just 36 out of 100 — reflecting genuine uncertainty around the fixture. Puerto Rico's performance, however, was far more convincing than a tight contest might have suggested, with their statistical superiority evident across virtually every category.

Key Takeaways

  • Rodolfo Sulia's early header set the tone and gave Puerto Rico the platform to control the match from the outset.
  • Wilfredo Rivera was influential throughout before being substituted late, contributing directly to the second goal with a well-taken right-foot finish.
  • Puerto Rico's 90% passing accuracy and possession dominance made Dominica's task near-impossible after conceding so early.
  • Dominica's 16 fouls and three yellow cards reflect their struggle to cope with Puerto Rico's technical quality through legitimate means.
  • Jason Mims' side will take considerable confidence from this result heading further into the Nations League campaign.

Dominica vs Puerto Rico — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Dominica vs Puerto Rico?

PredictNext's AI model favours Dominica with a 36% win probability — Dominica 36%, draw 31%, Puerto Rico 33%.

What is the predicted score for Dominica vs Puerto Rico?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Dominica vs Puerto Rico, generated with 36% model confidence.

Will Dominica vs Puerto Rico have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for under 2.5 goals in Dominica vs Puerto Rico.

How accurate was the Dominica vs Puerto Rico prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 0-2. The winner call was incorrect.

More CONCACAF Nations League AI Predictions