Copa Sudamericana · Matchday
2026-05-29 00:30:00 · 08:30 · Estadio José Dellagiovanna
Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 2-0
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.22 | 5.27 | 10.42 | -12.2% | -2.5% | -1.0% |
| 1xbetVALUE | 1.26 | 6.28 | 14.20 | -9.3% | +16.2% | +34.9% |
| WilliamHillVALUE | 1.25 | 4.80 | 13.00 | -10.0% | -11.2% | +23.5% |
| BetfairVALUE | 1.25 | 5.00 | 13.00 | -10.0% | -7.5% | +23.5% |
| bwin | 1.29 | 5.25 | 10.00 | -7.1% | -2.9% | -5.0% |
| Unibet | 1.30 | 5.00 | 10.50 | -6.4% | -7.5% | -0.2% |
| Ladbrokes | 1.25 | 4.80 | 8.50 | -10.0% | -11.2% | -19.3% |
| MarathonbetVALUE | 1.24 | 5.30 | 12.00 | -10.7% | -2.0% | +14.0% |
| Sbo | 1.25 | 4.51 | 8.30 | -10.0% | -16.6% | -21.1% |
| Macauslot | 1.25 | 4.75 | 9.00 | -10.0% | -12.1% | -14.5% |
| 10BetVALUE | 1.28 | 4.75 | 13.50 | -7.8% | -12.1% | +28.2% |
| DafabetVALUE | 1.29 | 5.40 | 11.00 | -7.1% | -0.1% | +4.5% |
| CloudBet | 1.19 | 5.15 | 10.00 | -14.3% | -4.7% | -5.0% |
| MelBetVALUE | 1.22 | 6.05 | 13.50 | -12.2% | +11.9% | +28.2% |
| Coral | 1.25 | 4.80 | 8.50 | -10.0% | -11.2% | -19.3% |
| MansionBet | 1.27 | 5.00 | 9.00 | -8.6% | -7.5% | -14.5% |
| 888SportVALUE | 1.25 | 4.80 | 13.00 | -10.0% | -11.2% | +23.5% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Tigre 2–0 Alianza Atlético | Copa Sudamericana | 29 May 2026
Result Summary
Tigre secured a commanding 2–0 victory over Alianza Atlético in the Copa Sudamericana, with goals from Jabes Saralegui (47') and Alan Barrionuevo (77') delivering a convincing home win. The Argentine side were dominant across virtually every statistical category, and the scoreline fairly reflects their superiority over a Peruvian outfit that struggled to impose itself throughout the contest.
Match Analysis
The first half was a tightly contested affair, though Tigre were quietly building their advantages. Alianza Atlético showed signs of indiscipline early on — Sergio Quiroga Gabutti collected a yellow card in the 37th minute for a foul, with Román Suárez following him into the book in stoppage time (45+3'), hinting at growing frustration within the visiting camp.
The breakthrough came almost immediately after the restart. Ignacio Russo provided the assist as Jabes Saralegui converted with a right-foot shot in the 47th minute, rewarding Tigre's persistent pressure. The goal shifted the momentum decisively. Alianza Atlético's response was physical rather than technical — Elian Muñoz Aizcorbe (53') and Mariano Barreda (55') were both booked in quick succession for fouls, painting a picture of a side under the cosh and struggling to contain their opponents through legitimate means.
Coach Bruno Martelotto made astute double substitutions at the 67th and 75th-minute marks, introducing Gonzalo Martínez, Joaquín Mosqueira, Alfio Oviedo Álvarez, and Gonzalo Piñeyro to freshen up the attack and protect the lead. Mosqueira's impact was immediate and significant — the substitute provided the assist for Alan Barrionuevo's goal in the 77th minute, a right-foot finish that put the result beyond doubt.
The underlying statistics reinforce how thoroughly Tigre controlled proceedings. They generated 52 dangerous attacks to Alianza's 19, attempted 14 shots to the visitors' 6, and registered 5 shots on target versus just 2 from Federico Urciuoli's men. Tigre's 77% successful pass rate (against Alianza's 69%) and their edge in corners (4–1) further underline their territorial dominance. Despite near-equal possession — 51% to 49% — it was the quality and direction of Tigre's ball use that made the difference.
Alianza ended the game with six yellow cards in total, a reflection of how stretched and reactive they were defensively throughout. Erick Perleche Cruzado (83') and Joel Lupú Atoche (90+4') added further bookings in the closing stages as frustration boiled over.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis correctly forecast a Tigre victory, assigning the home side a 72% probability of winning with a predicted scoreline of 1–0. The result — a 2–0 win — exceeded that margin, but the directional call proved accurate. A confidence rating of 69/100 was well-placed, reflecting Tigre's home advantage and the statistical gap between the two sides. The final score being one goal wider than predicted actually underscores just how dominant Tigre were, particularly in the second half.
Key Takeaways
- Saralegui and Barrionuevo were the match-winners, with both goals coming from right-foot finishes after well-crafted build-up play.
- Mosqueira's substitute appearance proved pivotal — his assist for Barrionuevo's goal came within minutes of coming on, illustrating excellent tactical timing from Martelotto.
- Alianza Atlético's six yellow cards highlight a disciplinary problem that coach Urciuoli will need to address going forward.
- Tigre's attacking output — 113 total attacks, 52 dangerous — demonstrates a team in fine form and capable of
Tigre vs Alianza Atlético Head-to-Head
Last 2 meetings between Tigre and Alianza Atlético: Tigre 1W · 1D · Alianza Atlético 0W.
1
Tigre wins
1
Draws
0
Alianza Atlético wins
Tigre vs Alianza Atlético — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Tigre vs Alianza Atlético?
PredictNext's AI model favours Tigre with a 72% win probability — Tigre 72%, draw 19%, Alianza Atlético 9%.
What is the predicted score for Tigre vs Alianza Atlético?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Tigre vs Alianza Atlético, generated with 69% model confidence.
Will Tigre vs Alianza Atlético have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 42% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for under 2.5 goals in Tigre vs Alianza Atlético.
How accurate was the Tigre vs Alianza Atlético prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 2-0. The winner call was correct.