Europa Conference League · Matchday
2026-07-23 16:00:00 · 00:00 · Sportland Arena
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-0
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.45 | +3.2% | -12.5% | -21.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.20 | 3.71 | 2.83 | -5.4% | -7.3% | -9.4% |
| 1xbet | 2.24 | 3.64 | 2.84 | -3.7% | -9.0% | -9.1% |
| WilliamHill | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.80 | -3.2% | -15.0% | -10.4% |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.80 | -7.6% | -15.0% | -10.4% |
| bwinVALUE | 2.35 | 3.50 | 2.60 | +1.0% | -12.5% | -16.8% |
| Unibet | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.85 | -3.2% | -12.5% | -8.8% |
| LadbrokesVALUE | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.70 | +3.2% | -10.0% | -13.6% |
| InterwettenVALUE | 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.60 | +3.2% | -10.0% | -16.8% |
| 10Bet | 2.26 | 3.55 | 2.75 | -2.8% | -11.3% | -12.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.64 | 2.83 | -4.5% | -9.0% | -9.4% |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.50 | 2.88 | -3.2% | -12.5% | -7.8% |
| Sbo | 2.11 | 3.06 | 2.69 | -9.3% | -23.5% | -13.9% |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.55 | 2.80 | -1.1% | -11.3% | -10.4% |
| CloudBet | 2.30 | 3.90 | 2.45 | -1.1% | -2.5% | -21.6% |
| MansionBet | 2.21 | 3.30 | 2.73 | -5.0% | -17.5% | -12.6% |
| CashpointVALUE | 2.35 | 3.70 | 2.47 | +1.0% | -7.5% | -21.0% |
| MelBetVALUE | 2.39 | 3.78 | 2.52 | +2.8% | -5.5% | -19.4% |
| CoralVALUE | 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.70 | +5.4% | -10.0% | -13.6% |
| Macauslot | 2.16 | 3.08 | 2.55 | -7.1% | -23.0% | -18.4% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Flora Edge Past The New Saints in Tight Europa Conference League Opener
Flora Tallinn claimed a narrow but deserved 1-0 victory over The New Saints in the first leg of their Europa Conference League qualifying tie, played on 23 July 2026. A single goal from Remo Valdmets in the 31st minute proved sufficient to separate the sides, leaving the Estonian champions with a slender advantage heading into the second leg.
Match Analysis
Flora controlled the tempo from the outset, and the statistics reflect a home side that largely dictated terms. Konstantin Vassiljev's men enjoyed 57% possession and registered 14 total shots compared to The New Saints' eight, while also dominating the corner count at 7-3. However, the scoreline could easily have been more comfortable, with Flora managing only three shots on target from those 14 attempts — a conversion efficiency that will need to improve if they are to kill ties off more emphatically.
The decisive moment arrived in the 31st minute, when Remo Valdmets finished off a move assisted by Sergei Zenjov, giving Flora the lead they carried through to the final whistle. It was a moment of quality that justified Flora's territorial dominance throughout the first half.
Interestingly, The New Saints registered five shots on target — more than the hosts — despite having fewer attacking opportunities overall. Craig Harrison's side showed resilience and a willingness to be direct when given the chance, and those numbers serve as a reminder that the tie is far from over. The dangerous attacks were perfectly level at 74 apiece, underlining just how competitive the contest was in moments of genuine threat.
Flora made a triple substitution on the hour mark, with Ben Clark, Eoin Farrell, and Rory Holden all introduced simultaneously for The New Saints, signalling Harrison's desire to freshen up and find a late equaliser. Flora responded with their own changes, withdrawing Valdmets (64') and Zenjov (69') — both goalscorer and assist provider — before Ilja Antonov entered for Danil Kuraksin in the 72nd minute. The changes didn't alter the scoreline, though The New Saints pushed hard enough to earn a late yellow card for Daniel Patrick Williams in the 90th minute for a foul as the Welsh side pressed for a leveller.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1-1 draw, with a confidence level of just 51/100 — reflecting genuine uncertainty about this contest. That prediction proved incorrect, as Flora found the winning margin without conceding. The low confidence score acknowledged the unpredictability of this kind of qualifier, and the match statistics — particularly the shot-on-target disparity in The New Saints' favour — suggest the draw scenario was not an unreasonable expectation. Flora's defensive solidity ultimately made the difference.
Key Takeaways
- Flora hold a 1-0 advantage heading into the second leg, a precarious but valuable lead.
- The New Saints' five shots on target highlight that they remain a genuine threat and will be confident of overturning the deficit on home soil.
- Flora's attacking efficiency must improve — 14 shots yielding only three on target will not be enough to manage tougher opposition.
- The second leg promises to be a compelling contest, with The New Saints needing to score while Flora will look to exploit any space left by an attacking home side.
Flora vs The New Saints — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Flora vs The New Saints?
PredictNext's AI model favours Flora with a 43% win probability — Flora 43%, draw 25%, The New Saints 32%.
What is the predicted score for Flora vs The New Saints?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Flora vs The New Saints, generated with 51% model confidence.
Will Flora vs The New Saints have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Flora vs The New Saints.
How accurate was the Flora vs The New Saints prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-0. The winner call was correct.