TSG Hoffenheim 3–0 Olympique Lyonnais | Europa League | 22 October 2026

Result Summary

A dominant home performance from TSG Hoffenheim saw them dismantle Olympique Lyonnais with a commanding 3–0 victory at the PreZero Arena. Andrej Kramarić was the central figure, netting the opener and providing two assists, while Adam Daghim and Adam Hložek added the remaining goals to seal a thoroughly convincing Europa League victory for Christian Ilzer's side.

Match Analysis

For much of the first half, Lyon appeared to hold the initiative on paper, enjoying 57% possession and registering 83 total attacks to Hoffenheim's 62. Yet the numbers told a misleading story. Hoffenheim were the far more clinical side, generating 21 total shots — more than double Lyon's eight — with eight on target compared to a meagre two from Paulo Fonseca's men. The home side's 18 key passes against Lyon's five underlined just how effectively Hoffenheim carved out dangerous opportunities despite conceding the ball.

The breakthrough arrived in the fourth minute of first-half stoppage time, when Andrej Kramarić guided a header home to give Hoffenheim a crucial advantage heading into the interval. It was a blow Lyon could ill afford, particularly having already lost Steeve Kango to substitution in the 31st minute.

Fonseca responded at the break with a double change — Tyler Morton and Moussa Niakhaté came on — but Hoffenheim struck almost immediately after the restart. Adam Daghim converted from the right in the 49th minute, assisted by Kramarić, and effectively ended the contest as a competitive spectacle. The German side's 55 dangerous attacks — compared to Lyon's 32 — reflected their sustained threat throughout.

Hoffenheim's afternoon was not without its rough edges. They collected four yellow cards, with Mats Rots (9'), Wouter Burger (72'), Ozan Muhammed Kabak (81'), and an additional booking for an argument also in the 81st minute adding unnecessary discipline concerns. Despite those blemishes, Christian Ilzer's side never looked troubled defensively, with Lyon managing only three shots off target across the full 90 minutes.

The third goal arrived in the 83rd minute when substitute Adam Hložek finished from the right, again set up by the tireless Kramarić, cementing the scoreline and rounding off an excellent evening. Lyon's frustrations boiled over late on, with Moussa Niakhaté picking up a yellow card in stoppage time.

Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a 2–1 Hoffenheim win, with a 44% probability assigned to the home side. The outcome — a home victory — was correctly predicted, though the margin was significantly greater than anticipated. The 60/100 confidence rating reflected genuine uncertainty about Lyon's quality, and while the winner was identified correctly, Hoffenheim's dominance in the final third far exceeded the narrow-margin scenario our model projected. A correct directional call, but one that underestimated the gulf between the sides on the night.

Key Takeaways

• Andrej Kramarić was outstanding: one goal and two assists underscored his continued importance to Hoffenheim's attacking play.
• Adam Daghim and Adam Hložek both delivered meaningful contributions off and from the bench respectively.
• Lyon's possession advantage (57%) proved entirely hollow against a side that maximised every opportunity — 8 shots on target to Lyon's 2 tells the real story.
• Hoffenheim's discipline will be a concern going forward, with four bookings accumulated in a single match.
• For Paulo Fonseca, this is a sobering result that raises questions about Lyon's defensive and attacking effectiveness at this level.