Fiorentina
Fiorentina
3 vs 0

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-09-15 19:00:00 · 03:00

Pisa
Pisa

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 3-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Fiorentina
FIO
2 - 0
Pisa
PIS
65%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
67.0%Home
21.0%Draw
12.0%Away
64.3%Home
21.2%Draw
14.5%Away
Fiorentina enter this Coppa Italia tie as clear favorites, boosted by Pisa's confirmed injury blow with R. Bozhinov ruled out. The hosts' home advantage and superior squad depth should prove decisive, particularly in breaking down a Pisa side now missing attacking options. AI pick: Fiorentina Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
88% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Fiorentina Pisa
0%
54%
0
41%
46%
1
48%
0%
2
11%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

67%
69%
-1.9%
21%
19%
+1.8%
12%
12%
0.0%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Fiorentina 3–0 Pisa | Coppa Italia | 15 September 2026

Result Summary

Fiorentina delivered a commanding Coppa Italia performance at home, dismantling Pisa with a convincing 3–0 victory. Goals from Mateo Pellegrino Casalanguila, Degnand Wilfried Gnonto, and Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves sealed a dominant evening for Paolo Vanoli's side, who were rarely troubled by a Pisa outfit that mustered precisely zero shots on target throughout the entire ninety-plus minutes.

Match Analysis

Fiorentina controlled the contest from the outset, and the statistics paint an unambiguous picture. The hosts generated 13 total shots to Pisa's 6, with an even more telling split on shots on target — 7 for Fiorentina, 0 for Pisa. That complete inability to test David de Gea Quintana effectively ended Pisa's hopes of a result before the hour mark had even arrived.

The opener arrived just before half-time, when Mateo Pellegrino Casalanguila converted with a left foot shot in the 40th minute, giving Fiorentina a deserved lead heading into the break. The goal rewarded a first half in which the hosts had already established clear territorial superiority, reflected in their 145 attacks to Pisa's 78 and 48 dangerous attacks versus 31.

The second half saw Paolo Vanoli make proactive use of his bench. Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves and Alieu Eybi Njie both entered at the hour mark, and the impact was almost immediate. On 71 minutes, Gnonto doubled the advantage with a right foot finish, with Njie providing the assist — a fine contribution from a player who had been on the pitch barely twelve minutes. The game was effectively settled.

A bookings flurry around the 52nd–55th minute added brief tension, with Simone Canestrelli picking up a yellow for Pisa and Víctor Valdepeñas receiving one for Fiorentina in an argument moments later, prompting Valdepeñas' own substitution shortly afterwards. Pisa's triple change at the 59th minute — bringing on Angori, Moreo, and Petagna — failed to shift the momentum.

The evening was wrapped up in stoppage time when Gonçalves added a third with a right foot shot in the 90+2nd minute, assisted by substitute Álex Jiménez, underlining Fiorentina's depth and quality across the full squad. Fiorentina's 94% successful pass percentage compared to Pisa's 88% further highlights how fluently Vanoli's side moved the ball all night.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast projected a 2–0 Fiorentina win with a 67% home victory probability and a confidence rating of 65/100. The direction of the result was correctly anticipated — Fiorentina did win, and comfortably so. The final margin of 3–0 exceeded our projected scoreline, though the underlying logic held firm. Pisa's inability to register a single shot on target suggests our confidence in the hosts was, if anything, slightly conservative.

Key Takeaways

  • Fiorentina's clinical efficiency was the defining factor — 7 shots on target, 3 goals, 0 conceded.
  • Gnonto and Gonçalves both contributed as impactful substitutes, highlighting the squad depth Vanoli can call upon.
  • Pisa were toothless in attack, managing just 6 shots in total with none troubling the goalkeeper — a concerning sign for Paolo Bianco's side.
  • Fiorentina's dominant attacking volume (145 attacks) underscored their control throughout and justifies further confidence in them as serious Coppa Italia contenders.

Fiorentina vs Pisa — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Fiorentina vs Pisa?

PredictNext's AI model favours Fiorentina with a 67% win probability — Fiorentina 67%, draw 21%, Pisa 12%.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Pisa?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Fiorentina vs Pisa, generated with 65% model confidence.

Will Fiorentina vs Pisa have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Pisa.

How accurate was the Fiorentina vs Pisa prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 3-0. The winner call was correct.

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