New Zealand
New Zealand
1 vs 5

World Cup · Matchday

2026-06-27 03:00:00 · 11:00

Belgium
Belgium

AI Predicted: 0-2|Actual: 1-5

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

New Zealand
NEW
0 - 2
Belgium
BEL
66%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
8.5%Home
16.0%Draw
75.5%Away
11.6%Home
16.9%Draw
71.5%Away
Belgium are heavy favorites here, backed by a dominant 72% win probability against a New Zealand side that has rarely threatened at this level. With lineups still pending, the tactical edge clearly lies with Belgium's superior depth and international pedigree across every position. AI pick: Belgium Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredDraw or Away
92% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5
62% chance of 3+ goals
Will both teams find the net?No
72% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

New Zealand Belgium
73%
0%
0
27%
14%
1
0%
55%
2
0%
31%
3+

Odds Comparison

9%
8%
+0.3%
16%
15%
+0.9%
75%
77%
-1.2%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

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Match Report

New Zealand 1–5 Belgium: All-Time Red Devils Demolition at the World Cup

Result Summary

Belgium delivered a commanding, clinical performance to dismantle New Zealand 5–1 in their 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage fixture on June 27. The result was never truly in doubt after the Red Devils established early control, with Leandro Trossard the standout individual on the night, contributing a brace and an assist in a display that underlined Belgium's quality at this level.

Match Analysis

Belgium's dominance was reflected almost immediately in the underlying statistics. Rudi Garcia's side registered 35 total shots to New Zealand's 6, with an extraordinary 28 key passes compared to just 3 for the All Whites. Possession was largely controlled by Belgium at 55% to 45%, and their 69 dangerous attacks versus New Zealand's 32 told the story of a one-sided contest.

The opening goal arrived in the 28th minute, when Trossard converted with his right foot to give Belgium a deserved lead. The All Whites struggled to contain Belgium's attacking movements throughout the first half, and a VAR decision involving New Zealand's Finn Surman in the 21st minute added early drama to the proceedings.

Coach Darren Shaun Bazeley made a double substitution at half-time, introducing Benjamin Old and Jesse Randall in an attempt to re-energize his side. However, Trossard struck again in the 50th minute, this time assisted by Hans Vanaken, effectively ending the contest as a competitive encounter. Sixteen minutes later, Kevin De Bruyne added a third, finishing with his left foot from a Trossard assist — a moment of composed quality from the Belgian captain.

Marko Stamenic was booked for a foul at the 46th minute, and Elijah Henry Just received a yellow card in the 56th minute, reflecting growing frustration within the New Zealand ranks as the game slipped away. Belgium's substitutions kept fresh legs on the pitch, with Alexis Saelemaekers and Romelu Lukaku Menama introduced in the closing stages.

New Zealand did find a moment of pride in the 84th minute, when Just — despite his earlier booking — fired home a composed left-footed finish for a consolation. However, Belgium responded almost instantly, with Lukaku heading home in the 86th minute from a Nicolas Raskin assist, before Saelemaekers rounded off the scoring in the 90+4th minute, tapping in from a Lukaku layoff to complete a 5–1 rout. Shots on target read 10 to 2 in Belgium's favor, a statistic that summarizes the gulf in class on the night.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis forecast a Belgium victory at 75.5% probability, with a predicted scoreline of 0–2 and a confidence rating of 66/100. The direction of the result was correct — Belgium did win convincingly — though the margin of victory far exceeded expectations. The 5–1 final scoreline speaks to just how thoroughly Belgium dominated, with New Zealand's attacking threat proving minimal against a well-organized Red Devils backline marshalled by Arthur Theate, Brandon Mechele, and Timothy Castagne.

Key Takeaways

  • Trossard was the match's defining figure, with two goals and an assist before being substituted in the 72nd minute — a truly influential display.
  • Belgium's attacking depth was on full display, with De Bruyne, Lukaku, and Saelemaekers all contributing to goals after entering proceedings.
  • New Zealand's defensive fragility was exposed by Belgium's relentless pressure, as evidenced by the 13 shots off target for Belgium alongside their 10 on target — sheer volume proved decisive.
  • Just's consolation was a rare bright spot for the All Whites and showed individual quality, but it ultimately amounted to little in the face of Belgium's overwhelming superiority.

Belgium advance in confident, clinical fashion. New Zealand face a significant challenge to progress further in this tournament.

New Zealand vs Belgium Head-to-Head

Last 1 meetings between New Zealand and Belgium: New Zealand 0W · 0D · Belgium 1W.

0

0

1

Sat, Jun 27, 2026New Zealand1-5Belgium

New Zealand vs Belgium — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win New Zealand vs Belgium?

PredictNext's AI model favours Belgium with a 75% win probability — New Zealand 9%, draw 16%, Belgium 75%.

What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Belgium?

The AI forecasts a 0-2 scoreline for New Zealand vs Belgium, generated with 66% model confidence.

Will New Zealand vs Belgium have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 62% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for under 2.5 goals in New Zealand vs Belgium.

How accurate was the New Zealand vs Belgium prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 0-2; the match finished 1-5. The winner call was correct.

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