Frosinone
Frosinone
4 vs 1

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-08-16 16:00:00 · 00:00

Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 4-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Frosinone
FRO
2 - 0
Juve Stabia
JUV
60%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
62.0%Home
22.0%Draw
16.0%Away
55.8%Home
24.5%Draw
19.7%Away
Frosinone enter this Coppa Italia clash as clear favorites, boosted by the confirmed suspension of Juve Stabia's M. Ricciardi, which weakens the visitors' defensive shape. Frosinone's home dominance in recent H2H meetings gives them a structural edge, and their ability to control tempo in tight, low-scoring games could prove decisive. AI pick: Frosinone Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
84% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
67% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Frosinone Juve Stabia
0%
64%
0
42%
36%
1
46%
0%
2
12%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

62%
63%
-1.3%
22%
22%
+0.5%
16%
15%
+0.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Frosinone 4–1 Juve Stabia | Coppa Italia | 16 August 2026

Result Summary

Frosinone opened their Coppa Italia campaign with a commanding 4–1 victory over Juve Stabia at the Stadio Benito Stirpe. Coach Massimiliano Alvini's side were dominant throughout the first half, building an emphatic three-goal cushion before the break, and despite a brief Stabia response early in the second period, the Ciociari ultimately sealed the tie in style with a fourth goal late in the second half.

Match Analysis

Frosinone set the tone early and were rewarded in the 20th minute, when Giorgi Kvernadze opened the scoring with a right-foot finish, assisted by the lively Farès Ghedjemis. The momentum never slowed. Nine minutes later, Matteo Cichella doubled the advantage, converting a Kvernadze assist with another right-foot strike — a combination that underlined the early chemistry between the two in Frosinone's attacking play.

The hosts continued to press before the interval, and Antonio Raimondo added a third in the 38th minute with a composed left-foot effort, making it 3–0 and effectively putting the tie beyond Juve Stabia's reach heading into the break. Juve Stabia's discipline was a concern in this period, with both Kevin Piscopo (28') and Giulio Scuderi (37') picking up yellow cards for fouls, disrupting their own rhythm at a critical stage.

Stabia offered a brief response at the start of the second half, Leonardo Candellone pulling one back in the 48th minute via a right-foot finish assisted by Nicola Patanè, momentarily suggesting a potential comeback. However, Frosinone's quality and control soon reasserted themselves. The statistics tell the story clearly: 54% ball possession, 47 dangerous attacks to Stabia's 30, and 17 key passes versus Stabia's 11 highlight the home side's sustained superiority.

Kvernadze completed his brace in the 71st minute, latching on to an Antonio Raimondo assist to restore the three-goal cushion and close out the scoring at 4–1. The Georgian attacker was undoubtedly Frosinone's standout performer, contributing a goal and an assist in both halves. Frosinone's afternoon was not without minor blemish — Romano Schmid was booked just before half-time — but the hosts were fully in control throughout.

The closing stages brought further drama for Juve Stabia when substitute Saná Fernandes, who had only entered in the 67th minute, was dismissed following a VAR review in the 89th minute, leaving the visitors to finish the match with ten men and compounding what had been a thoroughly difficult evening for Pietro De Giorgio's side.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–0 Frosinone victory, with a 62% probability assigned to the home win. The direction of the prediction was correct — Frosinone did win convincingly — though the margin of victory exceeded expectations. The 4–1 scoreline, combined with Frosinone's shot volume (22 total, 7 on target) and high pass accuracy of 86%, indicated a performance level at the upper end of what our model projected. Confidence was set at 60/100, which proved appropriately measured given the uncertainty surrounding a Coppa Italia opener.

Key Takeaways

  • Giorgi Kvernadze was the standout, registering a goal and an assist in both halves — a brace and creative contribution that signals significant promise for the season.
  • Frosinone's first-half efficiency was exceptional: three goals in an 18-minute window effectively ended the contest before the interval.
  • Juve Stabia's disciplinary record — four yellow cards and a late red — reflects the structural difficulties they faced throughout and will be a concern for De Giorgio moving forward.
  • The 4–1 scoreline gives Frosinone an excellent platform and a confidence boost as the Coppa Italia progresses.

Frosinone vs Juve Stabia Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Frosinone and Juve Stabia: Frosinone 3W · 3D · Juve Stabia 1W.

3

3

1

Fri, May 1, 2026Juve Stabia0-1Frosinone
Mon, Dec 8, 2025Frosinone3-0Juve Stabia
Sun, Dec 29, 2024Juve Stabia1-1Frosinone
Sun, Sep 1, 2024Frosinone0-0Juve Stabia
Mon, Jul 13, 2020Frosinone2-2Juve Stabia

Frosinone vs Juve Stabia — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Frosinone vs Juve Stabia?

PredictNext's AI model favours Frosinone with a 62% win probability — Frosinone 62%, draw 22%, Juve Stabia 16%.

What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Juve Stabia?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Frosinone vs Juve Stabia, generated with 60% model confidence.

Will Frosinone vs Juve Stabia have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Frosinone vs Juve Stabia.

How accurate was the Frosinone vs Juve Stabia prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 4-1. The winner call was correct.

More Coppa Italia AI Predictions