Venezia
Venezia
3 vs 2

Coppa Italia · Matchday

2026-08-15 18:45:00 · 02:45

Modena
Modena

AI Predicted: 2-1|Actual: 3-2

WinnerScoreO/U 2.5BTTS

AI Prediction

Venezia
VEN
2 - 1
Modena
MOD
56%
Confidence
Low Confidence
57.0%Home
24.5%Draw
18.5%Away
63.1%Home
21.6%Draw
15.4%Away
Venezia hold a clear home advantage against Modena in this Coppa Italia clash, with win probability firmly in their favor at 58.5%. The hosts' territorial edge and superior depth should allow them to control the midfield battle and limit Modena's attacking output. AI pick: Venezia Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredHome or Draw
82% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
52% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?No
60% one side shut out
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreNo data available

Goal Probability

Venezia Modena
0%
43%
0
42%
57%
1
45%
0%
2
12%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

57%
62%
-5.4%
25%
22%
+2.7%
18%
16%
+2.8%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win

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Match Report

Venezia 3–2 Modena | Coppa Italia | 15 August 2026

Result Summary

A dramatic and thoroughly entertaining Coppa Italia opener at Venezia saw the hosts come from behind twice before sealing a deserved 3–2 victory in stoppage-time nerves. Akor Jerome Adams was the hero for Giovanni Stroppa's side, scoring once and assisting the decisive goal, while Giuseppe Ambrosino gave Modena hope with both of the visitors' goals. The scoreline ultimately reflected the balance of play, with Venezia's dominance finally rewarded in a breathless late flurry.


Match Analysis

Modena made the brighter start and caught Venezia off guard in the 17th minute, when Ambrosino latched onto Antonio Imputato's assist to fire home with his left foot and hand Daniele Galloppa's side an early lead. It was a warning sign for the hosts, but they responded promptly. Akor Jerome Adams levelled with a composed right-foot finish in the 26th minute to restore parity before the half-hour mark.

Just as Venezia appeared to be settling into rhythm, Ambrosino struck again in the 39th minute, this time converting from a Giuseppe Caso assist via his right foot to restore Modena's advantage heading into the break. It was a cruel blow for the hosts, who had been building momentum.

The statistics tell the true story of this contest: Venezia dominated possession at 63%, launched 102 attacks to Modena's 32, and registered 23 total shots compared to the visitors' 10. With 9 shots on target to Modena's 4 and 10 corners versus just 3, it was clearly a question of when, not if, the hosts would find a way back into the match.

Stroppa made a double substitution at the 58th minute, introducing Thierry Rendall Correia and Simone Panada, and the changes gradually shifted the momentum further in Venezia's favour. The breakthrough finally came in the 83rd minute when John Yeboah Zamora powered home a header — assisted by Adams — to draw the scores level once more.

The comeback was completed just two minutes later. Adams turned provider again, teeing up Yeboah in the build-up before the assist was returned: it was Adams himself who finished clinically with his right foot in the 85th minute to complete a stunning turnaround. Modena, who had seen Giacomo Olzer and Daniel Tonoli booked in the 72nd and 79th minutes respectively, could not find a response, and a late yellow card in stoppage time summed up their frustration.


Prediction Review

Our pre-match forecast called for a Venezia win at 57% probability, with a predicted scoreline of 2–1 — making this a correct directional outcome, and one achieved with a confidence level of 56/100. The actual 3–2 scoreline proved more dramatic than anticipated, but the underlying metrics strongly supported the home side. Venezia's 89% successful pass rate, territorial control, and volume of dangerous attacks (66 vs Modena's 20) all aligned with the projection of a Venezia victory.


Key Takeaways

  • Akor Jerome Adams was the standout performer — a goal and a decisive assist in a two-minute spell proved the difference.
  • Giuseppe Ambrosino gave Modena a genuine foothold with a brace, but was substituted off in the 74th minute before the decisive period.
  • Venezia's statistical dominance was overwhelming but conversion inefficiency allowed Modena to remain competitive far longer than expected.
  • Giovanni Stroppa's substitutions proved tactically astute, with the attacking changes ultimately unlocking a stubborn Modena defensive structure.
  • For Modena and Daniele Galloppa, the performance showed promise going forward, but the inability to hold leads will be a concern.

Venezia vs Modena Head-to-Head

Last 5 meetings between Venezia and Modena: Venezia 3W · 2D · Modena 1W.

3

2

1

Tue, Feb 10, 2026Venezia0-2Modena
Sat, Dec 20, 2025Modena1-2Venezia
Sun, Feb 18, 2024Venezia2-2Modena
Sat, Sep 30, 2023Modena1-3Venezia
Mon, May 1, 2023Venezia5-0Modena

Venezia vs Modena — Frequently Asked Questions

Who will win Venezia vs Modena?

PredictNext's AI model favours Venezia with a 57% win probability — Venezia 57%, draw 25%, Modena 18%.

What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Modena?

The AI forecasts a 2-1 scoreline for Venezia vs Modena, generated with 56% model confidence.

Will Venezia vs Modena have over 2.5 goals?

The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Venezia vs Modena.

How accurate was the Venezia vs Modena prediction?

PredictNext's AI predicted 2-1; the match finished 3-2. The winner call was correct.

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