Inter
Inter
3 vs 2

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-04-21 19:00:00 · 03:00

Como
Como

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Inter
INT
1 - 0
Como
COM
60%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
51.0%Home
26.5%Draw
22.5%Away
52.2%Home
26.5%Draw
21.3%Away
Inter enters as favorites despite missing striker L. Martínez to muscle injury, relying on their superior squad depth and dominant H2H record (4 wins in last 5 meetings). Inter's defensive organization should neutralize Como's attack, while their midfield control will create enough chances to secure a narrow victory. AI pick: Inter Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
78% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
55% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Inter Como
16%
58%
0
45%
42%
1
40%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

51%
51%
-0.1%
27%
27%
-0.2%
22%
22%
+0.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Match Summary

Inter completed a dramatic second-leg turnaround to defeat Como 3-2 in their Coppa Italia tie, overcoming a two-goal deficit through an inspired second-half performance. The Nerazzurri looked destined for elimination when Lucas Da Cunha's early second-half strike added to Martin Baturina's opener, but Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Petar Sučić combined brilliantly to orchestrate a stunning comeback in the final 21 minutes.

Match Analysis

Como executed their game plan to perfection in the opening phases, taking a deserved lead through Baturina on 32 minutes following excellent work from Ignace Van der Brempt. The visitors doubled their advantage just three minutes into the second half when Da Cunha finished clinically with his left foot after being set up by Nico Paz.

Inter's dominance in possession (63% to Como's 37%) and attacking statistics told only part of the story for the first hour. Despite registering 87 dangerous attacks compared to Como's 30 and maintaining a 90% pass success rate, Cristian Chivu's side struggled to convert their territorial advantage into clear-cut opportunities.

The turning point came on the hour mark with Chivu's double substitution, introducing Petar Sučić for Piotr Zieliński and Andy Diouf for Federico Dimarco. This tactical adjustment proved inspired as Sučić would go on to play a pivotal role in the comeback, first assisting Çalhanoğlu's 69th-minute goal that ignited Inter's revival.

The Turkish midfielder then demonstrated his class with a well-taken header on 86 minutes, again from a Sučić assist, before the roles were reversed three minutes later as Çalhanoğlu turned provider for Sučić to complete the remarkable turnaround. Inter's superior shot volume (22 to Como's 16) and eight shots on target finally told as they found their clinical edge when it mattered most.

Cesc Fàbregas attempted to stem the tide with tactical changes, introducing Assane Diao Diaoune and Maxence Caqueret on 70 minutes, but Como couldn't maintain their defensive structure under sustained pressure. The late introduction of Álvaro Morata in the 90th minute came too late to influence proceedings.

Prediction Review

Our AI forecast proved accurate, predicting an Inter victory with 51% probability despite the modest 60/100 confidence level. The 1-0 scoreline prediction underestimated the entertainment value, but correctly identified Inter's quality advantage and home advantage in this second leg. The statistical dominance in attacks (123 to 55) and dangerous attacks (87 to 30) vindicated the prediction model's assessment of Inter's superior attacking threat.

Key Takeaways

Çalhanoğlu and Sučić's partnership was the defining factor in Inter's progression, with their understanding and technical quality shining through when the pressure was greatest. Chivu's substitutions proved decisive, particularly the introduction of Sučić who transformed Inter's midfield dynamism. Como will rue their inability to see out a commanding position, though Fàbregas can take pride in his team's tactical execution for 69 minutes against superior opposition. Inter's ability to maintain their attacking intensity throughout, evidenced by 19 key passes compared to Como's 12, ultimately made the difference in a thrilling encounter.

Inter vs Como — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Inter vs Como?

PredictNext's AI model favours Inter with a 51% win probability — Inter 51%, draw 27%, Como 22%.

What is the predicted score for Inter vs Como?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Inter vs Como, generated with 60% model confidence.

Will Inter vs Como have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Inter vs Como.

How accurate was the Inter vs Como prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was correct.

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