
Serie A · Matchday
2026-08-29 16:30:00 · 00:30 · MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 2-1
AI Prediction
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Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.10 | -7.6% | -4.8% | -7.0% |
| PinnacleVALUE | 2.26 | 3.35 | 3.41 | -5.1% | -6.2% | +2.3% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 2.30 | 3.45 | 3.45 | -3.4% | -3.4% | +3.5% |
| WilliamHill | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.25 | -7.6% | -10.4% | -2.5% |
| BetfairVALUE | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.40 | -5.5% | -9.0% | +2.0% |
| bwin | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -5.5% | -7.6% | -7.0% |
| Unibet | 2.18 | 3.30 | 3.20 | -8.4% | -7.6% | -4.0% |
| Ladbrokes | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -5.5% | -7.6% | -7.0% |
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 | -7.6% | -7.6% | -4.0% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 2.25 | 3.38 | 3.38 | -5.5% | -5.4% | +1.4% |
| CloudBet | 2.20 | 3.25 | 3.30 | -7.6% | -9.0% | -1.0% |
| MelBet | 2.21 | 3.32 | 3.32 | -7.2% | -7.0% | -0.4% |
| MansionBet | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -7.6% | -7.6% | -7.0% |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.20 | -7.6% | -7.6% | -4.0% |
| Dafabet | 2.28 | 3.40 | 3.25 | -4.2% | -4.8% | -2.5% |
| Coral | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | -5.5% | -7.6% | -7.0% |
| Sbo | 2.20 | 3.02 | 2.91 | -7.6% | -15.4% | -12.7% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Sassuolo 2–1 Torino | Serie A | 29 August 2026
Result Summary
Sassuolo claimed all three points at home, defeating Torino 2–1 in a compelling Serie A fixture. Cristian Volpato opened the scoring before the break, Pietro Comuzzo equalised in first-half stoppage time, and ultimately Domenico Berardi — introduced as a substitute — proved the difference with a decisive 78th-minute winner. Alberto Aquilani's side showed resilience and attacking intent throughout, while Ignazio Abate's Torino were left to rue a failure to build on their equaliser.
Match Analysis
The first half was lively from the outset. Sassuolo looked dangerous in the attacking third, and the pressure paid off in the 32nd minute when Cristian Volpato converted from the left foot, assisted by Vasilije Adžić, to give the hosts the lead. The stats underline how dominant Sassuolo were in terms of creativity — they would finish the match with 18 key passes to Torino's 7, and 19 total shots compared to Torino's 10.
Torino, however, refused to fold. Despite holding 54% possession — against Sassuolo's 46% — Abate's men struggled to convert territory into clear-cut opportunities. That made the stoppage-time equaliser all the more crucial: Pietro Comuzzo met an Alessio Cacciamani delivery with a header in the 45+2nd minute to level at 1–1 heading into the break.
The second half featured a flurry of changes. Aquilani made three substitutions simultaneously around the hour mark — Benjamín Domínguez, Kristian Thorstvedt, and Rafael Obrador Burguera all entered — before introducing Domenico Berardi in the 72nd minute. The impact was immediate. Just six minutes later, Berardi stroked home a composed left-foot finish assisted by Fedde Leysen to restore the Sassuolo lead and ultimately secure the victory.
Torino attempted to respond, bringing on Zakaria Aboukhlal, Sandro Kulenovic, and later Duván Zapata, but Sassuolo's backline held firm. The hosts' 67 dangerous attacks to Torino's 38 paint a clear picture of where the game's momentum resided. It is also worth noting that Sassuolo racked up five offsides — a reflection of the high-tempo, forward-pressing approach that characterised their attacking play.
Disciplinarily, the match had an edge: Gvidas Gineitis was booked in the 23rd minute for Torino, while Sassuolo collected yellows for Nemanja Matić (40'), Volpato (47'), and Armand Lauriente (70').
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast anticipated a 1–1 draw, giving Sassuolo a 42% win probability against a 28% draw and 30% for a Torino victory. The prediction did not hold up. With a confidence rating of just 53/100, the model acknowledged significant uncertainty, and Sassuolo's attacking output — particularly the impact of their substitutes, most notably Berardi's winner — proved the deciding factor that our analysis underweighted. Torino's superior possession ultimately counted for little against Sassuolo's greater efficiency and shot volume.
Key Takeaways
- Domenico Berardi's impact off the bench was the story of the match — arriving in the 72nd minute and deciding the game six minutes later.
- Sassuolo's attacking statistics were emphatic: 19 shots, 18 key passes, and 122 attacks reflect a side that dominated in the most meaningful areas.
- Torino's possession advantage (54%) was largely unproductive, with only 10 total shots and 4 on target.
- Alberto Aquilani's substitution timing proved astute, injecting fresh legs and quality at precisely the right moment.
Sassuolo vs Torino Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Sassuolo and Torino: Sassuolo 6W · 10D · Torino 14W.
6
Sassuolo wins
10
Draws
14
Torino wins
Sassuolo vs Torino — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Sassuolo vs Torino?
PredictNext's AI model favours Sassuolo with a 42% win probability — Sassuolo 42%, draw 28%, Torino 30%.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Torino?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Sassuolo vs Torino, generated with 53% model confidence.
Will Sassuolo vs Torino have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Sassuolo vs Torino.
How accurate was the Sassuolo vs Torino prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 2-1. The winner call was correct.