Southampton
Southampton
vs
1 - 0

Championship · Matchday

2026-04-21 18:45:00 · 02:45 · St. Mary's Stadium

Bristol City
Bristol City

AI Prediction

Southampton
SOU
1 - 0
Bristol City
BSC
63%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
65.0%Home
22.0%Draw
13.0%Away
66.3%Home
20.3%Draw
13.4%Away
Southampton are heavily favored with 65% win probability, as the Saints look to bounce back at home after recent H2H struggles against Bristol City. Southampton's superior attacking quality and home advantage should prove decisive against a Bristol side that has won 3 of the last 5 meetings but struggles away from home. AI pick: Southampton Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredSOU or Draw
87% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
58% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
55% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreCyle LarinAlso: Cameron Archer, Nicholas Oyekunle

Goal Probability

SOU BSC
14%
61%
0
44%
39%
1
42%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

65%
66%
-0.7%
22%
20%
+1.5%
13%
14%
-0.9%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.444.207.00-6.4%-7.6%-9.0%
PinnacleVALUE1.444.717.14-6.4%+3.6%-7.2%
1xbetVALUE1.434.556.74-7.1%+0.1%-12.4%
WilliamHill1.404.406.50-9.0%-3.2%-15.5%
BetfairVALUE1.404.757.50-9.0%+4.5%-2.5%
bwinVALUE1.444.806.50-6.4%+5.6%-15.5%
UnibetVALUE1.444.706.50-6.4%+3.4%-15.5%
LadbrokesVALUE1.444.806.50-6.4%+5.6%-15.5%
HKJC1.334.356.60-13.5%-4.3%-14.2%
CoralVALUE1.444.806.50-6.4%+5.6%-15.5%
CloudBetVALUE1.424.616.80-7.7%+1.4%-11.6%
Interwetten1.454.506.75-5.8%-1.0%-12.2%
Sbo1.384.346.47-10.3%-4.5%-15.9%
MelBetVALUE1.434.556.74-7.1%+0.1%-12.4%
MansionBetVALUE1.444.556.40-6.4%+0.1%-16.8%
10Bet1.424.337.30-7.7%-4.7%-5.1%
DafabetVALUE1.464.806.80-5.1%+5.6%-11.6%
888Sport1.404.406.50-9.0%-3.2%-15.5%
MarathonbetVALUE1.424.556.75-7.7%+0.1%-12.2%
CashpointVALUE1.444.706.77-6.4%+3.4%-12.0%

Polymarket Odds

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