
La Liga · Matchday
2026-10-16 19:00:00 · 03:00 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-1|Actual: 1-1
AI Prediction
Top AI Picks
Goal Probability
Odds Comparison
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | EV Home | EV Draw | EV Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.52 | 3.61 | -2.5% | -5.0% | -2.5% |
| 1xbet | 2.17 | 3.62 | 3.60 | -0.2% | -2.3% | -2.8% |
| WilliamHill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | -5.7% | -10.9% | -10.9% |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.60 | -5.7% | -2.8% | -2.8% |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 | -8.0% | -8.2% | -10.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.11 | 3.52 | 3.50 | -2.9% | -5.0% | -5.5% |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.50 | 3.45 | -0.6% | -5.5% | -6.8% |
| Sbo | 2.09 | 3.08 | 3.04 | -3.9% | -16.8% | -17.9% |
Polymarket Odds
Trading Strategy
Match Report
Deportivo A Coruña 1–1 Levante | La Liga | 16 October 2026
Result Summary
A fiercely contested La Liga encounter at Deportivo A Coruña's home ground ended in a share of the spoils, with Bil Dornol Nsongo Tonfack's 63rd-minute opener ultimately cancelled out by Daniel Requena Sánchez's 82nd-minute equaliser for Levante. The draw feels broadly fair given the flow of the match, though Deportivo will feel frustrated at surrendering their lead so late in the contest.
Match Analysis
Levante came into this fixture as the more possession-oriented side, and the statistics confirmed that approach — 54% ball possession against Deportivo's 46%, backed by 104 attacks to Deportivo's 83. Despite controlling the tempo for large portions of the game, however, Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro's side found it difficult to consistently convert pressure into genuine danger, with only 4 shots on target from 11 total.
Deportivo, under Antonio Hidalgo Morilla, were arguably more efficient with less of the ball. The hosts generated 13 total shots and 5 on target, and their 10 key passes vastly outstripped Levante's 6 — a telling indicator of the quality being produced in the final third when Deportivo did advance. The Galician side were also more aggressive in approach, committing 17 fouls compared to Levante's 12, which contributed to a feisty atmosphere throughout.
The opening hour was largely goalless, with early discipline concerns emerging when Iván Romero de Ávila Araque was booked in the 33rd minute for handball, followed by Luis Miguel Cruz Hernández receiving a yellow card for a foul just before the break.
The match burst to life in the second half. Hidalgo Morilla made a double substitution just before the hour mark — bringing on Adrià Altimira Reynaldos and Adama Traoré Diarra — and almost immediately reaped the reward. Just one minute later, Nsongo Tonfack broke the deadlock with a right-foot finish in the 63rd minute, giving Deportivo a deserved lead.
Levante responded by introducing Petar Ratkov and Jon Ander Olasagasti Imizcoz in the 69th minute, injecting fresh energy into their attack. The move proved decisive: Ratkov turned provider in the 82nd minute, assisting Requena Sánchez, who levelled with a composed left-foot finish to silence the home crowd. Deportivo pushed for a winner in the dying moments, though Adrián De la Fuente Barquilla was booked for time wasting in the 89th minute and Altimira Reynaldos saw yellow deep into stoppage time for a foul, reflecting the tension at both ends.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match analysis projected a 1–1 draw, assigning a 27% probability to that outcome with a confidence rating of 55/100. The prediction proved correct, though the low confidence score appropriately reflected the competitive balance between these two sides. The statistical profile of the game — closely matched dangerous attacks (34 vs 35), similar pass accuracy (82% vs 81%), and Levante's narrow possession advantage — all pointed to an evenly contested fixture, which is precisely what materialised.
Key Takeaways
- Deportivo's efficiency in possession (10 key passes, 13 shots) remains a genuine strength despite ceding territorial control.
- Levante's substitute impact was crucial — Ratkov's assist for the equaliser came just 13 minutes after his introduction.
- Both sides remain difficult to separate at this level, making future encounters between these clubs equally hard to call.
- A point each ultimately reflects the balance of play across 96 minutes of competitive football.
Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Deportivo A Coruña and Levante: Deportivo A Coruña 7W · 5D · Levante 4W.
7
Deportivo A Coruña wins
5
Draws
4
Levante wins
Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante?
PredictNext's AI model favours Deportivo A Coruña (also known as Deportivo A Coruna) with a 46% win probability — Deportivo A Coruña 46%, draw 27%, Levante 27%.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante?
The AI forecasts a 1-1 scoreline for Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante, generated with 55% model confidence.
Will Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 48% for over 2.5 goals and 52% for under 2.5 goals in Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante.
How accurate was the Deportivo A Coruña vs Levante prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-1; the match finished 1-1. The winner call was incorrect.