Roma 2-0 Genoa | Serie A | 17 October 2026

Result Summary

Roma secured a convincing home victory over Genoa at the Stadio Olimpico, winning 2-0 thanks to second-half goals from Santiago Thomas Castro (50') and Emanuele Lulli (68'). The result was thoroughly deserved, with Gian Piero Gasperini's side commanding throughout and Daniele De Rossi's Genoa rarely threatening to upset the outcome.

Match Analysis

The first half was largely one of Roma's making, with the hosts dictating the tempo through superior ball retention. Their 66% possession figure tells the story of a team comfortable on the ball and unwilling to relinquish control. With 80% successful pass accuracy compared to Genoa's 68%, Roma built patiently and consistently found openings against a Genoa side that sat deep and defended narrowly.

Genoa did manage to stay level at the break, though the writing was on the wall. A yellow card for Matìas Soulè Malvano in the 43rd minute for a foul added a brief moment of tension before the interval, but Roma regrouped and emerged from the tunnel with clear intent.

Santiago Thomas Castro broke the deadlock just five minutes into the second half with a right-foot finish (50'), capitalising on Roma's growing pressure and opening the floodgates. The goal sparked a reaction from Genoa — Johan Felipe Vásquez Ibarra was booked in the 51st minute for dissent — but the visitors never truly looked capable of finding an equaliser. With only 1 shot on target across the entire match compared to Roma's 5, Genoa's attacking ambitions were limited at best.

Gasperini made a double substitution at the 63rd minute, introducing Mario Hermoso Canseco and Lorenzo Pellegrini to consolidate and add fresh impetus. The move paid dividends almost immediately, as Emanuele Lulli added a superb second with a right-foot effort in the 68th minute, putting the game firmly beyond Genoa's reach. Leo Skiri Oestigaard was booked shortly after, apparently frustrated by the mounting deficit.

Roma's overall attacking numbers were impressive: 15 total shots, 46 dangerous attacks, and 10 key passes underlined how thoroughly they dominated the contest. Genoa's 103 attacks to Roma's 124 reflects a Grifone side that tried to engage but was consistently outplayed in the decisive areas. The hosts managed the closing stages with relative ease, cycling through late substitutions — including Wesley Vinicius França Lima, Daniele Ghilardi, and Alessandro Di Nunzio — without any real alarm.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Roma 2-0 victory, which proved to be an exact match with the final scoreline. With Roma priced at a 69% probability of winning and the prediction carrying a confidence rating of 63/100, the outcome validated the model's core assessment: Roma's home strength and squad quality gave them a clear edge over a Genoa side that has struggled for consistency. The prediction outcome is marked as CORRECT.

Key Takeaways

• Santiago Thomas Castro and Emanuele Lulli were the match-winning contributors, both finding the net with composed right-foot finishes in the second half.
• Roma's 66% possession and 80% passing accuracy highlight a disciplined, controlled performance under Gasperini.
• Genoa's sole shot on target across 90 minutes is a damning indicator of De Rossi's side's attacking limitations on the day.
• Gasperini's substitutions were well-timed, helping Roma transition smoothly from dominance to clinical finishing.
• This result reinforces Roma's credentials as a genuine Serie A force, while Genoa will need significant improvement to climb the table.