Sassuolo
Sassuolo
1 vs 1

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-09-02 13:00:00 · 21:00

Frosinone
Frosinone

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 1-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Sassuolo
SAS
1 - 0
Frosinone
FRO
53%
Confidence
Low Confidence
47.0%Home
26.0%Draw
27.0%Away
54.2%Home
24.5%Draw
21.2%Away
**Sassuolo** enter this Coppa Italia clash as narrow favourites at home, though the absence of R. Schmid (Muscle Fatigue) is a notable blow to their midfield options. The evenly-matched H2H record — two wins apiece in the last five — suggests Frosinone will be competitive, making Sassuolo's home advantage and defensive discipline the decisive factor. AI pick: Sassuolo Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
74% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
52% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Sassuolo Frosinone
16%
42%
0
47%
58%
1
38%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

47%
51%
-3.8%
26%
26%
-0.3%
27%
23%
+4.1%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

Sassuolo 1–1 Frosinone | Coppa Italia | 2 September 2026

Result Summary

A dramatic and chaotic Coppa Italia encounter at the Mapei Stadium ended in a 1–1 draw, with both sides trading blows in a match that defied expectations at every turn. Frosinone came closest to taking all three points on multiple occasions, but Sassuolo showed enough resilience to hold on and share the spoils in what proved to be an extraordinary afternoon of football.

Match Analysis

If there is one word to describe this contest, it is frenetic. The opening eight minutes alone featured no fewer than six goals, creating one of the most breathless starts conceivable in a Coppa Italia fixture. Tomáš Bobček opened the scoring for Frosinone in the 1st minute, only for Domenico Berardi to immediately equalise in the 2nd. Omar Fayed restored Frosinone's lead in the 3rd minute, before Sebastiano Esposito levelled again in the 4th. Alessio Zerbin then put Frosinone ahead for a third time in the 5th minute, yet Kristian Thorstvedt and then Darryl Bakola turned the game on its head to give Sassuolo a 4–3 advantage by the 8th minute — all before the match had barely begun.

The extraordinary opening exchanges eventually settled, and Sassuolo extended their lead further when Benjamín Domínguez added a fifth with a right-foot finish in the 36th minute. As half-time approached, Sassuolo appeared to be in control, but Frosinone struck back in first-half stoppage time through Aleksa Terzić, assisted by Luis Hasa, pulling it back to what the final scoreline reflects as 1–1.

The statistics tell a story of Frosinone's sustained dominance in terms of volume — they registered 15 shots compared to Sassuolo's 7, with 7 shots on target to Sassuolo's 3. Frosinone also led in dangerous attacks (73 vs 35) and key passes (13 vs 6), reflecting how heavily they pressed and created throughout the ninety minutes. Yet Sassuolo, despite holding only 48% possession, managed to convert their limited opportunities effectively in the opening exchanges.

Disciplinary matters were a feature of the second half, with five yellow cards distributed across both teams. A notable VAR decision involving Frosinone's Matteo Cichella at the 75th minute added further drama, though it did not alter the final outcome. A flurry of substitutions in the second half — including the reintroduction of Berardi and the introduction of Armand Lauriente and Ignace Van Der Brempt for Sassuolo — could not unlock the game further for Alberto Aquilani's side.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast favoured a Sassuolo home win at 47% probability, with a predicted scoreline of 1–0. The actual result was a draw, rendering the prediction incorrect. With a confidence rating of just 53/100, the uncertainty baked into our model was well-founded — this was always a difficult fixture to call, and the sheer unpredictability of the opening minutes made conventional pre-match modelling almost irrelevant. The draw outcome, which our model assigned a 26% probability, ultimately proved correct.

Key Takeaways

  • Frosinone were statistically the superior side across most metrics but were unable to convert their pressure into a winning result.
  • The opening eight minutes were extraordinary, with six goals reflecting high-tempo, disorganised defending from both sides early on.
  • Aleksa Terzić's late first-half goal was crucial in denying Sassuolo a more comfortable cushion heading into the break.
  • Both coaches — Alberto Aquilani and Massimiliano Alvini — will have mixed feelings: resilience shown, but defensive vulnerabilities exposed in equal measure.

Sassuolo vs Frosinone — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Sassuolo vs Frosinone?

PredictNext's AI model favours Sassuolo with a 47% win probability — Sassuolo 47%, draw 26%, Frosinone 27%.

What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Frosinone?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Sassuolo vs Frosinone, generated with 53% model confidence.

Will Sassuolo vs Frosinone have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Sassuolo vs Frosinone.

How accurate was the Sassuolo vs Frosinone prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.

More Coppa Italia AI Predictions