TP Mazembe
TP Mazembe
3 vs 1

CAF Champions League · Matchday

2026-09-12 13:00:00 · 21:00

Medeama
Medeama

AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 3-1

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

TP Mazembe
TP
1 - 0
Medeama
MED
62%
Confidence
Moderate Confidence
54.0%Home
26.0%Draw
20.0%Away
56.3%Home
26.0%Draw
17.7%Away
**TP Mazembe** enter this CAF Champions League clash as modest favorites, backed by a dominant head-to-head record that saw them defeat **Medeama** in their most recent encounter. With lineups still pending, home advantage at the fortress of Lubumbashi could prove the decisive edge. The key battleground will be Mazembe's disciplined defensive structure containing Medeama's attacking transition. AI pick: TP Mazembe Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
80% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
68% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
68% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pick—No data available
Most likely to score—No data available

Goal Probability

TP Mazembe Medeama
12%
70%
0
51%
30%
1
37%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

54%
56%
-2.3%
26%
26%
0.0%
20%
18%
+2.3%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

Polymarket Odds

Loading prediction market data...

Trading Strategy

Loading market depth data...

Match Report

TP Mazembe 3–1 Medeama | CAF Champions League | Second Leg Match Report

Result Summary

TP Mazembe delivered a commanding performance at home to seal their progression in the CAF Champions League, defeating Medeama 3–1 in the second leg of this continental tie. Patrick Mwaungulu was the standout performer of the evening, netting a brace to bookend the victory, while Kazema Baso added a crucial second goal to put the tie firmly beyond doubt. A late consolation from Dominic Amponsah gave Medeama something to show for their efforts, but it was never enough to alter the course of the tie. Under coach Raho Slimane, Mazembe have now advanced convincingly on aggregate.

Match Analysis

Mazembe came out of the blocks quickly and made their intentions clear in the opening quarter of the game. Mwaungulu broke the deadlock in the 16th minute, giving the home side the early foothold they needed. The advantage was doubled just eight minutes later when Kazema Baso made it 2–0 in the 24th minute, a devastating spell of football that effectively put the tie to bed. The two goals in rapid succession demonstrated Mazembe's clinical edge and their ability to punish the opposition in concentrated bursts.

Medeama, guided by coach Ibrahim Tanko, struggled to find a foothold in a difficult atmosphere. The Ghanaian side needed goals to turn the tie around and found themselves chasing the game from an early stage. Despite their efforts, they were unable to create the consistent threat required on the night.

The second half saw Mazembe manage the game professionally, and when Mwaungulu grabbed his second of the night in the 76th minute, it was a decisive blow — his brace confirming his status as the match's most influential player and extinguishing any lingering hope Medeama harboured. Dominic Amponsah's 87th-minute goal was a late reward for Medeama's persistence, but served only as a consolation with the aggregate outcome already settled comfortably in Mazembe's favour.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 home win, with TP Mazembe assigned a 54% probability of victory against 20% for Medeama and 26% for a draw. The confidence level was recorded at 62/100 — a moderate but reasoned expectation. The directional prediction proved correct: Mazembe did win, and the home advantage factor was well identified. However, the scoreline underestimated the scale of Mazembe's dominance — a 3–1 outcome rather than a narrow single-goal margin. The forecast correctly identified the likely winner but could not fully account for Mwaungulu's individual brilliance and the speed with which Mazembe asserted control.

Key Takeaways

  • Patrick Mwaungulu was the decisive figure, with two goals at the 16th and 76th minutes delivering a player-of-the-match performance of the highest quality.
  • Early goals matter: Mazembe's quick-fire double in the opening 24 minutes made this a one-sided contest psychologically and tactically.
  • Kazema Baso's contribution in the 24th minute underscored Mazembe's depth of attacking threat beyond their primary scorers.
  • Medeama's Dominic Amponsah showed spirit with a late goal, but Ibrahim Tanko's side ultimately lacked the firepower to mount a genuine comeback over the course of the tie.
  • Mazembe under Raho Slimane continue to demonstrate why they are a formidable force on the continental stage, combining efficiency in front of goal with composure across 90 minutes.

TP Mazembe vs Medeama — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win TP Mazembe vs Medeama?

PredictNext's AI model favours TP Mazembe with a 54% win probability — TP Mazembe 54%, draw 26%, Medeama 20%.

What is the predicted score for TP Mazembe vs Medeama?

The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for TP Mazembe vs Medeama, generated with 62% model confidence.

Will TP Mazembe vs Medeama have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 32% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for under 2.5 goals in TP Mazembe vs Medeama.

How accurate was the TP Mazembe vs Medeama prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 3-1. The winner call was correct.

More CAF Champions League AI Predictions