Torino 0–1 Monza | Coppa Italia | 1 September 2026

Result Summary

A late first-half goal proved the decisive moment as Monza claimed a 1–0 victory over Torino in this Coppa Italia clash at the Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino. Dany Mota Carvalho struck in the third minute of first-half stoppage time, converting an assist from Omari Forson with a right-foot finish, to seal what turned out to be the only goal of the contest. Ivan Juric's side held firm for the remaining 45 minutes, eliminating the hosts despite facing sustained pressure throughout the second half.

Match Analysis

The scoreline tells a story that the statistics only partially reflect. Torino dominated possession at 54% to 46% and registered more attacks (98 vs 85), yet the most damning number in the data sheet is arguably the most straightforward: Torino registered zero shots on target across 90-plus minutes, compared to Monza's eight. That disparity in shot accuracy — 16 total attempts producing nothing on target versus Monza's 19 yielding eight — encapsulates precisely why Ignazio Abate's side fell short.

The decisive moment arrived almost against the run of play at the end of the first half. Forson's contribution in setting up Mota Carvalho was subsequently removed from the pitch at the 70-minute mark alongside the goalscorer himself, with Andrea Colpani and Patrick Cutrone entering to help Monza protect their lead.

Torino's frustration was evident in a disciplined but ineffective second-half push. Abate made four substitutions at the double change marks — Nikola Vlašić and Duván Zapata Banguera arriving at 56 minutes, followed by Zakaria Aboukhlal and Faustino Anjorin at 64 minutes. Despite these reinforcements, the visitors' defensive structure held. Sandro Kulenović, who had been booked at 38 minutes, was among those withdrawn, while a VAR check involving Che Adams at 90+4 minutes came to nothing, adding to the home side's exasperation.

Monza's discipline was notable — Michael Folorunsho picked up a yellow card late on, but the visitors committed fewer fouls overall (12 vs 15 for Torino) and suffered three offsides compared to Torino's none, suggesting they remained focused and compact rather than chasing the game unnecessarily.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match analysis leaned toward a Torino home victory (48% probability), with the draw and an away win assigned lower probabilities of 27% and 25% respectively. With a confidence rating of just 54/100, there was already clear acknowledgment of uncertainty in this forecast, and ultimately it proved incorrect. Monza's clinical finishing — converting chances at a far superior rate despite the possession deficit — was the key variable our model underweighted. The zero shots on target from Torino was an outcome at the extreme end of even pessimistic projections for the home side.

Key Takeaways

• Clinical vs. dominant: Monza's 8 shots on target to Torino's 0 was the match-defining disparity, regardless of who held the ball more.
• Mota Carvalho's stoppage-time strike was the difference, arriving at the most psychologically damaging moment — the last breath before half-time.
• Torino's attacking reinforcements — including Vlašić and Zapata — failed to unlock a resolute Monza backline in the second period.
• Juric earned a notable win against his former stomping ground, with Monza advancing in the Coppa Italia on the strength of one expertly taken opportunity.