Frosinone
Frosinone
3 vs 2

Serie A · Matchday

2026-09-06 13:00:00 · 21:00

Venezia
Venezia

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Frosinone
FRO
1 - 2
Venezia
VEN
57%
Confidence
Low Confidence
36.0%Home
27.0%Draw
37.0%Away
33.9%Home
28.8%Draw
37.3%Away
Venezia hold a slight edge in this tight Serie A clash, bolstered by a positive H2H record with three wins in the last five meetings against Frosinone. However, the absence of R. Schmid through muscle fatigue is a notable blow to Venezia's midfield engine, making their defensive discipline and transitional play the decisive tactical factor. AI pick: Venezia Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
73% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
56% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
54% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Frosinone Venezia
19%
16%
0
63%
60%
1
18%
25%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

36%
34%
+2.1%
27%
29%
-1.7%
37%
37%
-0.4%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

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Match Report

Frosinone 3–2 Venezia | Serie A | 6 September 2026

Result Summary

Frosinone delivered a gritty and ultimately convincing home victory over Venezia, prevailing 3–2 in a match that twisted dramatically across 90 minutes. Antonio Raimondo's brace put the hosts firmly in control before the break, Venezia clawed their way back to level the score in the second half, only for Giorgi Kvernadze to strike the decisive blow with seven minutes remaining. Massimiliano Alvini's side showed genuine character when it mattered most.

Match Analysis

Frosinone were clinical and direct in the first half. Raimondo opened the scoring on 21 minutes, heading home from an Anthony Oyono assist, before doubling the advantage on 39 minutes with a composed right-foot finish set up by Patrizio Masini. The two-goal cushion felt earned given the home side's efficiency in dangerous areas — Frosinone registered 8 shots on target across the match from just 13 total, a conversion of quality over quantity that proved decisive.

The statistics, however, told a contrasting story of overall dominance. Venezia enjoyed 61% possession, completed passes at a 78% success rate, and generated 92 attacks compared to Frosinone's 61. Giovanni Stroppa's side clearly controlled the ball but struggled to turn that control into genuine threat — only 4 shots on target despite 15 total attempts.

A tempestuous end to the first half saw four yellow cards distributed between both sides — Halhal, Busio, and an unidentified Venezia player all booked, along with Frosinone's Romano Schmid — adding friction to an already intense encounter.

Venezia's half-time adjustments proved significant. The introduction of John Yeboah Zamora and Antonio Fernández Casino injected fresh impetus, and Zamora repaid the faith immediately, pulling one back on 66 minutes with a left-foot finish assisted by Gianluca Busio. Eight minutes later, Sebastiao Sagrado — himself a second-half substitute — levelled the tie at 2–2 on 74 minutes, converting from an Antoine Hainaut assist. Suddenly, a Venezia comeback looked entirely plausible.

Yet Frosinone refused to buckle. Kvernadze settled the contest on 83 minutes, finishing with his right foot from an Oyono assist — the same provider who set up the opener. It was a fitting contribution from Oyono, who also collected a yellow card but remained one of the home side's most influential figures. Frosinone's 7 offsides versus Venezia's 1 underlines just how aggressively Alvini's men were pushing the defensive line, a high-risk approach that nonetheless paid dividends on the night.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast leaned towards a Venezia win (37% probability), with Frosinone given a 36% chance. The prediction ultimately proved incorrect. With a modest confidence rating of 57/100, there was always acknowledged uncertainty here, and the match reflected exactly that volatility — a two-goal lead surrendered before a late winner. Venezia's statistical dominance in possession and attacking volume supported the away-win logic, but Frosinone's clinical edge in front of goal and resilience under pressure proved the deciding factors our model underweighted.

Key Takeaways

  • Antonio Raimondo was the standout performer, contributing two first-half goals before being withdrawn on 79 minutes.
  • Anthony Oyono delivered two assists and will be central to Frosinone's ambitions going forward.
  • Venezia's second-half substitutions transformed the game temporarily but could not sustain the momentum.
  • Frosinone's ability to convert 8 of 13 shots on target against a possession-heavy side highlights the dangers of judging teams purely on volume metrics.
  • For Stroppa's Venezia, the lesson is clear: dominance without precision ultimately costs points.

Frosinone vs Venezia — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Frosinone vs Venezia?

PredictNext's AI model favours Venezia with a 37% win probability — Frosinone 36%, draw 27%, Venezia 37%.

What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Venezia?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Frosinone vs Venezia, generated with 57% model confidence.

Will Frosinone vs Venezia have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Frosinone vs Venezia.

How accurate was the Frosinone vs Venezia prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was incorrect.

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