Sassuolo
Sassuolo
3 vs 0

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-08-17 16:30:00 · 00:30

Cesena
Cesena

AI Predicted: 2-0|Actual: 3-0

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Sassuolo
SAS
2 - 0
Cesena
CES
61%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
62.0%Home
22.0%Draw
16.0%Away
61.6%Home
21.1%Draw
17.4%Away
Sassuolo enter this Coppa Italia clash as clear favorites, bolstered by a strong H2H record of 3 wins in the last 5 meetings against Cesena, while the visitors are weakened by the absence of M. Rossetti, ruled out with a cruciate ligament tear. Sassuolo's home advantage and superior depth should allow them to control the midfield and exploit Cesena's depleted attack. AI pick: Sassuolo Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
84% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
56% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
62% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Sassuolo Cesena
0%
49%
0
34%
51%
1
52%
0%
2
14%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

62%
65%
-3.5%
22%
20%
+2.4%
16%
15%
+1.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Sassuolo 3-0 Cesena | Coppa Italia | 17 August 2026

Result Summary

Sassuolo opened their Coppa Italia campaign with a commanding 3-0 victory over Cesena, asserting dominance from the first whistle under coach Alberto Aquilani. Goals from Cristian Volpato, Vasilije Adžić, and Luca Lipani sealed a thoroughly convincing result, with the home side never in serious danger of relinquishing control.

Match Analysis

Sassuolo set the tone early, with Cristian Volpato breaking the deadlock in just the 13th minute, converting a right-footed effort after being found by Simone Cinquegrano. The opener was a statement of intent, and Cesena struggled to find an adequate response throughout the opening half.

The statistics tell a clear story of Sassuolo's superiority. Possession stood at 58% to 42% in favour of the hosts, and their 18 total shots compared to Cesena's 9 underlines how thoroughly Aquilani's side controlled the tempo. With 17 key passes to Cesena's 7 and a pass completion rate of 89%, Sassuolo moved the ball with confidence and purpose, rarely allowing their opponents to settle.

Just before the half-time whistle, Vasilije Adžić doubled the advantage in the second minute of stoppage time, finishing with his left foot from a Josh Doig assist. It was a damaging blow for Cesena, heading into the break with a two-goal deficit and the tie effectively beyond them.

Cesena's evening grew increasingly difficult in the second half. Antonio David received a yellow card in the 64th minute for a foul, followed shortly by Luca Schirone — booked just four minutes after coming on as a substitute — reflecting a frustrated visiting side struggling to contain Sassuolo's momentum. The hosts accumulated only 6 fouls to Cesena's 11, highlighting the discipline maintained by Aquilani's men.

Sassuolo's third came in the 75th minute through Luca Lipani, who had entered as a substitute just three minutes earlier. Assisted by Darryl Bakola, Lipani's right-footed finish rounded off a polished team performance and put any lingering doubt to rest. It was a particularly sharp cameo, demonstrating the depth available to Sassuolo's coaching staff.

Cesena, managed by Alessandro Diamanti, did register 5 corners and 5 shots on target, suggesting some moments of threat, but their 34 dangerous attacks to Sassuolo's 46 reflect the gulf in quality on the day. An early enforced substitution — Matteo Piacentini coming off inside just 6 minutes — also disrupted any early rhythm Cesena hoped to establish.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2-0 Sassuolo victory, with a 62% probability assigned to a home win and an overall confidence rating of 61/100. While the margin slightly exceeded our projection — the final score reaching 3-0 — the directional prediction was correct, with Sassuolo winning as anticipated. The level of control exerted was perhaps even greater than our model suggested, with Sassuolo's attacking output and key pass numbers particularly impressive.

Key Takeaways

  • Volpato's early goal set the tone and gave Sassuolo a platform from which Cesena could never recover.
  • Adžić's injury-time strike before the break was a decisive moment, killing the tie as a contest.
  • Lipani's impact off the bench underlines the squad depth Aquilani has at his disposal.
  • Cesena's 11 fouls and two yellow cards point to a side under pressure and unable to compete on equal terms.
  • Sassuolo's 89% pass accuracy and 17 key passes reflect a technically polished performance worthy of the scoreline.

Sassuolo vs Cesena Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Sassuolo and Cesena: Sassuolo 6W · 2D · Cesena 1W.

6

2

1

Fri, Apr 25, 2025Cesena0-2Sassuolo
Sat, Aug 24, 2024Sassuolo2-1Cesena
Wed, Jan 18, 2017Sassuolo1-2Cesena
Sun, May 10, 2015Cesena2-3Sassuolo
Sat, Dec 20, 2014Sassuolo1-1Cesena

Sassuolo vs Cesena — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Sassuolo vs Cesena?

PredictNext's AI model favours Sassuolo with a 62% win probability — Sassuolo 62%, draw 22%, Cesena 16%.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Cesena?

The AI forecasts a 2-0 scoreline for Sassuolo vs Cesena, generated with 61% model confidence.

Will Sassuolo vs Cesena have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 44% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for under 2.5 goals in Sassuolo vs Cesena.

How accurate was the Sassuolo vs Cesena prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-0; the match finished 3-0. The winner call was correct.

More Coppa Italia AI Predictions