Myanmar 1–2 Malaysia | ASEAN Championship | 25 July 2026

Result Summary

Malaysia secured a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Myanmar in their ASEAN Championship encounter, coming from behind to claim all three points. Paulo Josué Sturmer dos Reis proved to be the match-winner, with his second-half strike completing the turnaround after Myanmar had threatened to hold on for an upset.

Match Analysis

Myanmar made a bright start and were rewarded early when Myat Kaung Khant broke the deadlock in the 10th minute, giving Jørn Andersen's side an early foothold in the contest. The opening goal reflected Myanmar's aggressive intent, and the statistics bear out their industry throughout the match — they generated 14 total shots compared to Malaysia's 10, launched 82 attacks to Malaysia's 68, and registered 47 dangerous attacks to their opponents' 32.

However, the clearest indicator of what ultimately decided the game lies in a single contrasting statistic: Myanmar managed only 2 shots on target from 14 attempts, while Malaysia converted on 7 shots on target from just 10 total efforts. Myanmar's wastefulness in front of goal proved fatal, despite their territorial and attacking volume suggesting a team that should have done more.

Malaysia, in control of possession at 53%, were more clinical and composed. After the interval, the equaliser arrived in the 52nd minute through Paulo Josué Sturmer dos Reis, whose field goal levelled the contest and shifted the momentum firmly in Malaysia's favour. The Brazilian-born forward then collected a yellow card in the 59th minute for a foul — a moment of on-field tension that coincided with Myanmar's Soe Moe Kyaw also being booked for unsportsmanlike conduct in the same minute.

Malaysia's coaching staff made proactive changes to manage the game: Haqimi Azim Rosli entered in the 63rd minute for Mohamadou Sumareh, and Daryl Sham George came on for Endrick in the 74th minute. Myanmar responded with their own changes, introducing Kyaw Zin Hein Khun for Nanda Kyaw in the 76th minute, while Myat Phone Khant replaced goalscorer Myat Kaung Khant in the 85th minute. Myanmar's discipline was a recurring concern, finishing with 13 fouls and accumulating four yellow cards across the match — bookings for Min Oo Kyaw (14'), Soe Moe Kyaw (59'), and Hein Phyo Win (77') painting a picture of a side under mounting pressure.

The corners were evenly split at 5 apiece, and both sides registered a pass success rate of approximately 79% (Myanmar) and 77% (Malaysia), suggesting the gap was never about technical quality but rather about composure and finishing.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Malaysia win (1–0), assigned the away side a 45% probability of victory, and carried a low confidence rating of 33/100. While the scoreline differed from the precise 0–1 forecast, the directional prediction was correct — Malaysia did prevail, validating the underlying assessment that the Harimau Malaya held the edge in this fixture.

Key Takeaways

• Malaysia's clinical finishing — 7 shots on target, 2 goals — was the decisive factor against a Myanmar side that dominated in chances created but not converted.
• Myanmar under Jørn Andersen showed attacking ambition but must address their finishing efficiency and disciplinary record.
• Paulo Josué Sturmer dos Reis was Malaysia's standout performer, contributing both the equaliser and the winning goal.