Jagiellonia Białystok
Jagiellonia Białystok
0 vs 3

Europa League · Matchday

2026-10-22 19:00:00 · 03:00 · Stadion Miejski

Anderlecht
Anderlecht

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 0-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
1 - 2
Anderlecht
ADL
52%
Confidence
Low Confidence
33.5%Home
26.5%Draw
40.0%Away
31.5%Home
26.7%Draw
41.8%Away
**Anderlecht** enter as slight favorites against **Jagiellonia Białystok**, backed by a meaningfully higher away win probability in this Europa League clash. The key tactical battle will be **Anderlecht**'s ability to exploit transition moments against a **Jagiellonia** side that can be vulnerable on the counter at home. AI pick: Anderlecht Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredJAG or ADL
74% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
53% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to scoreMihajlo CvetkovicAlso: Youssuf Sylla, Danylo Sikan

Goal Probability

JAG ADL
18%
0%
0
50%
59%
1
32%
41%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

34%
32%
+1.3%
26%
27%
-0.1%
40%
41%
-1.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet365VALUE3.003.402.20+0.5%-9.9%-12.0%
PinnacleVALUE3.023.572.28+1.2%-5.4%-8.8%
1xbet2.973.632.38-0.5%-3.8%-4.8%
WilliamHill2.903.402.30-2.8%-9.9%-8.0%
Betfair2.883.502.30-3.5%-7.3%-8.0%
bwin2.953.602.25-1.2%-4.6%-10.0%
LadbrokesVALUE3.003.602.25+0.5%-4.6%-10.0%
Macauslot2.573.572.20-13.9%-5.4%-12.0%
MelBet2.913.542.33-2.5%-6.2%-6.8%
CoralVALUE3.003.602.25+0.5%-4.6%-10.0%
MansionBet2.813.502.21-5.9%-7.3%-11.6%
Sbo2.733.232.24-8.5%-14.4%-10.4%
DafabetVALUE3.003.602.34+0.5%-4.6%-6.4%
Marathonbet2.933.582.35-1.8%-5.1%-6.0%
BetVictor2.883.402.25-3.5%-9.9%-10.0%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Anderlecht Cruise to Emphatic Europa League Victory in Białystok

Anderlecht delivered a commanding performance in Białystok on Thursday evening, brushing aside Jagiellonia Białystok 3-0 in their Europa League encounter. The Belgian side were in control for long stretches of the contest, and the scoreline ultimately reflected their superiority across virtually every statistical category.

Match Analysis

Anderlecht set the tone early when Mihajlo Cvetković broke the deadlock in the 21st minute with a composed right-foot finish, giving the visitors a deserved lead that Jagiellonia struggled to respond to. The Polish hosts were already second best in terms of attacking intent, and the numbers told a stark story: Anderlecht registered 122 attacks to Jagiellonia's 55, with 61 dangerous attacks compared to just 18 for the home side.

The half-time whistle arrived with some needle on the touchline, as Rodrigo Fernandes Conceição picked up a yellow card deep into added time for an argument, a moment that summed up the frustration building within the home camp. Anderlecht's Thelo Aasgaard was also booked just seconds after the restart for a foul, signalling a more competitive edge at the start of the second period.

Jagiellonia's coach Adrian Siemieniec made a triple substitution at the 65th minute — introducing Jeremy Nosakhare Agbonifo, Aleksandar Ćirković, and Ousmane Sow (who had already come on at half-time) in an attempt to alter the dynamic. However, it was Anderlecht's own double substitution at the same moment that proved decisive. Enric Llansana and Jayden Onia Seke entered the pitch and immediately injected fresh energy into the Belgian attack.

Marten Winkler doubled the lead in the 72nd minute with a left-foot finish, assisted by the newly introduced Llansana. Just eight minutes later, Jayden Onia Seke added a third, again with Llansana providing the assist — his second creative contribution in under ten minutes. Seke was booked moments after scoring, but the damage was well and truly done.

The gulf in quality was underscored by the shot statistics: Anderlecht registered 15 total shots with 8 on target, while Jagiellonia managed only 6 shots and a single effort on target. With 59% possession and an 85% successful pass rate, Vítor Bruno's side were thoroughly dominant throughout.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1-2 Anderlecht victory, and while the final margin exceeded that prediction, the outcome itself — an away win for Anderlecht — proved correct. The model assigned 40% probability to an Anderlecht win with a relatively modest confidence rating of 52/100, reflecting genuine uncertainty about Jagiellonia's capacity to compete on home soil. As it turned out, the Belgian side were even more convincing than anticipated, with the 3-0 scoreline suggesting the gap between the two teams was greater than pre-match indicators implied.

Key Takeaways

  • Anderlecht's depth proved decisive: the double substitution at 65 minutes directly produced two goals, with Llansana and Seke combining to devastating effect.
  • Jagiellonia lacked a cutting edge: a single shot on target all evening highlights the scale of their attacking difficulties against organised European opposition.
  • Enric Llansana was the standout impact player, registering two assists from the bench despite also collecting a yellow card.
  • Anderlecht's Vítor Bruno will take considerable confidence from this display as his side continue their European campaign.

Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht?

PredictNext's AI model favours Anderlecht with a 40% win probability — Jagiellonia Białystok 34%, draw 26%, Anderlecht 40%.

What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht, generated with 52% model confidence.

Will Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht.

How accurate was the Jagiellonia Białystok vs Anderlecht prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 0-3. The winner call was correct.

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