Norway
Norway
1 vs 4

World Cup · Matchday

2026-06-26 19:00:00 · 03:00

France
France

AI Predicted: 1-2|Actual: 1-4

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Norway
NOR
1 - 2
France
FRA
56%
Confidence
Low Confidence
26.0%Home
23.0%Draw
51.0%Away
22.1%Home
26.5%Draw
51.5%Away
**France** enter this World Cup clash as clear favorites against **Norway**, with Jonas Ryerson ruled out due to muscular problems — a notable blow to Norway's defensive options. France's superior tournament experience and squad depth should prove decisive, particularly in exploiting the flanks where Ryerson's absence creates vulnerability. AI pick: France Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
77% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
56% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Norway France
39%
13%
0
61%
43%
1
0%
43%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

26%
22%
+3.5%
23%
25%
-1.8%
51%
53%
-1.7%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Away Win

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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Match Report

Norway 1–4 France | World Cup Group Stage | 26 June 2026

Result Summary

France delivered a commanding performance to sweep past Norway 4–1, booking their place in the next round of the 2026 World Cup in emphatic fashion. The result was shaped primarily by a devastating first-half display, with Ousmane Dembélé writing his name into the scoresheet three times before the interval. Norway's spirited response lasted barely a minute before France reasserted control, and Desire Doue wrapped things up deep in stoppage time.

Match Analysis

France set the tone almost immediately. Dembélé opened the scoring in the 7th minute, converting a right-foot finish from an assist by Kylian Mbappé, and the Norwegians were immediately on the back foot. With France dictating proceedings — ultimately finishing with 57% possession, 18 total shots, and 9 shots on target compared to Norway's 4 — Ståle Solbakken's side struggled to impose themselves in the opening exchanges.

The second goal arrived in the 20th minute, again from Dembélé — this time with his left foot, again teed up by the irrepressible Mbappé. It looked to be game over, but Norway produced an instant response. Just sixty seconds later in the 21st minute, Thelo Aasgaard pulled one back with a right-foot shot, assisted by Andreas Schjelderup, briefly injecting life into what had threatened to become a rout.

That spark, however, was quickly extinguished. Dembélé completed his hat-trick in the 32nd minute, this time assisted by Aurélien Tchouaméni, and France carried a commanding 3–1 lead into the break. The difference in attacking output was stark: France generated 64 dangerous attacks and 16 key passes versus Norway's 39 dangerous attacks and 7 key passes, underlining the gulf in creative quality.

Norway attempted to respond after the interval with a double substitution at half-time, bringing on Marcus Holmgren Pedersen and Morten Thorsby, but France's structure held firm. Patrick Berg had already picked up a yellow card in the 10th minute for a foul, and with Tchouaméni booked in the 74th minute, both sides had to manage the game carefully in the closing stages.

France made calculated changes from the 65th minute, withdrawing the hat-trick hero Dembélé and Michael Olise in favour of Bradley Barcola and Mathis Ryan Cherki Mathis Cherki. The freshness paid dividends in added time when Barcola provided the assist for Doue to head home in the 90+4th minute, sealing an authoritative 4–1 scoreline.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a France win at 1–2, with a 51% probability assigned to a French victory. That directional call proved correct, and the confidence level of 56/100 reflected genuine uncertainty about Norway's ability to threaten — which they did, albeit briefly. The actual scoreline was more emphatic than anticipated, driven largely by Dembélé's individual brilliance, which was difficult to quantify in advance.

Key Takeaways

  • Dembélé's hat-trick in the first 32 minutes was the defining contribution of the match, with Mbappé providing the creative spark for two of those goals.
  • France's attacking depth was evident — even after withdrawing their most dangerous players at the 65-minute mark, they still managed a fourth goal through Doue.
  • Norway's brief revival around the 21st minute showed character, but the team ultimately lacked the sustained quality to seriously trouble a French side operating near their ceiling.
  • With 82% successful pass accuracy and a solid defensive shape, Norway were not without merit, but France's 86% passing accuracy and superior key pass count (16 vs 7) told the real story.

Norway vs France Head-to-Head

Last 1 meetings between Norway and France: Norway 0W · 0D · France 1W.

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Fri, Jun 26, 2026Norway1-4France

Norway vs France — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Norway vs France?

PredictNext's AI model favours France with a 51% win probability — Norway 26%, draw 23%, France 51%.

What is the predicted score for Norway vs France?

The AI forecasts a 1-2 scoreline for Norway vs France, generated with 56% model confidence.

Will Norway vs France have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Norway vs France.

How accurate was the Norway vs France prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-2; the match finished 1-4. The winner call was correct.

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