Serie A · Matchday
2026-10-19 16:30:00 · 00:30 · U-Power Stadium
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 4-0
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.35 | 3.20 | 3.20 | -3.6% | -10.4% | -0.8% |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.23 | 3.20 | -1.6% | -9.6% | -0.8% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 2.37 | 3.27 | 3.46 | -2.8% | -8.4% | +7.3% |
| WilliamHill | 2.30 | 3.10 | 2.90 | -5.7% | -13.2% | -10.1% |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.10 | -5.7% | -16.0% | -3.9% |
| bwin | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.20 | -5.7% | -9.0% | -0.8% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.10 | -5.7% | -9.0% | -3.9% |
| MelBetVALUE | 2.29 | 3.16 | 3.32 | -6.1% | -11.5% | +2.9% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 2.32 | 3.20 | 3.38 | -4.9% | -10.4% | +4.8% |
| Sbo | 2.33 | 3.08 | 2.87 | -4.5% | -13.8% | -11.0% |
| Coral | 2.30 | 3.25 | 3.20 | -5.7% | -9.0% | -0.8% |
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 3.20 | 3.10 | -2.4% | -10.4% | -3.9% |
| Macauslot | 2.21 | 3.33 | 2.78 | -9.4% | -6.8% | -13.8% |
| MansionBet | 2.33 | 3.20 | 2.95 | -4.5% | -10.4% | -8.5% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Monza 4–0 Cagliari | Serie A | 19 October 2026
Result Summary
A commanding home performance saw Monza dismantle Cagliari with a emphatic 4–0 victory at the U-Power Stadium. Goals from Eddy Nda Konan Kouadio, a Gustavo Miguel Pereira De Sousa brace, and Jay Robinson secured three points in convincing fashion, with Ivan Juric's side never truly threatened despite Cagliari enjoying the majority of possession.
Match Analysis
The opening exchanges were relatively balanced, with Cagliari edging the ball — a trend that would persist throughout, as they finished with 55% possession compared to Monza's 45%. Yet possession told only part of the story, and ultimately the wrong part for Fabio Pisacane's visitors.
Monza broke the deadlock on 39 minutes when Eddy Nda Konan Kouadio converted from a right-foot strike, with the assist coming from Dany Mota Carvalho. It was a well-earned lead for the hosts, who had managed to make their attacks count despite generating fewer overall than Cagliari's 109 total attacks on the day.
The second half began with an immediate statement. Just two minutes after the restart, Gustavo Miguel Pereira De Sousa found the net on 47 minutes, converting an assist from Manga Foe Ondoa with a right-foot finish — a devastating early blow that effectively ended Cagliari as a competitive force. Pisacane responded with substitutions, bringing on Alieu Fadera at the hour mark, but the game had already shifted decisively.
Jay Robinson added a third on 66 minutes, guided in from a Gustavo Varela assist, extending the lead to three and sealing the result. Robinson departed shortly after his goal, replaced by Andrea Colpani in what proved a comfortable reshuffle. Gustavo Miguel Pereira De Sousa then put the seal on an outstanding personal performance, netting his second of the match on 79 minutes with another right-foot strike to make it 4–0.
The statistics underline how Monza maximised their efficiency. Despite being outshot overall — Cagliari registered 16 total shots to Monza's 14 — the hosts converted far more effectively, registering 6 shots on target to Cagliari's 5. Cagliari's 7 corners to Monza's 2 and 15 key passes to Monza's 11 paint a picture of a side that created volume but lacked the clinical edge to trouble the Monza backline.
A pair of yellow cards — one each for Samuele Birindelli and Alieu Fadera in the 82nd minute following an argument — added minor drama to what was otherwise a serene afternoon for the hosts.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast of a 1–1 draw proved well wide of the mark, with a confidence rating of just 56/100 reflecting genuine uncertainty heading into this fixture. The prediction model assigned a 41% probability to a Monza win, but a 4–0 margin fell entirely outside the expected range. Cagliari's statistical dominance in possession and total attacks — areas which typically correlate with competitive results — may have contributed to the model's underestimation of Monza's effectiveness on the day. In hindsight, the hosts' dangerous attacks figure of 44 versus Cagliari's 40 was a subtle indicator of where the real threat lay.
Key Takeaways
- Gustavo Miguel Pereira De Sousa was the standout performer, delivering a match-winning brace to underline his importance to Ivan Juric's attack.
- Monza's clinical finishing contrasted sharply with Cagliari's wastefulness — more possession and more total shots did not translate into goals.
- Fabio Pisacane's Cagliari will need to urgently address defensive vulnerability, conceding four goals despite a statististically competitive performance.
- For Juric's Monza, this result is a significant statement of intent in Serie A.
Monza vs Cagliari Head-to-Head
Last 4 meetings between Monza and Cagliari: Monza 1W · 1D · Cagliari 2W.
1
Monza wins
1
Draws
2
Cagliari wins
Monza vs Cagliari — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Monza vs Cagliari?
PredictNext's AI model favours Monza with a 41% win probability — Monza 41%, draw 28%, Cagliari 31%.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Cagliari?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Monza vs Cagliari, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will Monza vs Cagliari have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Monza vs Cagliari.
How accurate was the Monza vs Cagliari prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 4-0. The winner call was correct.