Stourbridge
Stourbridge
1 vs 3

FA Cup · Matchday

2026-09-05 14:00:00 · 22:00

Rushall Olympic
Rushall Olympic

AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-3

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Stourbridge
STO
1 - 1
Rushall Olympic
RUS
35%
Confidence
Unpredictable
32.0%Home
26.0%Draw
42.0%Away
Rushall Olympic enter as the stronger side on current form, with away probability metrics clearly favoring the visitors in this FA Cup clash. The key tactical battle will be Rushall Olympic's ability to press high and disrupt Stourbridge's build-up play, potentially unlocking space in behind. AI pick: Rushall Olympic Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Away
74% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
58% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

Stourbridge Rushall Olympic
38%
17%
0
46%
65%
1
15%
18%
2
0%
0%
3+

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Match Report

Stourbridge 1–3 Rushall Olympic | FA Cup | 5 September 2026

Result Summary

Rushall Olympic produced a composed and clinical display to eliminate Stourbridge from the FA Cup, running out convincing 3–1 winners. A breathless end to the first half set the tone for the tie, with Tyler Roberts proving the decisive influence and Ian Long's side ultimately deserving their progression.

Match Analysis

For much of the contest, the statistics suggested a tightly contested affair. Stourbridge edged possession in terms of attacking intent, registering 86 attacks to Rushall's 77, with dangerous attacks virtually level at 52 versus 53. Yet the scoreline tells a different story — one of Rushall Olympic's superior composure in front of goal.

The match burst into life in the closing moments of the first half. Tyler Roberts opened the scoring on 45 minutes, giving Rushall the lead at a critical psychological moment. Stourbridge responded almost immediately, with Charlie Wragg levelling matters in the third minute of first-half stoppage time to send both sides into the break level. It was a dramatic and breathless finish to the half.

However, Rushall reasserted their authority within minutes of the restart. An unknown scorer added a second for the visitors on 48 minutes, barely three minutes after play resumed, immediately extinguishing the momentum Stourbridge had built with their equaliser. That blow proved telling — the hosts never truly recovered.

Roberts then sealed the victory on 58 minutes, completing a brace and putting the result beyond doubt. His double underlines a ruthless streak in front of goal that Stourbridge simply had no answer to when it mattered most.

The shot statistics reinforce Rushall's superiority in the areas that count: 5 shots on target to Stourbridge's 3, from relatively similar total shot counts of 7 and 6 respectively. Stourbridge's 17 fouls compared to Rushall's 12 also hints at a degree of frustration as the game slipped away from them. Both sides were equal on corners at 3 apiece, and Rushall's 2 offsides suggest they were willing to test the defensive line aggressively throughout.

Ian Long will rightly take credit for his side's game management. After conceding the late equaliser, a lesser team might have been deflated heading into the dressing room. Instead, Rushall came out for the second half with purpose and immediately retook control — a hallmark of a well-organised and mentally resilient side.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast leaned modestly toward a Rushall Olympic victory at 42% probability, yet the model ultimately settled on a 1–1 draw as the most likely scoreline, leaving the prediction incorrect. With a low confidence rating of 35/100, uncertainty was clearly flagged, and the result validated the away win probability as the strongest single outcome. The final score of 3–1 also exceeded the goal expectancy implied by our 1–1 forecast, with Roberts in particular performing above what the pre-match data anticipated.

Key Takeaways

  • Tyler Roberts was the standout performer, netting twice to drive Rushall Olympic's cup victory.
  • Rushall's ability to respond immediately after conceding — scoring within three minutes of the restart — was the pivotal moment of the tie.
  • Stourbridge showed attacking endeavour, generating 86 attacks, but lacked the clinical edge that Rushall demonstrated.
  • Ian Long's side advance in the FA Cup, and on this evidence, they will be a difficult proposition for any side at this level.

Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic?

PredictNext's AI model favours Rushall Olympic with a 42% win probability — Stourbridge 32%, draw 26%, Rushall Olympic 42%.

What is the predicted score for Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic?

The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic, generated with 35% model confidence.

Will Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for under 2.5 goals in Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic.

How accurate was the Stourbridge vs Rushall Olympic prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-3. The winner call was correct.

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