FA Cup · Matchday
2026-10-20 18:45:00 · 02:45 · The New Lawn
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 5-0
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365VALUE | 1.22 | 5.50 | 9.50 | -12.2% | -6.5% | +4.5% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 1.18 | 5.90 | 7.73 | -15.0% | +0.3% | -15.0% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.17 | 5.95 | 11.90 | -15.8% | +1.2% | +30.9% |
| WilliamHillVALUE | 1.22 | 5.00 | 11.00 | -12.2% | -15.0% | +21.0% |
| BetfairVALUE | 1.17 | 5.50 | 11.00 | -15.8% | -6.5% | +21.0% |
| bwinVALUE | 1.23 | 6.00 | 10.50 | -11.4% | +2.0% | +15.5% |
| Unibet | 1.24 | 5.50 | 8.50 | -10.7% | -6.5% | -6.5% |
| LadbrokesVALUE | 1.22 | 5.50 | 9.50 | -12.2% | -6.5% | +4.5% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 1.16 | 5.95 | 11.25 | -16.5% | +1.2% | +23.8% |
| InterwettenVALUE | 1.25 | 6.00 | 11.00 | -10.0% | +2.0% | +21.0% |
| CashpointVALUE | 1.18 | 6.00 | 10.43 | -15.0% | +2.0% | +14.7% |
| BetVictorVALUE | 1.20 | 5.75 | 11.00 | -13.6% | -2.2% | +21.0% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.25 | 6.40 | 12.00 | -10.0% | +8.8% | +32.0% |
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Match Report
Forest Green Rovers 5-0 Chesham United | FA Cup | 20 October 2026
Result Summary
Forest Green Rovers produced a commanding FA Cup performance at home, dismantling Chesham United with a comprehensive 5-0 victory. The result was emphatic and decisive, with the tie effectively settled well before the half-time interval. Jonathan Gould's side were ruthless in front of goal, while James Duncan's Chesham United were left searching for answers throughout an evening to forget.
Match Analysis
The tone was set almost immediately when Tate Campbell opened the scoring inside two minutes, giving Forest Green Rovers an early platform to build on. Chesham barely had time to settle before the hosts compounded their misery further. D'Mani Bughail-Mellor doubled the lead in the 12th minute, and any lingering hopes of a Chesham recovery were effectively extinguished when Frederick Harris Sass added a third on 22 minutes, assisted by Bughail-Mellor. Three goals in the opening quarter of an hour painted a damning picture for the visitors.
What makes the scoreline particularly striking is that it was not entirely reflective of a one-sided statistical battle. Chesham United actually registered 146 attacks to Forest Green's 137, suggesting they were not without ambition or intent on the night. The visitors also accumulated 15 shots in total, with 8 going off target and 4 finding the target. Yet clinical finishing from the hosts, who managed 9 shots on target from 22 attempts, meant that quality ultimately trumped quantity. Forest Green's conversion rate was simply in a different class.
Possession was relatively balanced at 52% to 48% in Forest Green's favour, further underlining that this was not a match where Chesham were entirely overrun in terms of the ball — rather, they were punished mercilessly on each occasion the hosts found their rhythm. Chesham's 12 fouls compared to Forest Green's 6 also hints at the frustration that began to creep into the visitors' game as the evening wore on.
The second half brought further punishment. Kyle Kelly made it four in the 57th minute, before Tate Campbell completed his brace in the 78th minute to round off a fine personal performance and seal the rout. Campbell's contribution across the full 90 minutes was one of the standout individual displays of the night, bookending the scoring with goals at either end of the contest.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis had forecast a 2-0 home win, with a 72% probability assigned to a Forest Green Rovers victory and a confidence rating of 68/100. The winner prediction proved correct, with the hosts winning as anticipated. However, the scale of the victory significantly exceeded our projected scoreline — a 5-0 margin was beyond the scope of the forecast, reflecting Chesham United's inability to replicate their statistical endeavour with any meaningful end product at the critical moments.
Key Takeaways
- Tate Campbell was the standout performer, contributing two goals in a man-of-the-match calibre display.
- D'Mani Bughail-Mellor not only scored but also provided the assist for Harris Sass's goal, underlining his influence on Forest Green's attacking play.
- Despite Chesham generating a credible volume of attacks, a lack of finishing quality proved their undoing against a ruthless Forest Green side.
- Jonathan Gould's Forest Green Rovers will progress in the FA Cup full of confidence following this statement performance.
Forest Green Rovers vs Chesham United Head-to-Head
Last 1 meetings between Forest Green Rovers and Chesham United: Forest Green Rovers 0W · 1D · Chesham United 0W.
0
Forest Green Rovers wins
1
Draws
0
Chesham United wins
Forest Green Rovers vs Chesham United — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Forest Green Rovers vs Chesham United?
PredictNext's AI model favours Forest Green Rovers with a 72% win probability — Forest Green Rovers 72%, draw 17%, Chesham United 11%.
What is the predicted score for Forest Green Rovers vs Chesham United?
The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Forest Green Rovers vs Chesham United, generated with 68% model confidence.
Will Forest Green Rovers vs Chesham United have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Forest Green Rovers vs Chesham United.
How accurate was the Forest Green Rovers vs Chesham United prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 5-0. The winner call was correct.