Liechtenstein
Liechtenstein
0 vs 2

UEFA Nations League · Matchday

2026-09-24 18:45:00 · 02:45

Lithuania
Lithuania

AI Predicted: 0-1|Actual: 0-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Liechtenstein
LIE
0 - 1
Lithuania
LIT
38%
Confidence
Unpredictable
22.0%Home
28.0%Draw
50.0%Away
Lithuania enter as clear favorites against Liechtenstein, backed by a commanding 54% win probability reflecting the significant gap in squad depth and international pedigree between these two sides. The key tactical factor will be Lithuania's ability to exploit Liechtenstein's compact defensive shape through wide areas and set-piece situations. AI pick: Lithuania Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or Away
78% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
66% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Liechtenstein Lithuania
61%
36%
0
39%
48%
1
0%
16%
2
0%
0%
3+

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Match Report

Lithuania Cruise to Comfortable Victory in Vaduz

Lithuania secured a professional and largely comfortable 2-0 victory over Liechtenstein in this UEFA Nations League fixture, with second-half goals from Lukas Michelbrink and Artūr Dolžnikov settling the contest in Lithuania's favour. The result will come as no surprise given the gulf in quality between the two sides, but Lithuania's manner of performance underlined why they were heavy favourites heading into the match.

Match Analysis

The opening 45 minutes were largely uneventful in terms of goals, though Lithuania's statistical dominance was already well established. Holding 73% of possession and generating 187 attacks compared to Liechtenstein's 30, coach Edgaras Jankauskas's side were firmly in control throughout. Liechtenstein, marshalled by Konrad Fünfstück, stayed organised enough to keep things goalless at half-time, though they registered zero shots on target across the entire match — a stark indicator of their attacking limitations.

A yellow card for Lithuania's Justas Lasickas in the 16th minute and a booking for Liechtenstein's Ferhat Saglam at the 40th minute were the main talking points of an otherwise quiet first half.

Lithuania made an immediate tactical adjustment at the break, introducing Motiejus Burba for Modestas Vorobjovas, and the move paid dividends quickly. In the 53rd minute, Lukas Michelbrink broke the deadlock with a composed right-foot finish, assisted by Armandas Kučys, to put Lithuania in front and effectively end Liechtenstein's hopes of a result.

The second goal came from substitute Artūr Dolžnikov, who had entered the pitch just five minutes earlier as part of a triple substitution by Lithuania in the 61st minute. Gvidas Gineitis provided the assist, and Dolžnikov finished crisply with his right foot in the 66th minute to make it 2-0. It was a particularly impressive contribution from a player who had barely had time to warm up.

The statistics paint a picture of near-total Lithuanian dominance: 16 total shots to Liechtenstein's 4, 7 shots on target to nil, 8 corners to none, and a 89% successful pass rate compared to Liechtenstein's 73%. Liechtenstein's best hope lay in set-pieces or capitalising on Lithuanian errors, but neither materialised. Liechtenstein did create 4 key passes, though no clear chances were converted — or indeed even tested goalkeeper Artemijus Tutyškinas.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast of a Lithuania win (0-1) proved directionally correct, with the away side winning by a 0-2 scoreline. The prediction carried a confidence level of 38/100, reflecting some uncertainty given Liechtenstein's potential for a low-block defensive display at home. In the end, Lithuania was the better side by a considerable margin, and the outcome validated the forecast. The scoreline could realistically have been larger given the volume of chances created.

Key Takeaways

  • Lithuania's depth was on show, with substitute Dolžnikov scoring within minutes of his introduction — a positive sign for Jankauskas as the Nations League campaign continues.
  • Liechtenstein registered zero shots on target, highlighting the enormous challenge Fünfstück's squad faces at this level.
  • The 187 to 30 attack differential is a headline figure that encapsulates just how one-sided this contest truly was.
  • Lithuania's ability to manage the game efficiently, particularly after making multiple substitutions in the second half, speaks to the squad's overall cohesion.

A professional job from Lithuania — three points secured and momentum building.

Liechtenstein vs Lithuania Head-to-Head

Last 4 meetings between Liechtenstein and Lithuania: Liechtenstein 1W · 1D · Lithuania 2W.

1

1

2

Tue, Sep 10, 2013Lithuania2-0Liechtenstein
Fri, Oct 12, 2012Liechtenstein0-2Lithuania
Fri, Sep 2, 2011Lithuania0-0Liechtenstein
Fri, Jun 3, 2011Liechtenstein2-0Lithuania

Liechtenstein vs Lithuania — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?

PredictNext's AI model favours Lithuania with a 50% win probability — Liechtenstein 22%, draw 28%, Lithuania 50%.

What is the predicted score for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania?

The AI forecasts a 0-1 scoreline for Liechtenstein vs Lithuania, generated with 38% model confidence.

Will Liechtenstein vs Lithuania have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Liechtenstein vs Lithuania.

How accurate was the Liechtenstein vs Lithuania prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-1; the match finished 0-2. The winner call was correct.

More UEFA Nations League AI Predictions