Serie A · Matchday
2026-08-29 16:30:00 · 00:30 · U-Power Stadium
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 2-3
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.20 | -4.8% | -10.1% | -5.4% |
| Pinnacle | 3.44 | 3.23 | 2.31 | -3.7% | -6.3% | -0.7% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 3.46 | 3.32 | 2.35 | -3.1% | -3.7% | +1.0% |
| WilliamHill | 3.25 | 3.00 | 2.25 | -9.0% | -13.0% | -3.2% |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.30 | -9.0% | -4.3% | -1.1% |
| bwin | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.25 | -7.6% | -7.2% | -3.2% |
| Unibet | 3.15 | 3.15 | 2.30 | -11.8% | -8.7% | -1.1% |
| Ladbrokes | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.25 | -7.6% | -7.2% | -3.2% |
| CloudBet | 3.35 | 3.15 | 2.25 | -6.2% | -8.7% | -3.2% |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.29 | -4.8% | -7.2% | -1.5% |
| 10Bet | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.20 | -7.6% | -7.2% | -5.4% |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.20 | 2.20 | -10.4% | -7.2% | -5.4% |
| Sbo | 3.08 | 2.99 | 2.12 | -13.8% | -13.3% | -8.8% |
| MansionBet | 3.15 | 3.15 | 2.25 | -11.8% | -8.7% | -3.2% |
| Coral | 3.30 | 3.20 | 2.25 | -7.6% | -7.2% | -3.2% |
| Macauslot | 3.08 | 3.18 | 2.12 | -13.8% | -7.8% | -8.8% |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.24 | 2.30 | -5.4% | -6.0% | -1.1% |
| MelBet | 3.32 | 3.19 | 2.27 | -7.0% | -7.5% | -2.4% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Udinese Claim Dramatic Victory in Five-Goal Thriller at Monza
Udinese secured a hard-fought 3-2 away victory at Monza in what proved to be an enthralling Serie A encounter on August 29th, 2026. Kosta Runjaic's side showed tremendous resilience and clinical finishing at the U-Power Stadium, while Ivan Juric's Monza will be left to rue a catastrophic end to the first half that ultimately cost them the three points.
Match Analysis
The match appeared to be developing into a competitive, balanced affair before the game's decisive passage of play arrived in the final minutes of the first half. Jakub Piotrowski broke the deadlock in the 32nd minute, converting with his left foot from a Hassane Kamara assist to give Udinese the lead. Monza responded well, with Andrea Colpani restoring parity just five minutes later — finishing with his right foot after a clever delivery from Ricardo Mangas — and the teams seemed evenly poised heading into the break.
What followed, however, was a devastating spell for the hosts. Hassane Kamara struck with his left foot on the stroke of half-time (45'), converting at the other end after providing an assist moments earlier, before Jurgen Ekkelenkamp added a third in stoppage time (45+3') with a right-footed finish. Conceding twice in the space of three minutes, both goals so late in the half, left Monza with a mountain to climb.
The statistics reflect how competitive the match was beyond that brutal ten-minute spell. Monza actually edged possession at 51% to 49% and generated 14 total shots compared to Udinese's 12, with both sides level on shots on target at 5 apiece. Monza also registered 45 dangerous attacks to Udinese's 27, underlining that they were far from outplayed across 90 minutes.
Juric made two changes at the break in Ebenezer Akinsanmiro and Michael Folorunsho, and the impact was felt almost immediately. Gustavo Pereira De Sousa headed home in the 63rd minute, assisted by Akinsanmiro, to give Monza a lifeline and set up a tense final quarter. However, despite sustained pressure — reflected in 12 key passes and 82% successful pass completion — they could not find the equaliser. A yellow card for Lorenzo Lucchesi just before the hour, followed quickly by his substitution, disrupted Monza's defensive structure at a critical juncture.
Runjaic rotated intelligently through the second half, bringing on Lennon Miller, Oier Zarraga, Nicolò Bertola, and Idrissa Gueye to manage the game, and Udinese held firm to collect all three points.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for an Udinese victory at 43% probability, with the final scoreline landing as a 3-2 away win — directionally correct and validating the analysis that Udinese carried the stronger away form and quality differential on the day. With a confidence level of 56/100, the prediction acknowledged genuine uncertainty given Monza's capacity to compete at home, and that was well-founded — Monza were competitive across large portions of the match. The dramatic first-half collapse was the key variable that proved decisive.
Key Takeaways
- Udinese's clinical finishing in the 45th and 45+3rd minutes was the defining moment of the match, turning a draw into a commanding lead.
- Monza's attacking output was impressive — 14 shots and 45 dangerous attacks — but they were punished for switching off at the worst possible time.
- Hassane Kamara had an outstanding game, contributing both an assist and a goal in a match-defining display.
- Juric will demand answers from his side about the defensive collapse at the end of the first half, which ultimately proved too costly to overcome.
Monza vs Udinese Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Monza and Udinese: Monza 2W · 3D · Udinese 2W.
2
Monza wins
3
Draws
2
Udinese wins
Monza vs Udinese — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Monza vs Udinese?
PredictNext's AI model favours Udinese with a 43% win probability — Monza 28%, draw 29%, Udinese 43%.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Udinese?
The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Monza vs Udinese, generated with 56% model confidence.
Will Monza vs Udinese have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for under 2.5 goals in Monza vs Udinese.
How accurate was the Monza vs Udinese prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 2-3. The winner call was correct.