Parma
Parma
0 vs 2

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-09-01 16:00:00 · 00:00

Cremonese
Cremonese

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 0-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Parma
PAR
1 - 0
Cremonese
CRE
53%
Confidence
Low Confidence
43.0%Home
28.5%Draw
28.5%Away
37.2%Home
29.5%Draw
33.3%Away
Parma hold the home advantage in this Coppa Italia clash, boosted by a key player returning from injury, though Cremonese arrive with a competitive recent head-to-head record. The suspension of A. Grassi is a significant blow for Cremonese, disrupting their midfield structure and potentially opening space for Parma to control the tempo in a tight contest. AI pick: Parma Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
72% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
64% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Parma Cremonese
37%
68%
0
47%
32%
1
16%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

43%
45%
-1.7%
29%
28%
0.0%
28%
27%
+1.7%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Cremonese Stun Parma with Composed Coppa Italia Victory

Cremonese delivered a disciplined and clinical performance to defeat Parma 0-2 at home in this Coppa Italia first-round fixture on September 1, 2026, with goals in each half sealing a result that defied pre-match expectations and left Carlo Antón Cuesta's side with little to show for their territorial efforts.

Match Analysis

The visitors struck early and never looked back. Just five minutes into the contest, Simone Lottici Tessadri — a name that will surely be remembered in Cremonese circles after this night — opened the scoring with a composed right-foot finish, assisted by Marco Nasti. The early goal immediately placed Parma under pressure and set the tone for a tactically disciplined Cremonese display under Marco Giampaolo.

Despite falling behind, Parma struggled to convert their attacking intent into genuine goalscoring opportunities. The statistics reveal an interesting dichotomy: Parma generated more attacks (100 vs 71) and dangerous attacks (68 vs 30), yet Cremonese were vastly more efficient in front of goal, registering 6 shots on target compared to Parma's 2. Cremonese's 12 key passes to Parma's 6 further underlines how effectively Giampaolo's side created quality chances when they did venture forward.

The gap was extended just before half-time when Adin Ličina converted a left-foot shot, assisted by Tommaso Berti, making it 0-2 on 41 minutes — a devastating moment for Parma heading into the break. Cremonese entered the interval with a commanding lead that their shot quality fully justified.

The second half saw Parma make a triple substitution at the break, introducing Mandela Keita, José David Romero, and El Bilal Touré in an attempt to inject fresh energy. However, the changes failed to significantly alter the pattern. Lautaro Rodrigo Valenti picked up a yellow card on 50 minutes for a foul, reflecting the growing frustration within the Parma ranks. Ličina was also booked on 58 minutes, but Cremonese had little difficulty managing the remainder of the game.

One striking detail was Parma's eight offsides against Cremonese's zero — a statistic that hints at a disjointed attacking structure and poor timing in their forward runs throughout the match. Possession was relatively even at 49% vs 51%, and both sides completed passes at an identical 89% success rate, meaning the difference ultimately came down to composure and clinical finishing, two qualities Cremonese possessed in far greater abundance on the day.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast gave Parma a 43% probability of winning, with the result predicted as a 1-0 home victory. That analysis proved incorrect. With a confidence rating of just 53/100, there was always significant uncertainty attached to the prediction, and Cremonese's ability to punish Parma decisively — and early — highlighted the limitations of the forecast. The visiting side's efficiency in front of goal was the decisive factor our model underweighted.

Key Takeaways

  • Cremonese were ruthlessly clinical, converting their chances at a far superior rate despite generating fewer overall attacks.
  • Parma's attacking volume did not translate into quality, with only 2 shots on target from 9 total.
  • Early goals change games: Lottici Tessadri's fifth-minute opener fundamentally shaped the tactical landscape.
  • Giampaolo's side showed strong defensive organisation, conceding zero offsides and maintaining shape throughout.
  • For Parma, this is a result that demands a closer look at attacking efficiency and forward movement ahead of upcoming fixtures.

Parma vs Cremonese — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Parma vs Cremonese?

PredictNext's AI model favours Parma with a 43% win probability — Parma 43%, draw 29%, Cremonese 28%.

What is the predicted score for Parma vs Cremonese?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Parma vs Cremonese, generated with 53% model confidence.

Will Parma vs Cremonese have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for under 2.5 goals in Parma vs Cremonese.

How accurate was the Parma vs Cremonese prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 0-2. The winner call was incorrect.

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