
Serie A · Matchday
2026-09-05 13:00:00 · 21:00 · Stadio Artemio Franchi

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-2
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.20 | -9.4% | -1.0% | -11.8% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.91 | 3.24 | 4.93 | -6.4% | -2.8% | +3.5% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.95 | 3.39 | 4.80 | -4.4% | +1.7% | +0.8% |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.20 | -6.4% | -2.5% | -11.8% |
| BetfairVALUE | 1.91 | 3.40 | 4.20 | -6.4% | +2.0% | -11.8% |
| bwin | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.40 | -6.9% | -1.0% | -7.6% |
| Unibet | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.20 | -6.4% | -2.5% | -11.8% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 | 3.25 | 4.33 | -6.4% | -2.5% | -9.1% |
| Sbo | 1.90 | 3.09 | 3.58 | -6.9% | -7.3% | -24.8% |
| Coral | 1.91 | 3.30 | 4.40 | -6.4% | -1.0% | -7.6% |
| MansionBet | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.20 | -6.9% | -4.0% | -11.8% |
| MelBet | 1.90 | 3.26 | 4.48 | -6.9% | -2.2% | -5.9% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.92 | 3.35 | 4.30 | -5.9% | +0.5% | -9.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 3.32 | 4.70 | -6.4% | -0.4% | -1.3% |
| CloudBetVALUE | 1.87 | 3.15 | 4.80 | -8.4% | -5.5% | +0.8% |
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.20 | -6.9% | -1.0% | -11.8% |
| BetVictorVALUE | 1.85 | 3.40 | 4.20 | -9.4% | +2.0% | -11.8% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Fiorentina 1–2 Torino | Serie A Post-Match Analysis
Result Summary
In a compelling Serie A fixture at the Stadio Artemio Franchi, Torino claimed a valuable away victory, overturning a first-half deficit to beat Fiorentina 1–2. Goals from Rolando Mandragora and Che Adams in the final quarter of the match sealed three points for Ignazio Abate's side, who demonstrated composure and tactical discipline when it mattered most.
Match Analysis
The opening period was a largely even affair, with Torino holding the balance of possession but neither side creating decisive chances in abundance. Fiorentina made two enforced changes before the interval — Cher Ndour replacing Christ Inao Oulaï in the 24th minute, while Arthur Atta and Degnand Wilfried Gnonto were both introduced at half-time for Marco Brescianini and Franco Mastantuono respectively — suggesting Fabio Grosso's side were dealing with difficulties.
Fiorentina struck first just after the restart, with Mateo Pellegrino Casalanguila netting in the 47th minute, converting a left-foot shot with an assist from Radu Drăgușin. It was a bright opening to the second half for the hosts and appeared to reward their positive intent.
However, the match statistics tell a revealing story: Torino dominated possession with 61%, launched 121 attacks compared to Fiorentina's 92, and registered more corners (5 to 3). Despite Fiorentina generating more total shots (14 to 7) and matching Torino on shots on target (6 to 4), the visitors were more clinical in converting their opportunities.
Torino's substitutions proved decisive. The introduction of Rafik Belghali in the 56th minute shifted the dynamic, and it was his assist that led directly to Mandragora's equaliser in the 74th minute — a composed left-foot finish that levelled proceedings. Just eight minutes later, Che Adams sealed the victory in the 82nd minute, finishing from a Belghali assist again — the substitute influencing both Torino goals within minutes of his arrival.
Fiorentina attempted to respond, bringing on Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal and Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves in the closing stages, but Torino managed the game with discipline. The visitors' 89% successful pass completion rate — compared to Fiorentina's 83% — underlined their control and composure in crucial moments.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast placed Fiorentina as the most likely victors, with a 49% probability for a home win and only a 21% probability of a Torino victory. The prediction settled on a 1–0 home win, which proved incorrect. With a confidence level of just 60/100, there was appropriate caution built into the forecast — yet the statistical dominance Torino eventually exerted and their excellent substitution strategy were factors that tilted the match decisively away from the projected outcome.
Key Takeaways
- Torino's bench impact was the difference: Belghali's direct involvement in both goals after coming on in the 56th minute exemplifies how Abate used his substitutions to change the game.
- Fiorentina's clinical edge was ultimately insufficient: Despite 14 total shots and 6 on target, converting only once — and failing to respond after going behind — proved fatal to their chances.
- Possession and structure won out: Torino's 61% possession share and superior attacking numbers (121 attacks, 49 dangerous) reflected their growing dominance through the second half.
- This result reinforces the unpredictability of Serie A's mid-table contests and highlights the importance of squad depth and in-game management in deciding tight fixtures.
Fiorentina vs Torino Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Fiorentina and Torino: Fiorentina 17W · 14D · Torino 6W.
17
Fiorentina wins
14
Draws
6
Torino wins
Fiorentina vs Torino — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Fiorentina vs Torino?
PredictNext's AI model favours Fiorentina with a 49% win probability — Fiorentina 49%, draw 30%, Torino 21%.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Torino?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Fiorentina vs Torino, generated with 60% model confidence.
Will Fiorentina vs Torino have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 34% for over 2.5 goals and 66% for under 2.5 goals in Fiorentina vs Torino.
How accurate was the Fiorentina vs Torino prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-2. The winner call was incorrect.