
Serie A · Matchday
2026-04-26 10:30:00 · 18:30

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 0-0
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Match Report
Fiorentina 0–0 Sassuolo | Serie A | 26 April 2026
Result Summary
A goalless stalemate at the Artemio Franchi as Fiorentina and Sassuolo shared the spoils in what ultimately proved a frustrating afternoon for the hosts. Despite dominating large portions of the match in terms of attacking intent, Paolo Vanoli's side could not convert their superiority into goals against a disciplined Sassuolo outfit marshalled by Fabio Grosso.
Match Analysis
Fiorentina dominated the shot count but failed to find a finish. The numbers tell a compelling story: the hosts registered 22 total shots to Sassuolo's 11, with 5 shots on target compared to just 1 for the visitors. Fiorentina also held the edge in dangerous attacks (60 vs 35) and generated 16 key passes to Sassuolo's 10, yet Stefano Turati and the Sassuolo backline — anchored by the experienced Nemanja Matić and Jay Idzes — held firm throughout.
Sassuolo, meanwhile, operated efficiently without the ball, edging possession at 51% to 49% and matching Fiorentina with an 87% successful pass percentage. Their defensive shape was clearly prioritised, with Andrea Pinamonti starved of service and managing limited involvement before being withdrawn at the 74th minute for Mbala N'Zola.
The disciplinary picture added texture to the game's competitive edge. Luca Ranieri picked up a yellow card in the 30th minute for a foul, while Rolando Mandragora followed in the 57th minute — his booking directly prompting Vanoli to hook him in favour of Giovanni Fabbian at the 67th minute. Jack Harrison had already been replaced a minute earlier by Jacopo Fazzini as Fiorentina sought a creative spark. On the Sassuolo side, Armand Laurienté was cautioned in the 81st minute, and was himself substituted in the 88th minute for Luca Moro as Grosso managed his squad for the closing stages.
Fiorentina's 7 corners to Sassuolo's 4 underline their territorial pressure, and the 12 off-target efforts hint at a lack of composure in the final third rather than a lack of opportunity. Albert Gudmundsson and Manor Solomon were lively in attacking areas, but on this occasion the cutting edge was absent.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–1 draw, with a 29.7% probability assigned to the draw outcome. While the scoreline diverged — the actual result being goalless rather than a scoring draw — the directional prediction of a shared result proved correct. With a confidence rating of just 55/100, the model appropriately reflected the inherent unpredictability of this fixture, and the draw outcome validates the analytical framework even if the goal tally differed.
Key Takeaways
- Fiorentina created enough to win but were let down by poor finishing and resilient Sassuolo goalkeeping — 5 shots on target from 22 attempts is a conversion rate that needed addressing.
- Sassuolo's defensive organisation under Grosso was the story of the match; limiting the hosts to a single goal across 90 minutes despite heavy pressure is a creditable team effort.
- Mandragora's early second-half booking forced Vanoli's hand tactically, with Fabbian brought on to stabilise midfield.
- A point each may satisfy neither side in their respective Serie A campaigns, but Sassuolo in particular will take confidence from restricting a dangerous Fiorentina attack so effectively.
Fiorentina vs Sassuolo — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fiorentina vs Sassuolo?
PredictNext's AI model favours Fiorentina with a 46% win probability — Fiorentina 46%, draw 30%, Sassuolo 24%.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Sassuolo?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Fiorentina vs Sassuolo, generated with 55% model confidence.
Will Fiorentina vs Sassuolo have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 46% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for under 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Sassuolo.
How accurate was the Fiorentina vs Sassuolo prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 0-0. The winner call was incorrect.