Parma
Parma
2 vs 0

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-08-14 16:00:00 · 00:00

TBC
TBC

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 2-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Parma
PAR
2 - 0
TBC
TBC
59%
Confidence
Low Confidence
68.0%Home
20.0%Draw
12.0%Away
71.6%Home
17.4%Draw
11.0%Away
With a home fixture in the Coppa Italia and no confirmed opponent yet, **Parma** hold a structural advantage playing in familiar surroundings. The unknown nature of **TBC** makes tactical preparation difficult, though Parma's home record provides a baseline edge. The key factor will be Parma's ability to control tempo early and protect a narrow lead. AI pick: Parma Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
88% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
60% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Parma TBC
0%
69%
0
39%
31%
1
48%
0%
2
13%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

68%
71%
-2.9%
20%
18%
+2.1%
12%
11%
+0.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Parma 2–0 TBC | Coppa Italia | 14 August 2026

Result Summary

Parma opened their Coppa Italia campaign with a commanding 2–0 victory, courtesy of a first-half brace from Simone Lontani. Despite spending much of the match without the ball, Carlos Antón Cuesta's side were devastatingly efficient in front of goal, converting their opportunities with clinical precision to advance comfortably.


Match Analysis

The statistics paint a fascinating picture of this contest. TBC dominated the ball significantly, registering 66% possession to Parma's 34%, and generated more overall attacks — 140 to 92 — and more dangerous attacks — 63 to 53. On the surface, those numbers suggest a competitive match. The scoreline, however, tells a very different story.

The defining difference was shot quality and ruthlessness. Parma recorded 8 shots on target from 12 total, while TBC managed just 2 shots on target from 6 attempts. Lontani was the embodiment of that efficiency. On 19 minutes, he broke the deadlock with a right-foot finish, settling Parma into their game plan early. He then doubled the advantage on 35 minutes, this time benefiting from an assist by El Bilal Touré to slot home his second with another composed right-foot effort.

TBC's afternoon was further complicated by indiscipline. Alessandro Quaini received a yellow card on 33 minutes for a foul, coming in a difficult period when they had just fallen behind and were pressing for a response. Simone Leonardi added a second booking for TBC just before half-time in the 45+2', and the double yellow card burden likely influenced coach Emilio Longo's decision to remove both players at the interval — with Michael Liguori and Alessandro Raimo introduced to freshen up his side.

Parma's own rotation came in the second half, with Antón Cuesta making several changes including Mandela Keita, Oliver Sørensen Jensen, and Matija Frigan all introduced around the hour mark. The hosts never appeared threatened, even as TBC pushed late through further substitutions. Parma's passing held up well, with an 88% successful pass rate, barely trailing TBC's 90%, despite the significant possession disparity — suggesting a controlled and deliberate approach off the ball.

Franco Ezequiel Carboni collected the only Parma booking deep in stoppage time — a minor blemish on an otherwise well-managed defensive display from the home side.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Parma 2–0 win, assigning a 68% probability to a home victory with a confidence rating of 59/100. The prediction proved entirely correct, matching both the scoreline and the winning margin exactly. The analysis correctly identified Parma's greater quality at this level and their ability to be dangerous in transition, even without dominating possession. TBC's inability to convert their territorial advantage into meaningful goalmouth threat validated the forecast's caution about their attacking threat.


Takeaways

  • Simone Lontani announced himself as a key attacking outlet, delivering a match-winning brace that demonstrated sharpness in front of goal.
  • El Bilal Touré's assist for the second goal highlighted his creative contribution before being substituted on 67 minutes.
  • Despite being outpossessed heavily, Parma's shot conversion efficiency was the decisive factor — a hallmark of a well-drilled side under Antón Cuesta.
  • TBC's Emilio Longo will need to address both their finishing and their discipline if they are to progress further in cup competition.

Parma vs TBC — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Parma vs TBC?

PredictNext's AI model favours Parma with a 68% win probability — Parma 68%, draw 20%, TBC 12%.

What is the predicted score for Parma vs TBC?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Parma vs TBC, generated with 59% model confidence.

Will Parma vs TBC have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Parma vs TBC.

How accurate was the Parma vs TBC prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was correct.

More Coppa Italia AI Predictions