Roma
Roma
4 vs 0

Serie A · Matchday

2026-08-24 18:45:00 · 02:45 · Stadio Olimpico

Fiorentina
Fiorentina

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 4-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Roma
ROM
2 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
57%
Confidence
Low Confidence
60.0%Home
23.0%Draw
17.0%Away
60.6%Home
23.0%Draw
16.4%Away
**Roma** enter this fixture as clear favorites, boosted by a strong H2H record (3 wins in the last 5 meetings) though hampered by the confirmed absence of D. Rensch through muscular problems. The key battleground will be **Fiorentina's** ability to exploit Roma's defensive flanks without Rensch's coverage. AI pick: Roma Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredROM or Draw
83% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
68% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

ROM FIO
0%
50%
0
34%
50%
1
52%
0%
2
15%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

60%
60%
-0.4%
23%
23%
-0.3%
17%
17%
+0.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Roma 4-0 Fiorentina | Serie A | 24 August 2026

Result Summary

A dominant home performance at the Olimpico saw Roma dismantle Fiorentina in emphatic fashion, claiming a 4-0 victory that was never truly in doubt after the first goal. Donyell Malen was the undisputed star of the evening, completing a stunning hat-trick, while Niccolò Pisilli added gloss to the scoreline late on. For Gian Piero Gasperini's side, this was a statement afternoon; for Fabio Grosso's Fiorentina, an evening to forget quickly.


Match Analysis

Roma set the tone from the outset, and the statistics underline just how comprehensively they controlled proceedings. With 61% ball possession, an 89% successful pass rate, and 14 key passes compared to Fiorentina's five, the Giallorossi were simply a level above their visitors throughout.

The breakthrough arrived on 27 minutes, when Donyell Malen converted from the left foot, with Paulo Dybala providing the assist — a combination that would prove devastating across the evening. Fiorentina's response was frustration rather than football: Nicolò Fagioli collected a yellow card just three minutes later for a foul, and while Roma were not entirely disciplined — Mario Hermoso and Kouadio Koné also picked up bookings in the first and second halves respectively — they maintained their grip on the game with composure.

The second half began just as the first had ended. Malen struck again on 52 minutes, this time once more assisted by the irrepressible Dybala, again with his left foot. Fiorentina attempted a tactical reset, bringing on three substitutes around the hour mark — Alejandro Jiménez Sánchez, Christ Oulaï, and Moise Kean — but the damage was already done. On 60 minutes, Malen completed his hat-trick, switching to his right foot and again finding the net from a Dybala assist, making it three goals in thirty-three second-half minutes across the two periods.

Roma's 59 dangerous attacks to Fiorentina's 36, and a 17-9 advantage in total shots, reflected just how one-sided the contest had become. Mateo Pellegrino Casalanguila was booked in the 63rd minute for dissent as Fiorentina's frustration boiled over.

With the game long decided, Gasperini rotated intelligently. Malen was withdrawn on 68 minutes, his evening's work complete, and substitute Niccolò Pisilli — introduced on 79 minutes — signed off the performance in style with a right-foot finish on 86 minutes to make it four.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast of a 2-0 Roma win with a 60% home win probability proved directionally correct — the Roma win outcome was accurately predicted, and our model's confidence in the home side was well-founded. However, the margin of victory significantly exceeded our projected scoreline, a reflection of just how clinical Malen and Dybala were in combination. The prediction outcome is marked as correct, though the scale of Roma's dominance was beyond what our model anticipated.


Takeaways

  • Donyell Malen's hat-trick — all three goals assisted by Paulo Dybala — is the headline story and signals a potent partnership forming under Gasperini.
  • Dybala's three assists demonstrate his continued importance as Roma's creative fulcrum.
  • Fiorentina's four yellow cards and limited attacking output (just five key passes) suggest Grosso's side have significant work ahead.
  • Roma's 89% passing accuracy and possession dominance point to a team hitting form early in the season.

Roma vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Roma and Fiorentina: Roma 26W · 11D · Fiorentina 11W.

26

11

11

Mon, May 4, 2026Roma4-0Fiorentina
Sun, Oct 5, 2025Fiorentina1-2Roma
Sun, May 4, 2025Roma1-0Fiorentina
Sun, Oct 27, 2024Fiorentina5-1Roma
Sun, Mar 10, 2024Fiorentina2-2Roma

Roma vs Fiorentina — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Roma vs Fiorentina?

PredictNext's AI model favours Roma with a 60% win probability — Roma 60%, draw 23%, Fiorentina 17%.

What is the predicted score for Roma vs Fiorentina?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Roma vs Fiorentina, generated with 57% model confidence.

Will Roma vs Fiorentina have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Roma vs Fiorentina.

How accurate was the Roma vs Fiorentina prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 4-0. The winner call was correct.

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