Athletic Club
Athletic Club
vs
1 - 0

La Liga · Matchday

2026-04-21 17:00:00 · 01:00 · San Mamés Barria

Osasuna
Osasuna

AI Prediction

Athletic Club
ATH
1 - 0
Osasuna
OSA
57%
Confidence
Low Confidence
52.0%Home
27.5%Draw
20.5%Away
52.2%Home
27.2%Draw
20.5%Away
Athletic Club holds a slight edge in this Basque derby, with their superior home form likely to prove decisive against an Osasuna side that has struggled for consistency on the road. The key battle will be in midfield, where Athletic's pressing intensity could overwhelm Osasuna's attempts to build through the center. Recent H2H matches have been tight affairs with three draws in the last five encounters. AI pick: Athletic Club Win

Top AI Picks

AI-generated recommendations
Two outcomes coveredATH or Draw
80% probability
Over or Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5
62% chance of 0-2 goals
Will both teams find the net?Yes
52% both teams score
Handicap advantage pickNo data available
Most likely to scoreGorka GuruzetaAlso: Asier Hierro, Ante Budimir

Goal Probability

ATH OSA
33%
42%
0
50%
58%
1
17%
0%
2
0%
0%
3+

Odds Comparison

52%
51%
+0.5%
28%
27%
+0.1%
21%
21%
-0.6%
PredictNext AI Market Avg
AI & Market Agree: Home Win
EV = AI Prob × Odds − 1
bet3651.803.404.50-6.4%-6.5%-7.8%
Pinnacle1.853.554.71-3.8%-2.4%-3.4%
1xbet1.923.564.68-0.2%-2.1%-4.1%
WilliamHill1.853.304.20-3.8%-9.3%-13.9%
Betfair1.853.404.75-3.8%-6.5%-2.6%
bwin1.833.504.40-4.8%-3.7%-9.8%
Unibet1.823.404.75-5.4%-6.5%-2.6%
Ladbrokes1.833.504.33-4.8%-3.7%-11.2%
Coral1.833.504.40-4.8%-3.7%-9.8%
MelBet1.823.464.60-5.4%-4.8%-5.7%
10Bet1.843.304.45-4.3%-9.3%-8.8%
188Bet1.853.604.50-3.8%-1.0%-7.8%
Dafabet1.863.554.60-3.3%-2.4%-5.7%
Marathonbet1.893.504.60-1.7%-3.7%-5.7%
Sbo1.823.253.97-5.4%-10.6%-18.6%
CloudBet1.823.504.65-5.4%-3.7%-4.7%
888Sport1.853.304.20-3.8%-9.3%-13.9%
Interwetten1.833.504.50-4.8%-3.7%-7.8%
HKJC1.703.304.15-11.6%-9.3%-14.9%
MansionBet1.873.454.45-2.8%-5.1%-8.8%
Cashpoint1.823.604.59-5.4%-1.0%-5.9%

Polymarket Odds

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Trading Strategy

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