
ASEAN Championship · Matchday
2026-07-27 13:30:00 · 21:30

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 5-1
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Match Report
Indonesia 5–1 Cambodia | ASEAN Championship | 27 July 2026
Result Summary
Indonesia delivered a commanding performance at the ASEAN Championship, dismantling Cambodia 5–1 in a one-sided contest that was never seriously in doubt. Mathew Ryan Sitorus Baker was the standout performer, netting a hat-trick to inspire a dominant Garuda side under coach John Herdman, while Cambodia — managed by Koji Gyotoku — struggled to contain the relentless Indonesian pressure throughout.
Match Analysis
Indonesia set the tone almost immediately. Mathew Ryan Sitorus Baker opened the scoring in just the sixth minute, finishing off an assist from T. Haye, before doubling his tally nine minutes later with Eliano Reijnders providing the setup. The opening exchanges made clear that Cambodia had little answer to Indonesia's directness and ball retention, with the visitors controlling 67% of possession and completing passes at a 92% success rate across the match.
The third goal arrived in the 24th minute when Sandy Walsh converted a header, once again assisted by the influential T. Haye, who was orchestrating much of Indonesia's forward play. By the break, the match was effectively settled at 3–0, with Indonesia registering 26 total shots compared to Cambodia's mere 3, and recording 102 dangerous attacks to Cambodia's 46.
The second half brought an unusual moment in the 48th minute when Nadeo Argawinata — Indonesia's own goalkeeper — turned in an own goal to make it 4–0, a rare lapse in an otherwise controlled display. Baker then completed his hat-trick in the 56th minute with another T. Haye assist, sealing an emphatic evening's work before being replaced by Jens Raven shortly after the hour mark. Raven made an immediate impression, adding a sixth goal — though officially the fifth for the team — with a right-foot finish in the 86th minute to round off the scoring.
Sandy Walsh picked up a yellow card in the 60th minute for a foul, while Cambodia's Yudai Ogawa had been booked in the fifth minute — just before Baker's opener — for a similar offence. Cambodia's only real statistical marker of note was their 5 corners, edging Indonesia's 4, though this offered scant consolation given 13 shots on target for the hosts against just 1 for Cambodia.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast heavily favoured Cambodia, projecting a 0–2 win for the visitors with a 66% probability, while assigning Indonesia only a 12% chance of victory. Confidence in this prediction was understandably modest at 44/100, and the outcome proved entirely contrary to expectations. Indonesia's dominance — statistical and scoreboard alike — highlighted the difficulty of assessing form and current squad strength in regional competition, where the influence of European-based players such as Eliano Reijnders, Ivar Jenner, and T. Haye can dramatically shift the competitive balance.
Key Takeaways
- Mathew Ryan Sitorus Baker's hat-trick was the defining individual contribution, with T. Haye's three assists underlining his creative importance in Herdman's system.
- Indonesia's statistical dominance was total: 26 shots, 13 on target, 155 attacks, and 67% possession paint the picture of a team in full control.
- Cambodia were unable to build any sustained pressure, managing just 3 shots in total and 3 key passes throughout the match.
- Indonesia enter the next stage of the ASEAN Championship with a significant goal difference boost and clear momentum behind them.
Indonesia vs Cambodia — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Indonesia vs Cambodia?
PredictNext's AI model favours Cambodia with a 66% win probability — Indonesia 12%, draw 22%, Cambodia 66%.
What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Cambodia?
The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Indonesia vs Cambodia, generated with 44% model confidence.
Will Indonesia vs Cambodia have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Indonesia vs Cambodia.
How accurate was the Indonesia vs Cambodia prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 5-1. The winner call was incorrect.