
La Liga · Matchday
2026-08-15 17:30:00 · 01:30

Prediction Result
AI Predicted: 1-0|Actual: 3-0
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Match Report
Deportivo Alavés 3–0 Getafe | La Liga | August 15, 2026
Result Summary
Deportivo Alavés delivered a commanding home victory over Getafe, claiming all three points with a 3–0 final scoreline at Mendizorroza. The match was effectively shaped by a pivotal red card before half-time, and Alavés made the numerical advantage count emphatically in the closing stages, with all three goals arriving from the 73rd minute onwards.
Match Analysis
For the better part of 70 minutes, this was a tightly contested affair. Getafe, managed by José Bordalás, set up with characteristic defensive discipline, and the statistics reflect a competitive first half — both sides registered similar attacking numbers, with Getafe holding 48% possession and generating 84 attacks compared to Alavés's 91. However, the game's defining moment arrived in the 41st minute.
Francisco Femenía Far was sent off following a VAR review — a red card that left Getafe to navigate the final 50-plus minutes with ten men. The decision proved catastrophic for the visitors. Getafe had already collected two yellow cards earlier — David Cordón Mancha in the 10th minute and Mario Martín Rielves in the 23rd — suggesting an ill-disciplined performance that ultimately cost them dearly.
Alavés, under Enrique Sánchez Flores, were patient and methodical. Their shot dominance — 18 total efforts to Getafe's 6, with 8 on target versus just 2 — tells the story of a side that controlled the second half territorially and created chances at will. Key passes also illustrated the gulf in creativity: 12 for Alavés compared to just 3 for Getafe.
The breakthrough finally came in the 73rd minute, when substitute Mariano Díaz Mejía — introduced at half-time alongside Mikel Rodriguez Ulacia — provided the assist for Nahuel Tenaglia, who powered home a header to open the scoring. The floodgates then opened in stoppage time. Mariano Díaz Mejía turned goalscorer himself in the 90+1st minute, converting with his right foot before Mikel Rodriguez Ulacia added a third in the 90+4th minute with a composed left-foot finish, again assisted by the influential Díaz Mejía. The Argentine veteran was undoubtedly the standout performer on his apparent introduction, directly contributing to all three goals.
Prediction Review
Our pre-match forecast called for a 1–0 home win, with a 41% probability assigned to an Alavés victory against a 26% chance for Getafe. The model's confidence level of 52/100 reflected the competitive margins expected, and the directional call proved correct — Alavés did win at home. However, the margin of victory far exceeded expectations, driven primarily by Femenía's dismissal and a ruthless late blitz that our model could not have fully anticipated. The 3–0 scoreline was considerably more emphatic than our projection suggested.
Key Takeaways
- Mariano Díaz Mejía was the match-winning catalyst off the bench, recording one goal and two assists after coming on at the interval — a transformative substitution from Sánchez Flores.
- Femenía's red card was the defining moment, turning a tight game into a comfortable home win for Alavés.
- Alavés's 8 shots on target from 18 total reflects clinical efficiency once the numerical advantage was established.
- Getafe's 3 key passes throughout the entire match underscores their inability to threaten going forward, even before the red card.
- Alavés begin their La Liga campaign with a morale-boosting three-goal margin, while Getafe face early questions about discipline under Bordalás.
Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings between Deportivo Alavés and Getafe: Deportivo Alavés 4W · 9D · Getafe 7W.
4
Deportivo Alavés wins
9
Draws
7
Getafe wins
Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe — Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe?
PredictNext's AI model favours Deportivo Alavés (also known as Deportivo Alaves) with a 41% win probability — Deportivo Alavés 41%, draw 33%, Getafe 26%.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe?
The AI forecasts a 1-0 scoreline for Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe, generated with 52% model confidence.
Will Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe have over 2.5 goals?
The model gives 28% for over 2.5 goals and 72% for under 2.5 goals in Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe.
How accurate was the Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe prediction?
PredictNext's AI predicted 1-0; the match finished 3-0. The winner call was correct.