Indonesia
Indonesia
5 vs 1

ASEAN Championship · Matchday

2026-07-27 13:30:00 · 21:30

Cambodia
Cambodia

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 5-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Indonesia
IND
0 - 2
Cambodia
CAM
44%
Confidence
Low Confidence
12.0%Home
22.0%Draw
66.0%Away
**Indonesia** enter as clear favorites, backed by home advantage and a significantly higher win probability against **Cambodia** in this ASEAN Championship fixture. The key matchup lies in Indonesia's attacking midfield pressing against Cambodia's defensive structure, where width and transition speed could prove decisive. AI pick: Indonesia Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or Away
88% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
52% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
60% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Indonesia Cambodia
66%
0%
0
34%
17%
1
0%
48%
2
0%
35%
3+

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Match Report

Indonesia 5–1 Cambodia | ASEAN Championship | 27 July 2026

Result Summary

Indonesia delivered a commanding performance at the ASEAN Championship, dismantling Cambodia 5–1 in a one-sided contest that was never seriously in doubt. Mathew Ryan Sitorus Baker was the standout performer, netting a hat-trick to inspire a dominant Garuda side under coach John Herdman, while Cambodia — managed by Koji Gyotoku — struggled to contain the relentless Indonesian pressure throughout.

Match Analysis

Indonesia set the tone almost immediately. Mathew Ryan Sitorus Baker opened the scoring in just the sixth minute, finishing off an assist from T. Haye, before doubling his tally nine minutes later with Eliano Reijnders providing the setup. The opening exchanges made clear that Cambodia had little answer to Indonesia's directness and ball retention, with the visitors controlling 67% of possession and completing passes at a 92% success rate across the match.

The third goal arrived in the 24th minute when Sandy Walsh converted a header, once again assisted by the influential T. Haye, who was orchestrating much of Indonesia's forward play. By the break, the match was effectively settled at 3–0, with Indonesia registering 26 total shots compared to Cambodia's mere 3, and recording 102 dangerous attacks to Cambodia's 46.

The second half brought an unusual moment in the 48th minute when Nadeo Argawinata — Indonesia's own goalkeeper — turned in an own goal to make it 4–0, a rare lapse in an otherwise controlled display. Baker then completed his hat-trick in the 56th minute with another T. Haye assist, sealing an emphatic evening's work before being replaced by Jens Raven shortly after the hour mark. Raven made an immediate impression, adding a sixth goal — though officially the fifth for the team — with a right-foot finish in the 86th minute to round off the scoring.

Sandy Walsh picked up a yellow card in the 60th minute for a foul, while Cambodia's Yudai Ogawa had been booked in the fifth minute — just before Baker's opener — for a similar offence. Cambodia's only real statistical marker of note was their 5 corners, edging Indonesia's 4, though this offered scant consolation given 13 shots on target for the hosts against just 1 for Cambodia.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast heavily favoured Cambodia, projecting a 0–2 win for the visitors with a 66% probability, while assigning Indonesia only a 12% chance of victory. Confidence in this prediction was understandably modest at 44/100, and the outcome proved entirely contrary to expectations. Indonesia's dominance — statistical and scoreboard alike — highlighted the difficulty of assessing form and current squad strength in regional competition, where the influence of European-based players such as Eliano Reijnders, Ivar Jenner, and T. Haye can dramatically shift the competitive balance.

Key Takeaways

  • Mathew Ryan Sitorus Baker's hat-trick was the defining individual contribution, with T. Haye's three assists underlining his creative importance in Herdman's system.
  • Indonesia's statistical dominance was total: 26 shots, 13 on target, 155 attacks, and 67% possession paint the picture of a team in full control.
  • Cambodia were unable to build any sustained pressure, managing just 3 shots in total and 3 key passes throughout the match.
  • Indonesia enter the next stage of the ASEAN Championship with a significant goal difference boost and clear momentum behind them.

Indonesia vs Cambodia — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Indonesia vs Cambodia?

PredictNext's AI model favours Cambodia with a 66% win probability — Indonesia 12%, draw 22%, Cambodia 66%.

What is the predicted score for Indonesia vs Cambodia?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Indonesia vs Cambodia, generated with 44% model confidence.

Will Indonesia vs Cambodia have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 52% for over 2.5 goals and 48% for under 2.5 goals in Indonesia vs Cambodia.

How accurate was the Indonesia vs Cambodia prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 5-1. The winner call was incorrect.

More ASEAN Championship AI Predictions