Fiorentina
Fiorentina
4 vs 1

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-08-14 19:15:00 · 03:15

TBC
TBC

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 4-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Fiorentina
FIO
0 - 2
TBC
TBC
40%
Confidence
Low Confidence
18.0%Home
17.0%Draw
65.0%Away
75.9%Home
16.0%Draw
8.1%Away
With the opponent yet to be confirmed, Fiorentina enter this Coppa Italia fixture as clear favorites, backed by home advantage and a 62% win probability. Their attacking structure should control proceedings regardless of the opposition, with the key factor being how effectively they press and convert chances early. AI pick: Fiorentina Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
83% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
58% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Fiorentina TBC
69%
0%
0
31%
16%
1
0%
51%
2
0%
32%
3+

Odds Comparison

18%
77%
-59.5%
17%
15%
+1.9%
65%
8%
+57.5%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI Contrarian Pick: Away Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Fiorentina 4–1 TBC | Coppa Italia | 14 August 2026

Result Summary

Fiorentina delivered a dominant Coppa Italia performance on home turf, dispatching TBC with a convincing 4–1 victory under coach Fabio Grosso. The result was never seriously in doubt after a blistering first hour, with goals from Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean, Luca Ranieri, and Cher Ndour putting the tie beyond reach before TBC mustered any meaningful consolation.


Match Analysis

Fiorentina wasted absolutely no time making their intentions clear. Albert Gudmundsson opened the scoring with a header in just the 2nd minute, setting an assertive tone from the outset. Despite TBC carrying the ball more — finishing with 58% possession compared to Fiorentina's 42% — it was Grosso's side that translated their chances into goals far more efficiently.

Moise Kean doubled the lead on 35 minutes, converting a right-foot finish from an assist by João Mário, who would not see out the half. The Portuguese midfielder was substituted at half-time, replaced by Domilson Cordeiro dos Santos, and Fiorentina responded to the tactical reshuffle with two goals in rapid succession after the restart.

Luca Ranieri headed home on 47 minutes, assisted by Radu Drăgușin, before Cher Ndour struck with a composed left-foot finish on 50 minutes — set up by Marco Brescianini — to make it four. Three goals in the space of three second-half minutes effectively ended the contest before the hour mark.

TBC did find a response through Davide Lamesta, who pulled one back on 54 minutes with a left-foot effort assisted by Pietro Beruatto, but it amounted to little more than a consolation. Coach Antonio Floro Flores made several changes in an attempt to reshape matters, introducing Simone Verdi among others, though the scoreline remained unchanged.

The statistics tell an interesting tactical story. TBC generated more overall volume — 103 attacks to Fiorentina's 66, 15 total shots to 14, and 52 dangerous attacks to 28 — yet Fiorentina's 7 shots on target against TBC's 4 underlines the clinical edge that ultimately proved decisive. Fiorentina's 12 key passes to TBC's 9 further reflects the quality in the home side's build-up play, despite operating in a lower possession share. David de Gea in goal was rarely tested, with TBC's shooting accuracy poor given their volume of attempts — 8 shots off target out of 15 efforts total.

A yellow card for Christ Ravynel Inao Oulaï on 70 minutes was the only disciplinary note of consequence for Fiorentina, while Beruatto collected a late booking in stoppage time for TBC.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast backed TBC to win, assigning them a 65% probability of victory against a 18% chance for Fiorentina — a prediction that proved spectacularly wide of the mark. With a confidence rating of just 40/100, there was internal uncertainty attached to this forecast, and so it proved. Fiorentina were sharper, more clinical, and better organised when it mattered, rendering the expected outcome entirely redundant.


Takeaways

  • Fiorentina's attacking depth is immediately evident, with four different scorers across the starting lineup demonstrating genuine squad quality.
  • Clinical finishing over raw possession was the defining factor — TBC dominated the ball but lacked the precision to convert.
  • Grosso's side will enter the next round of the Coppa Italia with considerable momentum and confidence after this emphatic opening statement.

Fiorentina vs TBC — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Fiorentina vs TBC?

PredictNext's AI model favours TBC with a 65% win probability — Fiorentina 18%, draw 17%, TBC 65%.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs TBC?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Fiorentina vs TBC, generated with 40% model confidence.

Will Fiorentina vs TBC have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 58% for over 2.5 goals and 42% for under 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs TBC.

How accurate was the Fiorentina vs TBC prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 4-1. The winner call was incorrect.

More Coppa Italia AI Predictions