Europa League · Matchday
2026-10-22 19:00:00 · 03:00 · Åråsen Stadion
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 0-6
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 5.00 | 4.33 | 1.50 | -15.0% | -9.1% | -7.0% |
| Pinnacle | 5.37 | 4.62 | 1.53 | -8.7% | -3.0% | -5.1% |
| 1xbet | 5.83 | 4.62 | 1.56 | -0.9% | -3.0% | -3.3% |
| WilliamHill | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.53 | -15.0% | -11.8% | -5.1% |
| Betfair | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.50 | -6.5% | -9.1% | -7.0% |
| bwin | 5.50 | 4.40 | 1.55 | -6.5% | -7.6% | -3.9% |
| Ladbrokes | 5.50 | 4.33 | 1.55 | -6.5% | -9.1% | -3.9% |
| Macauslot | 5.15 | 4.35 | 1.43 | -12.4% | -8.7% | -11.3% |
| MelBet | 5.70 | 4.52 | 1.52 | -3.1% | -5.1% | -5.8% |
| Coral | 5.50 | 4.40 | 1.55 | -6.5% | -7.6% | -3.9% |
| MansionBet | 5.20 | 4.25 | 1.53 | -11.6% | -10.8% | -5.1% |
| Sbo | 5.10 | 3.94 | 1.49 | -13.3% | -17.3% | -7.6% |
| Dafabet | 5.60 | 4.60 | 1.55 | -4.8% | -3.4% | -3.9% |
| Marathonbet | 5.75 | 4.55 | 1.53 | -2.2% | -4.5% | -5.1% |
| BetVictor | 5.50 | 4.10 | 1.50 | -6.5% | -13.9% | -7.0% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Lillestrøm 0–6 Real Sociedad | Europa League | 22 October 2026
Result Summary
Real Sociedad delivered a commanding European performance in Norway, dismantling Lillestrøm with a stunning 6–0 victory at Åråsen Stadion. The result was never truly in doubt after a devastating eight-minute spell in the first half, as Pellegrino Matarazzo's side ran out emphatic winners in what proved to be one of the more one-sided Europa League contests of the group stage.
Match Analysis
The game's defining passage arrived between the 25th and 33rd minutes, when Real Sociedad effectively killed the contest before the half-hour mark had even passed. Sergio Gómez Martín opened the scoring in the 25th minute with a left-foot finish, assisted by Mikel Oyarzabal, and doubled his personal tally just two minutes later with his right foot — Oyarzabal again providing the creative spark. Luka Sučić then added a third in the 33rd minute, once more finding Oyarzabal in an assisting role, completing a ruthless eight-minute blitz that left Lillestrøm's Hans Erik Ødegaard side shell-shocked.
Despite a scoreline that tells a story of complete dominance, the underlying statistics paint a slightly more nuanced picture in certain areas. Lillestrøm registered 14 total shots to Real Sociedad's 16, and the attacking counts were remarkably close — 87 attacks for Lillestrøm against 83 for Real Sociedad, with dangerous attacks virtually level at 45 vs 44. However, the critical difference lay in conversion and accuracy: Real Sociedad put 8 shots on target compared to Lillestrøm's meagre 2, and it was that clinical efficiency that turned a competitive-looking surface stat sheet into a rout.
Real Sociedad's 56% possession and a 90% successful pass rate (versus Lillestrøm's 89%) reflected a controlled, measured approach — they did not need to over-exert. Mamadou Sarr picked up a yellow card in the 30th minute for a foul, and was sensibly substituted at half-time to protect him for future fixtures, with Jon Pacheco Dozagarat coming on. Coach Matarazzo also rotated generously in the second half, bringing on Orri Steinn Óskarsson and Arsen Zakharyan, both of whom made immediate impacts. Óskarsson scored in the 64th minute, assisted by Gonçalo Guedes, before Sučić added his second of the night in the 72nd minute. Zakharyan completed the rout in the 80th minute, assisted by Beñat Turrientes, rounding off a polished team display.
For Lillestrøm, the introduction of Eric Bugale Kitolano at half-time and further changes throughout the second half offered little remedy. The hosts could not translate their overall attacking volume into genuine threat, with only 2 shots on target across 90 minutes underlining the gulf in quality between the two sides on this occasion.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a Real Sociedad win by 0–2, with a 62% probability assigned to an away victory — a prediction that proved directionally correct, earning a successful outcome call. However, the margin of victory was dramatically underestimated; a 6–0 scoreline far exceeded the forecast scope. The 61/100 confidence rating reflected reasonable certainty in the result direction, and while the winner was right, the sheer scale of the performance was beyond the model's expectations.
Key Takeaways
- Mikel Oyarzabal was the creative hub, registering three assists in the first half alone before being withdrawn after the hour mark.
- Sergio Gómez Martín and Luka Sučić were the primary beneficiaries, each netting twice.
- Real Sociedad's squad depth was on full display, with substitutes Óskarsson and Zakharyan both scoring after coming on.
- Lillestrøm's **lack of
Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
PredictNext's AI model favours Real Sociedad with a 62% win probability — Lillestrøm 17%, draw 21%, Real Sociedad 62%.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad?
The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad, generated with 61% model confidence.
Will Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad.
How accurate was the Lillestrøm vs Real Sociedad prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 0-6. The winner call was correct.