Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1 vs 2

Serie A · Matchday

2026-09-05 13:00:00 · 21:00 · Stadio Artemio Franchi

Torino
Torino

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Fiorentina
FIO
1 - 0
Torino
TOR
60%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
49.0%Home
30.0%Draw
21.0%Away
51.3%Home
29.8%Draw
18.9%Away
Fiorentina enter as narrow favorites at home, bolstered by Torino's attacking void after Duván Zapata was ruled out with a knee injury — a significant blow to the visitors' forward line. The H2H record shows four draws in the last five meetings, making Fiorentina's defensive discipline and home advantage the decisive factor. AI pick: Fiorentina Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredFIO or Draw
79% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
66% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

FIO TOR
16%
60%
0
52%
40%
1
32%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

49%
49%
-0.6%
30%
29%
+1.2%
21%
22%
-0.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.853.304.20-9.4%-1.0%-11.8%
PinnacleVALUE1.913.244.93-6.4%-2.8%+3.5%
1xbetVALUE1.953.394.80-4.4%+1.7%+0.8%
WilliamHill1.913.254.20-6.4%-2.5%-11.8%
BetfairVALUE1.913.404.20-6.4%+2.0%-11.8%
bwin1.903.304.40-6.9%-1.0%-7.6%
Unibet1.913.254.20-6.4%-2.5%-11.8%
Ladbrokes1.913.254.33-6.4%-2.5%-9.1%
Sbo1.903.093.58-6.9%-7.3%-24.8%
Coral1.913.304.40-6.4%-1.0%-7.6%
MansionBet1.903.204.20-6.9%-4.0%-11.8%
MelBet1.903.264.48-6.9%-2.2%-5.9%
DafabetVALUE1.923.354.30-5.9%+0.5%-9.7%
Marathonbet1.913.324.70-6.4%-0.4%-1.3%
CloudBetVALUE1.873.154.80-8.4%-5.5%+0.8%
10Bet1.903.304.20-6.9%-1.0%-11.8%
BetVictorVALUE1.853.404.20-9.4%+2.0%-11.8%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Fiorentina 1–2 Torino | Serie A Post-Match Analysis

Result Summary

In a compelling Serie A fixture at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, Torino claimed a valuable away victory, overturning a first-half deficit to beat Fiorentina 1–2. Goals from Rolando Mandragora and Che Adams in the final quarter of the match sealed three points for Ignazio Abate's side, who demonstrated composure and tactical discipline when it mattered most.

Match Analysis

The opening period was a largely even affair, with Torino holding the balance of possession but neither side creating decisive chances in abundance. Fiorentina made two enforced changes before the interval — Cher Ndour replacing Christ Inao Oulaï in the 24th minute, while Arthur Atta and Degnand Wilfried Gnonto were both introduced at half-time for Marco Brescianini and Franco Mastantuono respectively — suggesting Fabio Grosso's side were dealing with difficulties.

Fiorentina struck first just after the restart, with Mateo Pellegrino Casalanguila netting in the 47th minute, converting a left-foot shot with an assist from Radu Drăgușin. It was a bright opening to the second half for the hosts and appeared to reward their positive intent.

However, the match statistics tell a revealing story: Torino dominated possession with 61%, launched 121 attacks compared to Fiorentina's 92, and registered more corners (5 to 3). Despite Fiorentina generating more total shots (14 to 7) and matching Torino on shots on target (6 to 4), the visitors were more clinical in converting their opportunities.

Torino's substitutions proved decisive. The introduction of Rafik Belghali in the 56th minute shifted the dynamic, and it was his assist that led directly to Mandragora's equaliser in the 74th minute — a composed left-foot finish that levelled proceedings. Just eight minutes later, Che Adams sealed the victory in the 82nd minute, finishing from a Belghali assist again — the substitute influencing both Torino goals within minutes of his arrival.

Fiorentina attempted to respond, bringing on Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal and Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves in the closing stages, but Torino managed the game with discipline. The visitors' 89% successful pass completion rate — compared to Fiorentina's 83% — underlined their control and composure in crucial moments.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast placed Fiorentina as the most likely victors, with a 49% probability for a home win and only a 21% probability of a Torino victory. The prediction settled on a 1–0 home win, which proved incorrect. With a confidence level of just 60/100, there was appropriate caution built into the forecast — yet the statistical dominance Torino eventually exerted and their excellent substitution strategy were factors that tilted the match decisively away from the projected outcome.

Key Takeaways

  • Torino's bench impact was the difference: Belghali's direct involvement in both goals after coming on in the 56th minute exemplifies how Abate used his substitutions to change the game.
  • Fiorentina's clinical edge was ultimately insufficient: Despite 14 total shots and 6 on target, converting only once — and failing to respond after going behind — proved fatal to their chances.
  • Possession and structure won out: Torino's 61% possession share and superior attacking numbers (121 attacks, 49 dangerous) reflected their growing dominance through the second half.
  • This result reinforces the unpredictability of Serie A's mid-table contests and highlights the importance of squad depth and in-game management in deciding tight fixtures.

Fiorentina vs Torino Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Fiorentina and Torino: Fiorentina 17W · 14D · Torino 6W.

17

14

6

Sat, Feb 7, 2026Fiorentina2-2Torino
Sun, Aug 31, 2025Torino0-0Fiorentina
Sun, Jan 19, 2025Fiorentina1-1Torino
Sun, Nov 3, 2024Torino0-1Fiorentina
Sat, Mar 2, 2024Torino0-0Fiorentina

Fiorentina vs Torino — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Fiorentina vs Torino?

PredictNext's AI model favours Fiorentina with a 49% win probability — Fiorentina 49%, draw 30%, Torino 21%.

What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Torino?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Fiorentina vs Torino, generated with 60% model confidence.

Will Fiorentina vs Torino have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 34% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for under 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Torino.

How accurate was the Fiorentina vs Torino prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was incorrect.

More Serie A AI Predictions