Haiti
Haiti
3 vs 2

CONCACAF Nations League · Matchday

2026-09-25 00:20:00 · 08:20

Trinidad and Tobago
Trinidad and Tobago

AI Predicted: 0-1|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Haiti
HAI
0 - 1
Trinidad and Tobago
TRI
42%
Confidence
Low Confidence
30.0%Home
30.0%Draw
40.0%Away
**Trinidad and Tobago** hold a narrow edge over **Haiti** in this CONCACAF Nations League clash, with the away side carrying a slight statistical advantage heading into the match. The key tactical battle will likely unfold in midfield, where Trinidad and Tobago's ability to control tempo and transition quickly could neutralize Haiti's home advantage. AI pick: Trinidad and Tobago Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
70% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Haiti Trinidad and Tobago
61%
20%
0
39%
49%
1
0%
31%
2
0%
0%
3+

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Haiti Stun Trinidad and Tobago with Dramatic Late Comeback

Final Score: Haiti 3–2 Trinidad and Tobago | CONCACAF Nations League | September 25, 2026


Result Summary

In a pulsating CONCACAF Nations League clash, Haiti produced a remarkable comeback to defeat Trinidad and Tobago 3–2, sealing victory with two goals deep into stoppage time. Coach David Badia's side showed tremendous resilience, overturning a deficit after the hour mark to claim all three points in extraordinary fashion, while Dwight Yorke's Trinidad and Tobago side were left devastated after conceding twice in the final minutes of a match they had looked well-placed to win.


Match Analysis

Haiti controlled this contest for the majority of the 90 minutes, and the statistics underline their dominance comprehensively. Haiti enjoyed 69% ball possession to Trinidad and Tobago's 31%, generated 21 total shots compared to the visitors' 11, and recorded 82 dangerous attacks against a mere 22 from Trinidad and Tobago. Despite this overwhelming territorial and statistical superiority, the match nearly ended in heartbreak for the home side.

Fabrice Picault opened the scoring in the 23rd minute, heading home from a Wilson Isidor assist to reward Haiti's early pressure. However, Trinidad and Tobago responded sharply. Wayne Alix Frederick II levelled matters in the 31st minute with a right-footed finish, capitalizing on a Rio Cardines assist to draw his side level against the run of play.

The second half saw Trinidad and Tobago take a shock lead when Levi Samuel Garcia converted a left-foot shot in the 59th minute, assisted by Wayne Frederick. That goal came just moments after Haiti had made a triple substitution — bringing on Jean-Ricner Bellegarde, Yassin Fortune, and Kenny Quetant — and temporarily suggested the visitors might hold on for a crucial away win.

Yet Haiti's dominance ultimately told. With the clock showing 90+1', substitute Garven-Michee Metusala struck with a right-foot shot, again assisted by the influential Wilson Isidor, to level the score. Then, in the eighth minute of stoppage time, Wilson Isidor himself delivered the defining moment, heading home to complete a stunning comeback and send Haiti to victory.

Isidor's performance deserves particular recognition — the forward contributed two decisive assists and the match-winning goal, a standout individual display that proved pivotal across multiple decisive moments. Bellegarde also picked up a yellow card in the 90+2' minute following his late introduction, while Trinidad and Tobago's Noah Powder was booked in the 69th minute for a foul.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast leaned toward a Trinidad and Tobago victory (Away 40%, Draw 30%, Home 30%), with a low confidence rating of 42/100, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the outcome. The prediction ultimately proved incorrect. While our model recognized Trinidad and Tobago's potential, it underestimated Haiti's capacity to sustain pressure across 90+ minutes and their resilience when facing adversity. The statistical dominance Haiti displayed — 91% successful pass accuracy, 16 key passes, and 8 corners — was more consistent with a winning side than our forecast suggested.


Key Takeaways

  • Wilson Isidor was the decisive figure, directly involved in all three Haiti goals as both provider and finisher.
  • Haiti's statistical dominance throughout the match reflected a clear tactical edge, even if the scoreline was not settled until deep into stoppage time.
  • Trinidad and Tobago showed defensive vulnerability despite taking the lead, ultimately unable to withstand sustained late pressure.
  • This result represents a significant three points for Haiti under David Badia in the CONCACAF Nations League campaign.

Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago Head-to-Head

Last 2 meetings between Haiti and Trinidad and Tobago: Haiti 1W · 1D · Trinidad and Tobago 0W.

1

1

0

Thu, Jun 19, 2025Trinidad and Tobago1-1Haiti
Fri, Jul 12, 2013Trinidad and Tobago0-2Haiti

Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago?

PredictNext's AI model favours Trinidad and Tobago with a 40% win probability — Haiti 30%, draw 30%, Trinidad and Tobago 40%.

What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago?

The AI forecasts a 0-1 scoreline for Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago, generated with 42% model confidence.

Will Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago.

How accurate was the Haiti vs Trinidad and Tobago prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-1; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was incorrect.

More CONCACAF Nations League AI Predictions