Lecce
Lecce
0 vs 4

Serie A · Matchday

2026-08-31 16:30:00 · 00:30 · Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Roma
Roma

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 0-4

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Lecce
LEC
0 - 2
Roma
ROM
64%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
14.0%Home
24.0%Draw
62.0%Away
17.4%Home
26.3%Draw
56.2%Away
**Roma** arrive as clear favorites against **Lecce**, backed by four wins in their last five H2H meetings and bolstered by a key player returning to contention. However, **Roma** will be without D. Rensch due to muscular problems, creating potential vulnerability on the right flank that **Lecce** may look to exploit. The defensive cover and midfield control will be decisive in this matchup. AI pick: Roma Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or ROM
86% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
68% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreDonyell MalenAlso: Santiago Castro, Paulo Dybala

Goal Probability

LEC ROM
65%
0%
0
35%
40%
1
0%
48%
2
0%
12%
3+

Odds Comparison

14%
15%
-0.7%
24%
24%
-0.4%
62%
61%
+1.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet365VALUE8.503.901.44+19.0%-6.4%-10.7%
Pinnacle6.453.981.57-9.7%-4.5%-2.7%
1xbetVALUE6.704.041.62-6.2%-3.0%+0.4%
WilliamHill5.803.601.60-18.8%-13.6%-0.8%
Betfair6.503.751.50-9.0%-10.0%-7.0%
bwin6.253.901.55-12.5%-6.4%-3.9%
Unibet6.253.951.52-12.5%-5.2%-5.8%
Ladbrokes6.503.901.55-9.0%-6.4%-3.9%
BetVictor6.503.901.50-9.0%-6.4%-7.0%
Sbo5.613.551.50-21.5%-14.8%-7.0%
Dafabet6.804.101.52-4.8%-1.6%-5.8%
10BetVALUE5.703.601.62-20.2%-13.6%+0.4%
Marathonbet6.553.951.58-8.3%-5.2%-2.0%
Coral6.503.901.55-9.0%-6.4%-3.9%
MelBet6.453.881.56-9.7%-6.9%-3.3%
CloudBet6.303.901.53-11.8%-6.4%-5.1%
MansionBet5.803.751.55-18.8%-10.0%-3.9%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Roma Dismantle Lecce in Commanding Four-Goal Showing

Final Score: Lecce 0–4 Roma

Roma produced a statement performance at the Via del Mare on August 31st, demolishing Lecce with four goals across 90 minutes to claim a dominant Serie A victory under Gian Piero Gasperini. The result was never in doubt after a blistering opening, leaving Eusebio Di Francesco's side with precious little to take from the afternoon.

Match Analysis

Roma hit the ground running from the first whistle, and it was Donyell Malen who set the tone. The Dutch winger struck with a right-foot effort in just the 4th minute, catching Lecce cold before the home side had any opportunity to settle. Despite earning a yellow card in the 9th minute for handball, Malen continued to be the dominant attacking force in the first half, doubling his tally in the 23rd minute from an assist by Wesley — again via his favoured right foot.

The damage was compounded almost immediately as Matías Soulé Malvano added a third in the 25th minute with a clinical left-foot finish, effectively ending the contest before the half-hour mark. A two-goal swing in the space of just two minutes illustrated the ruthless efficiency that characterised Roma's first-half display.

The statistics paint a stark picture of Roma's overall dominance. Roma controlled 65% of possession to Lecce's 35%, generated 136 attacks to Lecce's 80, and registered 62 dangerous attacks compared to just 31 from the hosts. With 8 shots on target from 15 total efforts, Roma's precision in front of goal was matched by their territorial authority throughout.

Lecce attempted to regroup at the break, making a double substitution — bringing on Youssef Maleh and Konan N'dri — but Roma maintained their grip. Gasperini rotated confidently, introducing Rodrigo Mora Carvalho in the 60th minute, and the substitute made an immediate impact, netting Roma's fourth in the 65th minute from an assist by Gianluca Mancini to complete the rout.

A successful passing percentage of 88% for Roma, compared to Lecce's 77%, further underlines how comprehensively the visitors controlled the tempo and dictated terms across all phases of play. Lecce's 13 key passes to Roma's 5 in Roma's favour tells its own story in the final third. Paulo Dybala featured before making way for Marten de Roon in the closing stages, evidence of Gasperini's ability to manage his squad even in a comfortable winning position.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Roma victory by a scoreline of 0–2, with a 62% probability assigned to an away win and a confidence rating of 64/100. The direction of the result proved entirely correct — Roma did win convincingly — though the actual margin of 4–0 surpassed our projected scoreline significantly. The attacking output from Malen in particular, who netted a first-half brace, drove the result beyond what our model anticipated.

Key Takeaways

  • Donyell Malen announced himself emphatically with a brace inside the opening 25 minutes, demonstrating the threat Roma carry on the transition.
  • Roma's depth was evident — substitutes Rodrigo Mora Carvalho and others contributed meaningfully without disrupting the team's rhythm.
  • Lecce were overrun in virtually every statistical category, suggesting structural issues under Di Francesco that will need addressing.
  • Roma's 65% possession and 62 dangerous attacks point to a team operating with clear tactical clarity and quality in execution — an early-season statement of intent.

Lecce vs Roma Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Lecce and Roma: Lecce 1W · 3D · Roma 15W.

1

3

15

Sun, Mar 22, 2026Roma1-0Lecce
Tue, Jan 6, 2026Lecce0-2Roma
Sat, Mar 29, 2025Lecce0-1Roma
Sat, Dec 7, 2024Roma4-1Lecce
Mon, Apr 1, 2024Lecce0-0Roma

Lecce vs Roma — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Lecce vs Roma?

PredictNext's AI model favours Roma with a 62% win probability — Lecce 14%, draw 24%, Roma 62%.

What is the predicted score for Lecce vs Roma?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Lecce vs Roma, generated with 64% model confidence.

Will Lecce vs Roma have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Lecce vs Roma.

How accurate was the Lecce vs Roma prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 0-4. The winner call was correct.

More Serie A AI Predictions